MLB Punt Plays: July 9th

P: Jose Urena ($13,900)- This is a pretty dry pitching slate which has me focused on Jose Urena as a possible SP2. Urena has developed a lot for the Marlins and is in the midst of his best major league season. He owns a solid 3.83 SIERA, but leans more on ground balls (52.9% GB%) than strikeouts (20.0% K%). He is a much better pitcher against right-handed batters however, pitching to a 3.53 xFIP and 23.4% strikeouts compared to a 4.08 xFIP and 16.7% strikeouts to lefties. He’s also better in seemingly every category at home, so he gets a nice boost with this game taking place in Marlins Park. I definitely want to see the Brewers lineup before I make a definitive call, but there has been some slight movement towards Urena early this morning and he becomes a great value play if the Beermakers roll out a righty-heavy lineup.

INF: Daniel Robertson ($6,400)- The Rays are one of the least attractive DFS teams in the MLB, but they all become interesting value plays tonight against the wild Francisco Liriano. The Rays numbers against left-handed pitchers are better than you would think, and Daniel Robertson plays a big part in that. Robertson has posted a 135 wRC+ and a .212 ISO against lefties this season and often hits at the top of the order. Liri’s 5.26 xFIP and 13.4% walk rate against right-handed hitters does nothing but raise the appeal of the Rays righties, and I will be targeting Robertson as a cheap play in all formats.

OF: Robbie Grossman ($6,300)- Robbie Grossman is not a great hitter, but that doesn’t stop the Twins from giving him at-bats. He is a better hitter against lefties than righties however, and he will see a lefty tonight in Danny Duffy. Duffy has pitched to the highest xFIP on the slate against right-handed batters this season (5.47) and that goes along with 39.3% hard hits and 47.3% fly balls. The Twins own a 5.1 implied team total today, so this is more about Twins exposure than it is Grossman. If he cracks the lineup, I will be forced to consider him a value option against a subpar pitcher.

UTIL: Steve Pearce ($7,400)- Steve Pearce has long been a value play against left-handed pitching, which is why he jumps to the top of my list against Mike Minor tonight. He owns a huge .232 ISO and a .392 wOBA against southpaws this season, and now hits in a much, much better lineup with the Boston Red Sox. Mike Minor gives up over 43.0% hard contact and fly balls to right-handed batters, which is a big part of why the Red Sox own the highest implied team total on the slate at 6.0 runs. We are going to want exposure to them in all formats, and Pearce should be locked into the middle of their order.

Ben Hossler; DFS Karma

Ben Hossler; DFS Karma

Ben can be found on FantasyDraft by his username “oatw” standing for “Ohio against the world”. He is a college student and the lead DFS analyst for dfskarma.com. He is a sports nerd who can often be found studying numbers late into the night. Mainly a cash game player, you can find him in the H2H lobby and in your 50/50s across the industry. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @BenHossler where he loves to talk sports, TV or music with his followers!

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