MLB Punt Plays: May 8th

Welcome to your daily MLB Punt Plays article for FantasyDraft’s LockerRoom! Here you will find a breakdown of my favorite low budget MLB player for the day’s (or night’s) main slate. Each article will focus on my favorite low salary starting pitcher and my three favorite low salary batters. Although the title of this article is MLB Punt Plays, like the PGA Punt Plays written by another analyst of our DFS Karma team, they aren’t your traditional “punts”. I truly feel that each player I include in this article moving forward has a very solid chance to score you some points. To ensure my players are always light in salary, my pitcher will have a cap of $13,000 and each batter will be capped at $7,000 in salary.

 

P: Danny Duffy ($10,800)- I really don’t love this play, but I do love the price and it’s just way too cheap for a pitcher. Duffy had a nightmare start to the season which was mainly due to a big drop in velocity. His velocity has risen in each of this starts this season, and is inching closer to where it normally was for his career. He also thinks that he has been tipping pitches, so correcting that problem can go a long way in terms of results as well. The Orioles have a plethora of right-handed power, so the matchup is scary, but they also strike out at a 25% clip against southpaws which is top ten in the MLB. I’m not a huge believer in Duffy, but I think there are strikeouts available in his matchup and the price is too good to ignore in tournaments.

 

INF: Adam Frazier ($6,400)- Adam Frazier has had a relatively cold start to the season, but he collected four hits over the weekend including a double and a home run, so he is showing signs of heating up with the weather. What we really like about Frazier tonight is his spot in the order and his matchup with Lucas Giolito. Giolito is a former top prospect, but he hasn’t strung it all together at the major league level quite yet and he has struggled mightily thus far in 2018. He owns the highest SIERA on the slate (6.56) and he has more walks than strikeouts this season, it’s still early in the year, but the fact that those numbers are still there after 32 innings pitched is not good. Frazier doesn’t offer much pop, but he struck out just 11.8% of the time against righties last season and Giolito has shown no ability to get guys out. He should be in the leadoff spot once again for the Pirates, and I love his price tag.

 

OF: Michael Conforto ($6,800)- Much like Frazier, Conforto has started pretty slow to start this season, but he hit a leadoff home run in last night’s game so he could be showing signs of life. I’m a big fan of Luis Castillo in general, but he has not been able to get left-handed batters out this season (5.31 xFIP and 3.8 HR/9). Conforto owns a career .248 ISO against right-handed pitching, so we know that the power is there and he should be hitting leadoff or near the top of the order once again tonight. Conforto’s price is more of a reflection of his cold start to 2018, and I’m going to take advantage of it while it is below $7,000.

 

UTIL: Jurickson Profar ($6,500)- Jurickson Profar had a big RBI triple in last night’s game, and I could see him having another nice game tonight against Mike Fiers. Fiers is not the same pitcher he once was for the Astros, and he owns a 4.84 SIERA with just a 13.6% strikeout rate this season. His main issue is allowing home runs (2.00 HR/9), and while that isn’t necessarily where Profar will beat you he will be at the top of the order once again in a plum matchup. Fires just doesn’t have any ability to get guys out right now, and I love locking in cheap guys at the top of the order in cash games.

 

 

Ben Hossler; DFS Karma

Ben Hossler; DFS Karma

Ben can be found on FantasyDraft by his username “oatw” standing for “Ohio against the world”. He is a college student and the lead DFS analyst for dfskarma.com. He is a sports nerd who can often be found studying numbers late into the night. Mainly a cash game player, you can find him in the H2H lobby and in your 50/50s across the industry. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @BenHossler where he loves to talk sports, TV or music with his followers!

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