MLB Punt Plays: May 17th

Welcome to the daily MLB Punt Plays article for FantasyDraft’s LockerRoom! Here you will find a breakdown of my favorite low budget MLB players for the night’s main slate. Each article will focus on my favorite low salary starting pitcher and my three favorite low salary batters. Although the title of this article is MLB Punt Plays, like the PGA Punt Plays article written by another member of our DFS Karma team, they aren’t your traditional “punts”. To ensure my players are always light in salary, my pitcher will have a cap of $13,000 and each batter will be capped at $7,000.

 

P: Marco Gonzales ($13,200)- This is going to a bit off the radar, because people think Marco Gonzales sucks, but he has clearly been getting pretty unlucky this season. This season, Gonzales owns a 5.31 ERA which looks rough, but it gets much better when you look at his 3.47 SIERA and 23% strikeout rate. He’s been getting unlucky with his BABIP as well, and is due for some positive regression. The Tigers have hit lefties well this season, but they are also extremely banged up with Miguel Cabrera and Jeimer Candelario both on the DL. I’m not scared of this Tigers lineup and I believe that Gonzales is getting unlucky, so I will definitely take some tournament shots with him at his price.

 

INF: Yangervis Solarte ($6,300)- We kick off the offensive options with Yangervis Solarte of the Blue Jays against Andrew Triggs. Triggs underlying numbers don’t look bad, but I do get concerned when I see his 48% fly balls and 43% hard contact allowed to left-handed batters. Solarte has also hit right-handed pitchers much better than left-handers this season with a .348 wOBA against righties compared to a .312 wOBA against southpaws. I like the Blue Jays offense has a whole a bit tonight and Solarte should be in the middle of the order at under $7,000.

 

OF: Matt Joyce ($5,700)- Joyce is one of my favorite players to use in DFS because he has solid power for a leadoff man, he’s always cheap, and nobody ever plays him. He has a great matchup with Aaron Sanchez who has a ton of potential, but has been extremely bad against left-handed batters this season. So far in 2018, Sanchez owns a disastrous 6.42 xFIP and just an 11% strikeout rate against left-handed batters. I noted above that Joyce has good power (.204 ISO) for a leadoff man, and his 42% fly ball rate suggests he will be able to get the ball up in the air against Sanchez.

 

UTIL: Curtis Granderson ($7,300)- Can you tell I like this game? This contest features a 9.5 O/U in Vegas which is the highest on the slate, and appears to be one of the premier spots for offense tonight. Like Joyce, Granderson has good power for a guy that typically hits leadoff (.213 ISO) and he has crushed right-handed pitching this season. Grandy has posted a .408 wOBA against right-handed pitchers with a 42% hard contact rate this season and I noted above Triggs batted ball data against left-handed batters.

Ben Hossler; DFS Karma

Ben Hossler; DFS Karma

Ben can be found on FantasyDraft by his username “oatw” standing for “Ohio against the world”. He is a college student and the lead DFS analyst for dfskarma.com. He is a sports nerd who can often be found studying numbers late into the night. Mainly a cash game player, you can find him in the H2H lobby and in your 50/50s across the industry. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @BenHossler where he loves to talk sports, TV or music with his followers!

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