MLB Punt Plays: June 27th

P: Zack Wheeler ($12,800)- Zack Wheeler is not typically a Pitcher I roster in DFS, but we are going to have to dig deep into the bargain bin tonight and the price is definitely appealing on Wheeler. He owns a 4.16 SIERA and a 22% strikeout rate this season, far from sparkling numbers, but the Pirates have been ice-cold posting the 3rd lowest wRC+ in the MLB over the last 14 days. Wheeler also gets a bump pitching at home in Citi Field, which is notoriously pitcher-friendly, though he has actually pitched worse there this season. Wheeler has gotten some early love from Vegas, moving to a -117 favorite after opening at -106 and he is my preferred cheap Pitcher play at his price.

INF: Nick Ahmed ($6,500)- Not many people realize, but Ahmed has hit left-handed pitching extremely well this season posting a .378 wOBA, .273 ISO and 42% hard contact rate. He gets an elite matchup tonight against Wei-Yin Chen who has been arguably the worst pitcher in the MLB this season. Overall in 2018, Chen owns a 5.37 SIERA, the worst mark on the slate, and it gets even worse against right-handed pitching. Against righties, he sits at a 6.46 xFIP with 12% walks…sheesh! Ahmed, and the other Diamondbacks, are in a premier offensive spot tonight and I will want exposure to them in my lineups.

OF: Manuel Margot ($7,400)- Manny Margot has been in my cash game lineups the last two days, and I’m going back to the well tonight against Mike Minor. Minor has been hit hard by righties this season, allowing 44% hard contact and 46% fly balls, something that doesn’t quite work out well in the Texas heat. Margot’s surface numbers don’t look amazing, but he has been smashing the ball recently with a 48% hard contact rate, 46% fly ball rate and only 8% strikeouts over his last 14 days. He’s cheap enough that I will roster him again tonight and the Rangers/Padres game owns a healthy 9.5 O/U.

UTIL: Logan Morrison ($6,700)- Logan Morrison was in this column yesterday, and I have chosen to go back to the well tonight against James Shields. Shields is a frustrating player to pick on, as he isn’t good…but just good enough and can limit hard contact enough to avoid true blowups. He is allowing 42% fly balls to left-handed batters this season, and LoMo owns a 49% fly ball rate himself. He should be able to get the ball up in the air tonight, hopefully one of them can leave the yard. The Twins own one of the biggest implied team totals on the slate at 4.9 runs and we are going to want some exposure to them.

Ben Hossler; DFS Karma

Ben Hossler; DFS Karma

Ben can be found on FantasyDraft by his username “oatw” standing for “Ohio against the world”. He is a college student and the lead DFS analyst for dfskarma.com. He is a sports nerd who can often be found studying numbers late into the night. Mainly a cash game player, you can find him in the H2H lobby and in your 50/50s across the industry. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @BenHossler where he loves to talk sports, TV or music with his followers!

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