MLB Punt Plays: Monday April 23

Welcome to my daily MLB article for FantasyDraft’s LockerRoom! Here you will find a breakdown of my favorite low budget MLB players for tonight’s main slate. Each article will focus on my favorite low salary starting Pitcher and my 3 favorite low salary batters. Although the title of the article is MLB Punt Plays, like the PGA Punt Plays written by another analyst of our DFS Karma team, they aren’t your traditional “Punts”. I truly feel that each player I include in this article is in a great individual spot and will allow you to fit in some of the other higher priced players. To ensure my players are always light on salary, my Pitcher will have a cap of $14,000 and each batter will be capped at $7,000 in salary.

P: Walker Buehler ($11,100)

Walker Buehler is the Dodgers top prospect and is making his first ever MLB start tonight against the Miami Marlins at home in Dodger Stadium. He came up for a cup of coffee at the end of last season, but worked out of the bullpen. Buehler is a hard-throwing righty who features an average fastball velocity of 98.4 MPH. He struck out 125 batters in 88.2 innings at AAA last season, and has had good control throughout his career despite having walks issues out of the bullpen last season in an extremely small sample. Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said that Buehler could potentially go 6 innings and 90 pitches in tonight’s start, he hasn’t eclipsed 5 innings or 80 pitches at AAA yet this season, but if he is doing well I’m assuming they will let him get to 90 (or close) today. The Marlins are last in the MLB in team wOBA this season (.275) and are one of the weakest lineups overall. Buehler doesn’t need to do much at this cheap price, and we know that he has the strikeout upside to have a huge game for relatively no cost.

 

INF: Jose Abreu ($7,300)

My typical cut-off for batters is $7,000, but this price on Abreu is so cheap that I have to take advantage of it. Abreu is one of the best overall hitters in the MLB so whenever I see a suppressed price tag like this I’m going to take notice. He posted a .361 wOBA and a .239 ISO in righty-righty situations last season and has a hard contact rate of 41% this season. This price is just too cheap to overlook.

 

OF: David Dahl ($5,900)

David Dahl returned to the big league club with Carlos Gonzalez hitting the DL, and he should be in the starting lineup against Bryan Mitchell. Mitchell has shown no strikeout ability so far this season with just a 7.5% strikeout rate (yikes!) and now has to pitch in Coors Field. Dahl owns a career 125 wRC+ and .217 ISO against right-handed pitching. The Rockies are going to be one of the most popular offenses of the day, and this is way too cheap for someone that should be in the lineup. Just lock him in.

 

UTIL: Stephen Piscotty ($6,400)

Piscotty isn’t someone I typically play, but anyone that reads my content knows that I love playing Oakland Athletics batters. However, Piscotty has been moved up to 2nd in the A’s order the last two games and now they get a date with Matt Moore. Outside of Coors Field, the A’s are probably my favorite offense of the day as Moore has been getting extremely lucky in 2018. He’s allowing 40% fly balls and 43% hard contact for the season, but has surrendered just 1 home run. That’s not a sustainable rate and the A’s are one of the most powerful teams in the league, so I’m forecasting a big offensive night from them tonight. Piscotty is a cheap way to get exposure to the top of their order.

Stat Key

 

wOBA- Weighted on-base average

ISO- Isolated power

SIERA- Skill-interactive earned run average

xFIP- Expected fielding independent

Ben Hossler; DFS Karma

Ben Hossler; DFS Karma

Ben can be found on FantasyDraft by his username “oatw” standing for “Ohio against the world”. He is a college student and the lead DFS analyst for dfskarma.com. He is a sports nerd who can often be found studying numbers late into the night. Mainly a cash game player, you can find him in the H2H lobby and in your 50/50s across the industry. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @BenHossler where he loves to talk sports, TV or music with his followers!

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