NBA Starting Five with MAS47

Welcome to the newest addition to FantasyDraft, “MAS47’s Starting Five.” In this article I will be breaking down five things that you need to know about each slate. These topics will range from, but are not limited to, narratives, chalk locks, fades, amazing matchups, terrible defenses, targetable games and much more. As you all know, every slate is a blank canvas and it will be my job to paint an appropriate picture.

Free Willy. 

Dwight Howard has been suspended tonight’s game against Memphis after picking up his 16th technical foul last night. Marc Gasol has already been ruled out tonight for rest. It seems the stars are aligning for Willy Hernangomez tonight. Marc Gasol is one of the best rim protectors in the NBA and the team’s starting Center and backup Center most likely will be out tonight. We’ve seen glimpses of upside from Gomez in the past and tonight should be the literal perfect situation for him. I’d fully expect him to be the chalk across the industry, but you just eat it here. He’ll get the minutes and in the last three games he’s averaged 1.5 FantasyDraft points-per-minute. Just doing some simple math quickly, if he plays 28 minutes tonight and he keeps playing at that same level of productivity, he would finish with 42 FantasyDraft Points. He’s $6,400 folks. This is a great place for you to start every lineup with tonight.

Ceiling. Ceiling.

What would you say if I told you that James Harden will have ceiling game tonight? Yeah, you’d probably lock-and-load him into your lineups… and you should. The Pistons rank highly against Shooting Guards as a team and Stanley Johnson (the man responsible for shadowing Harden tonight) is one of the best on-ball defenders our game has to offer. I don’t care about any of that y’all. Chris Paul is “unlikely” to play tonight. Why would he? The Pistons are not a good team. They’re 3-7 in their last 10 games. The Rockets, yeah they’re pretty good. They are 9-1 in their last 10 and tonight should be no different. Vegas has this game currently at a 12.5 spread favoring Houston. Why? Because even without Chris Paul playing, there’s still a guy named James Harden who can single-handidly handle the Pistons. My final point, and most important, I’ll make for rostering Harden is the last time Chris Paul missed a game (1/30) Harden scored more than 90 FantasyDraft points. How do you fade him tonight with a similar ceiling? It’s an easy answer, you don’t.

Ok Blake. We see you. 

Is he back? Blake Griffin sure does appear to be as the Pistons have won their last two games and it’s no coincidence that they came in games where he scored over 50 FantasyDraft Points. More importantly, he possessed a 25+% usage rate in both games. Whatever took Stan Van Gundy this long to figure it out, it appears he has. Griffin is the team’s best player and should be leaned on heavily. At $16,100 he’s one of my favorite plays specifically on FantasyDraft where he’s priced up much higher on both FanDuel and DraftKings. Tonight, he will play in a game that I already mentioned I liked Harden from. Why not run it back with the best correlation play on the Pistons? I think this is a viable strategy and will be overlooked across the industry making Griffin an elite GPP play. Also of note, the Pistons are currently sitting in the nine seed if the playoffs started today. They have to win and end the Season on quite a hot streak (5.5 games behind Milwaukee) if they have any chance of making the playoffs.

Start Here.

I know, it took me four bullet points to talk about the highest total on the slate. The Pelicans/Lakers game is at a monstrous 230 total and projected to be a close game as well. The industry will flock here, and in this particular case, for good reason. If you’re looking for somewhere to start in attacking this game as a whole, look no further than Jrue Holiday. The hometown kid always puts on for his city. He’s from Los Angeles, attending high school and college in the city. The UCLA alum is a lock in all formats for multiple reasons. First, his price at $14,300 is insanely cheap. On FanDuel he’s $9,000 and DraftKings he’s $7,800. That means he’s considerably cheaper in comparison. Second, the historical data proves that this hometown narrative is real. He’s averaging well over 40 FantasyDraft Points in his career against the Lakers. Finally, the Pelicans are playing their fourth game in five days tonight. That means Rondo might be limited or even rested and if that’s the case, look for Jrue to fill-in as the primary ball handler. Regardless, Holiday should be the first player you lock-in as you attack and target this fast-pace and up-tempo game.

SUPER Mario.

Let me preface this with the fact that I think this bullet point is a bit contrarian. Now let me tell you why I like it. Jonathan Simmons has already been ruled out for tonight’s Magic game against the Sixers. He missed last game. Jonathan Isaac has also been ruled out tonight. He didn’t miss last game. Mario Hezonia struggled and only saw 18 minutes in the game I just mentioned the last time the Magic took the court against Toronto. The Raptors are no joke on the defensive end (ranked 7th best collectively). Typically, when a player struggles the industry will shy away and we call those people “game-log watchers.” I care less about Simmons and more about Isaac. The rookie played 27 minutes last game. You take away 27 minutes from him and 28+ from Simmons you’re left with a lot of usage and minutes that have to go somewhere. The matchup with Philly isn’t ideal, but I think the risk is worth the reward for a player who has flashed ceiling games multiple times already this Season. Look for Hezonia to go under-owned and provide the ceiling you need to win tournaments. If you’re playing multiple lineups, I’d highly recommend throwing him in a few.

Sean Pfeiffer

Sean Pfeiffer

Sean Pfeiffer is the CEO and Founder of RotoRadar. He is a full-time daily fantasy sports Pro Analyst for RotoRadar that specializes in NBA and MLB. He took the leap of faith to pursue daily fantasy sports and RotoRadar full-time in August of 2015 and has never looked back. Previously he worked for ABC, FOX and ESPN as an anchor, on-air personality and producer. Pfeiffer assembled some of the largest names in the DFS industry in all sports providing insight daily on www.RotoRadar.net. He has had numerous top 1% finishes over the last three NBA Seasons himself. In the 2015/16 NBA Season he had 19 top 1% finishes, in the 2016/17 NBA Season he had 23 top 1% finishes, and in the 2017/18 NBA Season he had 11 top 1% finishes (In progress). Every day Sean spends anywhere between 10 to 12 hours of research into the lineups that he plays and provides for his members. There's not many people who can say they watch every second of every game every night, but that's exactly what Sean and his wife Jenna do. If there's any edge to be found, Sean is going to find it. Don't miss a chance to invest in one of the best full-time DFS Pros in the industry. Personal Information: He welcomed the light of his life into his family on March 15, 2017 as his wife Jenna gave birth to his first-born daughter, Kiara Morgan. Sean is from Houston, Texas and currently resides in Colorado Springs. Follow him on Twitter @RotoRadarCEO.

You may also like...

Leave a Reply