MLB Punt Plays: July 31st

Pitcher: Homer Bailey ($8,500)- I can’t believe it’s almost August of 2018 and I’m writing up Homer Bailey, yet here we are. After coming off the DL before his last start, Bailey’s velocity was up big-time sitting at a 95 average fast ball velocity, quite a difference from his season-average of 93. He also threw a whopping 115 pitches demonstrating how long his leash is. Now, that’s only one start, but the added velocity looks like it could be legit and Bailey is basically free at his price in a matchup with the lowly Detroit Tigers offense. The Tigers rank dead-last in wRC+ as a team over the last 30 days (68) and just traded their leadoff hitter about an hour or so ago. I don’t know how high Bailey’s upside is, but you aren’t paying for upside at this price. He is definitely in play as an SP2 tonight and has a strong chance to meet value.

Note: Monitor the weather in Detroit. 

INF: Mark Reynolds ($6,500)- Mark Reynolds immediately jumps out as a value play should he crack the lineup tonight against Steven Matz. The Nationals own one of the highest implied team totals on the board (4.9 runs) and while Reynolds power has come against righties this season, he is still an above-average hitter against lefties sporting a 121 wRC+. If Reynolds doesn’t find his way into the lineup, simply pivot to Ryan Zimmerman in the same price range.

OF: Nick Martini ($7,200)- Our old (new) friend Nick Martini figures to be a popular value play once again tonight as the new Athletics leadoff man. This is less about Martini’s ability and more about his spot in front of one of the more powerful lineups in the MLB. Sam Gaviglio has been solid for the Jays this season, but that A’s are rolling on offense right now and that starts with Martini at the top.

UTIL: Josh Reddick ($7,200)- Reddick isn’t having an all-star caliber year, but he should be in the heart of the Astros order tonight against Mike Leake. Leake has continued to decline this season, pitching to a 4.55 xFIP and just 10.9% strikeouts against left-handed hitters. Reddick has actually been better against same-handed pitching this season, but that doesn’t change the individual matchup with Leake and further garner interest the Astros team total has risen almost half a run since opening.

Ben Hossler; DFS Karma

Ben Hossler; DFS Karma

Ben can be found on FantasyDraft by his username “oatw” standing for “Ohio against the world”. He is a college student and the lead DFS analyst for dfskarma.com. He is a sports nerd who can often be found studying numbers late into the night. Mainly a cash game player, you can find him in the H2H lobby and in your 50/50s across the industry. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @BenHossler where he loves to talk sports, TV or music with his followers!

You may also like...

Leave a Reply