Let the Drummond Kick

Andre Drummond has transitioned to life with Blake Griffin incredibly well as he has topped 53 fantasy points in two of his three games alongside his new frontcourt mate. Tonight, he faces a Nets defense that ranks dead last in defensive efficiency over the last 10 games and they have allowed by far the most rebounds to the position during that span. Here are my picks for Wednesday, February 7:

cash-plays

Guards (G) Forwards/Centers (F/C) Utility (UTIL)
James Harden,
$21,000
Anthony Davis,
$21,200
LeBron James,
$20,500
Chris Paul,
$17,200
Andre Drummond,
$18,300
Jimmy Butler,
$17,300
Jrue Holiday,
$13,700
Karl-Anthony Towns,
$17,000
Blake Griffin,
$16,300
Ricky Rubio,
$13,300
Marc Gasol,
$14,800
Clint Capela,
$13,700
Isaiah Thomas,
$13,100
Rudy Gobert,
$13,400
Nikola Mirotic,
$12,300
Spencer Dinwiddie,
$12,100
Andrew Wiggins,
$11,800
Lance Stephenson (if no Oladipo),
$11,700
Ish Smith,
$11,100
Taj Gibson,
$10,200
Tyler Ulis,
$8,600
Joe Harris (if no Acy and Hollis-Jefferson),
$8,000
Justise Winslow,
$7,800
J.R. Smith,
$7,300
Joe Young (especially if no Oladipo),
$6,300
Jeff Green,
$7,200
Josh Gray,
$6,000

preferred-play

tournament-plays

Guards (G) Forwards/Centers (F/C) Utility (UTIL)
James Harden,
$21,000
Anthony Davis,
$21,200
LeBron James,
$20,500
Chris Paul,
$17,200
Andre Drummond,
$18,300
Jimmy Butler,
$17,300
Jrue Holiday,
$13,700
Karl-Anthony Towns,
$17,000
Blake Griffin,
$16,300
Ricky Rubio,
$13,300
LaMarcus Aldridge,
$15,700
Hassan Whiteside,
$14,100
Isaiah Thomas,
$13,100
Rudy Gobert,
$13,400
Nikola Mirotic,
$12,300
Spencer Dinwiddie,
$12,100
Andrew Wiggins,
$11,800
Lance Stephenson (if no Oladipo),
$11,700
Ish Smith,
$11,100
Taj Gibson,
$10,200
James Johnson,
$11,600
Joe Harris (if no Acy and Hollis-Jefferson),
$8,000
Justise Winslow,
$7,800
Channing Frye,
$7,600
Joe Young (especially if no Oladipo),
$6,300
Jeff Green,
$7,200
Jahlil Okafor,
$6,900

preferred-play

Analysis:

Andre Drummond, Pistons, $18,300 – Sure, Anthony Davis is only slightly more expensive, but Andre Drummond‘s floor may be higher than any other player’s on the slate in this matchup. Over the course of their last 10 games, the Nets rank dead last in defensive efficiency versus opposing centers by a wide margin. Furthermore, during that stretch, they have yielded the most rebounds per game (RPG) to the position including the fifth most offensive rebounds per game. Since Griffin joined the team three games ago, Drummond is averaging 52.7 fantasy points per game (FPPG) on the heels of 18.0 points per game (PPG) and 17.3 rebounds per game (RPG). At this price point, 52.7 FPPG would equate to around 2.87x value, or enough to put a fantasy team on pace for 287 fantasy points. In this matchup, his upside certain stretches far above 52.7, so he is a fantastic investment in all formats.

Andrew Wiggins, Timberwolves, $11,800 – Only the Timberwolves, Suns and Rockets have allowed more points in transition this season than the Cavaliers and Andrew Wiggins averages the second most points per game (PPG) in transition amongst players on the team (behind only an overpriced Jimmy Butler). In every career game against the Cavaliers (seven total), Wiggins has produced at least 20 points (PTS), and he has managed at least 35 fantasy points in each of his last two meetings. Tristan Thompson is a solid defender down low for Karl-Anthony Towns to deal with so some of the offense may be forced to funnel elsewhere. Coach Tom Thibodeau is arguably the most predictable coach in the league so the starters are all destined for huge minutes. With the team implied to score a healthy 112-points, Wiggins is destined to get his this evening at an affordable price point.

Justise Winslow, Heat, $7,800 – The Heat are expected to be without Kelly Olynyk in the short term, leaving additional minutes for other members of the frontcourt. Other than Clint Capela, the Rockets are a relatively small team, especially due to the fact Nene Hilario will likely sit the second end of the back-to-back. Consequently, the team may elect to ditch one or both of their centers to match up against the Rockets (especially their second unit), meaning Justise Winslow should see his minutes extended. Heading into this game, Winslow has topped 23 fantasy points in three of his last four games. The Rockets have allowed the third most points in transition this year and Winslow leads the Heat in transition frequency. At a sub-$8,000 cost, Winslow is an excellent bargain.

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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