MLB Punt Plays: June 26th

Welcome to the daily MLB Punt Plays for FantasyDraft’s LockerRoom! Here you will find a breakdown of my favorite low budget MLB players for tonight’s main slate.

Each article will focus on my favorite low-salary starting pitcher and my three favorite low salary batters. Although the title of this article is Punt Plays, like the PGA Punt Plays article written by another member of our DFS Karma team, they aren’t your traditional “punts”. To ensure my players are always light in salary, my pitcher will have a cap of $13,000 and each batter be capped at $7,000.

P: Jake Junis ($13,900)

It’s an extremely top-heavy pitching slate tonight which leaves us a very bleak outlook in the bargain bin. Jake Junis is not an ace by any means, but he has a very affordable price tag which allows you to spend up at your other pitching spot. He owns a 4.07 SIERA this season with 21% strikeouts, 44% fly balls allowed and 39% hard contact allowed. He’s a fly ball pitcher, who needs BABIP to fall on his side to have a good pouting, but that risk is definitely factored into his price. There is some added potential in the matchup as the Brewers rank fourth overall in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching (25%) and they have been cold ranking 22nd in wRC+ over the last 14 days. This is not the type of pitcher I typically like to use in DFS, but there are very limited options tonight despite it being a big slate and we are going to need to get weird with our SP2 in tournaments.

INF: Enrique (Kike) Hernandez ($6,500)

Kike comes into tonight scorching hot after homering three times in his last two games. If you want to add fuel to the fire, fire up the narrative machine as it is Kike Hernandez bobblehead night at Dodger Stadium! We get the perfect storm of someone who crushes lefties, and a pitcher in Jon Lester that is due for major regression. Lester comes into tonight sporting a sparkling 2.10 ERA, despite a 4.55 SIERA and ranking top 30 in the MLB in balls hit off the bat > 95 MPH. He’s truly walking a fine line, and the blow-up is looming. Kike owns a .256 ISO and a .357 wOBA against left-handed pitching this season and should be a popular value pick tonight.

OF: Chad Pinder ($6,600)

Mr. Pinder is not the sexiest of plays, but he has hit lefties very hard over the course of the season and Blaine Hardy is another regression candidate. He owns a huge 64% hard contact rate against left-handed pitching this season to go along with a .351 wOBA. Hardy owns a 4.46 SIERA, despite what is 3.30 ERA tells you and Pinder often moves up top second in the order against lefties.

UTIL: Logan Morrison ($6,300)

I can’t believe its 2018 and I’m writing up Logan Morrison, but here we are! LoMo’s surface numbers don’t look great against righties, but he has hit them hard with a 41% hard contact rate and a huge 49% fly ball rate. Reynaldo Lopez is a promising young talent, but he hasn’t put it all together yet and he has allowed 51% fly balls (6.15 xFIP) against left-handed batters this season. LoMO doesn’t have huge pop like he did in his younger days, but he should be able to get balls up in the air tonight and is locked into the heart of the Twinkies order.

Ben Hossler; DFS Karma

Ben Hossler; DFS Karma

Ben can be found on FantasyDraft by his username “oatw” standing for “Ohio against the world”. He is a college student and the lead DFS analyst for dfskarma.com. He is a sports nerd who can often be found studying numbers late into the night. Mainly a cash game player, you can find him in the H2H lobby and in your 50/50s across the industry. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @BenHossler where he loves to talk sports, TV or music with his followers!

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