MLB Punt Plays: Friday July 27

Welcome to my daily MLB article for FantasyDraft’s LockerRoom! Here you will find a breakdown for my favorite low budget MLB players for the day’s (or night’s) main slate. Each article will focus on my favorite low salary starting pitcher and my three favorite low salary batters. Although the title of the article is MLB Punt Plays, like the PGA Punt Plays written by another analyst of our DFS Karma team, they aren’t your traditional “punts.” I truly feel that each player I include in this article moving forward has a very solid chance to score you some points. To ensure my players are always light on salary, my pitcher will have a cap of $13,000 and each batter will be capped at $7,000 in salary.

 

P: Luke Weaver – $12,700

Weaver has struggled quite a bit this season, posting a 5-9 record with a 4.79 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP through 20 starts. He has also held his opponents to a 1.1 HR/9 to go along with an 8.2 K/9 through 107 innings. Weaver has also been heating up recently, scoring 22.5 and 30.8 fantasy points in two of his last three games. He has looked outstanding against right-handed batters this season, holding them to a .222 average with a .342 slugging percentage and a .277 wOBA. He gets a solid matchup against the Chicago Cubs, who rank as a below average team on the slate in strikeouts per at-bat. Weaver is also a -111 favorite in a game set at 8.5 runs, giving Chicago an implied run total of 4.2 runs. Weaver is a high upside option tonight.

 

IF: David Fletcher – $5,500

Fletcher has been playing at a high level recently, hitting .351 with a .459 slugging percentage and a .850 OPS over his last 10 games. He’s also hitting well over .350 at home this season. Fletcher owns a 40% hard-hit rate with a 91 mph exit velocity over the last 15 days, as well. He has been a more powerful option against left-handed pitching, featuring a 0.04 ISO differential against lefties. He gets a matchup against Wade LeBlanc, who has surprisingly thrown well against right-handed batters this season. Righties are hitting for a .227 average with a .380 slugging percentage and a .279 wOBA against LeBlanc this season. Fletcher is expected to lead off for the Los Angeles Angels, adding to his upside. He makes an elite option in all leagues for a low price tag.

 

OF: Melky Cabrera – $6,700

Cabrera has been playing at a high level over his last 10 games, recording a .333 average with a .424 slugging percentage and a .793 OPS over that span. He has posted a 50% hard-hit rate with a 92 mph exit velocity over the last 15 days, as well. Cabrera is at his best against right-handed pitching, featuring 0.059 wOBA and 0.066 ISO differentials against righties. He gets a matchup against Mike Fiers, who has struggled against left-handed batters this season. Lefties are currently hitting for a .256 average with a .464 slugging percentage and a .332 wOBA against Fiers. Cabrera is expected to hit sixth in one of the best offenses in the MLB tonight. He’s a safe option that also comes with enough upside to be considered in tournaments.

 

UTIL: Ryan Rua – $6,300

Rua is only hitting .222 over his last 10 games, but he does own a .556 slugging percentage and a .778 OPS over that span. He has also posted a dominant 71% hard-hit rate with a 42% fly ball rate and a 96 mph exit velocity over the last 15 days. He’s a dominant option against left-handed pitching, posting 0.167 wOBA and 0.148 ISO differentials against lefties. He gets a matchup against Dallas Keuchel, who has struggled at times this season. With that being said, he has thrown fairly well against right-handed batters, holding them to a .238 average with a .368 slugging percentage and a .286 wOBA. Rua is expected to hit sixth in the Rangers lineup, and he’s an option that can always be considered against left-handed pitching. He is best suited for tournaments, though.

Justin Bales

Justin Bales

Justin can be found on FantasyDraft under the name "balessjustin." He is a recent college graduate, who earned a degree in Sociology with a co-concentrate in Music Business. He has been playing and writing about fantasy sports for quite some time, including football, baseball, basketball, college sports, and MMA. He generally plays tournaments, but can occasionally be found in H2H's or 50/50s.

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