MLB Punt Plays: May 29th

Welcome to the daily MLB Punt Plays for FantasyDraft’s LockerRoom! Here you will find a breakdown of my favorite low budget MLB players for tonight’s 15 game main slate! Each article will focus on my favorite low salary starting pitcher and my three favorite low salary batters. Although the title of this article is Punt Plays, like the PGA Punt Plays article written by another member of our DFS Karma team, they aren’t your traditional “punts”. To ensure my players are always light in salary, my pitcher will have a cap of $13,000 and each batter be capped at $7,000.

P: Danny Duffy ($8,000)- I can’t believe it’s May 29th, 2018 and I am writing up Danny Duffy…yikes! I really hate this, and I hate FantasyDraft for making him $8,000 so that I actually have to consider using him in DFS! The good news is, (well, maybe not so good) is that he should be fairly popular at this price so if we burn tonight…we are all burning together! He’s had an up-and-down season thus far (mostly down), but I’ve written about this before in other articles and it’s that Duffy seems to think he has been tipping pitches. His velocity was down big-time early on in the season which could be what was causing most of his struggles, but recently it has come back up and his average fast ball velocity now sits at 93.9, higher than last season. He tossed 7.2 innings of 1 run ball while striking out 5 in his last start, so if we are sticking with the tipping pitches theme maybe he found a cure? We just don’t know for sure, but it’s enticing to think about. The Twins actually own the 6th highest strikeout rate in the league against left-handed pitching and at this price…it’s really hard for him to hurt you. I’m definitely worried, and if you roster him I wouldn’t watch him pitch, but at $8,000 you can jam in any bats you want and it sadly puts him firmly in play.

 

INF: Brad Miller ($6,600)- Brad Miller was scratched from the lineup yesterday after he took a foul ball off the face in batting practice, but he is considered DTD and should be back in the lineup tonight against Daniel Gossett and the A’s. Miller has shown good power this season with a .202 ISO against right-handed pitching, backed up by a 44% fly ball rate and 42% hard contact! Gossett has not thrown much this season for the A’s, but he posted a 5.28 xFIP against left-handed batters in 2017 and has allowed 10 runs in 14 IP this season.

OF: Juan Soto ($6,400)- Soto is the Nationals 19 year old phenom, and I’ve seen a ton of people doubting him since his call-up given his limited time in the minors and small sample sizes. While that is all true, he is extremely fun to watch play and I will gladly use him in DFS while he is cheap. He has a 40% hard contact rate since his call-up, and while I think Dylan Bundy is a good pitcher he has struggled mightily with left-handed batters this season. Bundy owns a 5.02 xFIP against left-handed batters in 2018 with a whopping 51% fly balls allowed!

UTIL: Kyle Seager ($6,500)- Kyle Seager has been crushing the ball this season and I feel like nobody has fully realized it. He’s hitting just .226 on the season despite a 48% fly ball rate, 40% hard contact and .221 ISO against right-handed pitching. Austin Bibens-Dirkx has only made one start this season allowing four runs and 52% hard contact, but he was brutal against left-handed hitters in 2017 posting a 6.43 xFIP and I’m not sure if he will be able to fully correct that issue this season.

Ben Hossler; DFS Karma

Ben Hossler; DFS Karma

Ben can be found on FantasyDraft by his username “oatw” standing for “Ohio against the world”. He is a college student and the lead DFS analyst for dfskarma.com. He is a sports nerd who can often be found studying numbers late into the night. Mainly a cash game player, you can find him in the H2H lobby and in your 50/50s across the industry. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @BenHossler where he loves to talk sports, TV or music with his followers!

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