Keeping Up With the Cav-dashians

Tristan Thompson will start for the Cavaliers on Friday as they look to start suring up their defense and he is too cheap to overlook in an elite matchup against a very beatable Pacers frontcourt. Here are my picks for Friday, January 26:

cash-plays

Guards (G) Forwards/Centers (F/C) Utility (UTIL)
James Harden,
$20,600
DeMarcus Cousins,
$20,500
LeBron James,
$20,300
Victor Oladipo,
$17,800
Anthony Davis,
$20,000
Damian Lillard,
$17,100
Kyle Lowry,
$13,600
Blake Griffin,
$15,900
LaMarcus Aldridge,
$15,200
Jrue Holiday,
$13,400
Marc Gasol,
$14,600
Kristaps Porzingis,
$14,800
DeMar DeRozan,
$13,200
Kevin Love,
$13,600
DeAndre Jordan,
$14,000
Donovan Mitchell,
$12,300
Lauri Markkanen,
$12,100
Tyreke Evans,
$12,900
Dennis Smith Jr.,
$12,200
Jonas Valanciunas,
$9,500
Greg Monroe (if starting),
$11,000
Dejounte Murray,
$10,400
Dirk Nowitzki,
$8,600
Dillon Brooks,
$8,500
Milos Teodosic,
$8,800
Tristan Thompson (if starting),
$6,800
Jarell Martin (listed as questionable),
$8,000

tournament-plays

Guards (G) Forwards/Centers (F/C) Utility (UTIL)
James Harden,
$20,600
DeMarcus Cousins,
$20,500
Chris Paul,
$17,600
Victor Oladipo,
$17,800
LeBron James,
$20,300
Damian Lillard,
$17,100
Kyle Lowry,
$13,600
Blake Griffin,
$15,900
LaMarcus Aldridge,
$15,200
Jrue Holiday,
$13,400
Kristaps Porzingis,
$14,800
Devin Booker,
$15,100
DeMar DeRozan,
$13,200
Kevin Love,
$13,600
Clint Capela,
$13,600
Donovan Mitchell,
$12,300
Lauri Markkanen,
$12,100
Tyreke Evans,
$12,900
Dennis Smith Jr.,
$12,200
Jonas Valanciunas,
$9,500
Greg Monroe (if starting),
$11,000
Milos Teodosic,
$8,800
Robin Lopez,
$8,100
Lance Stephenson,
$8,700
Troy Daniels,
$7,100
Darius Miller,
$6,900
Tristan Thompson,
$6,800

preferred-play

Analysis:

DeMar DeRozan, Raptors, $13,200 – The pricing algorithm is way off on DeMar DeRozan tonight as he is about $2,000 underpriced. Not only do the Jazz rank as the worst defense in the league versus spot up shooters but they also rank as nothing more than a league average defense versus the ball-handler in pick-and-rolls. Meanwhile, DeRozan is both a 77th percentile spot up shooter and he averages the fourth most points per game (PPG) as a ball-handler in the pick-and-roll. Basically, there is no reason why DeRozan should be so cheap, and yet he is insanely cheap. Although he will undoubtedly prove to be chalky, fading him is simply a bad idea.

Donovan Mitchell, Jazz, $12,300 – Speaking of players who are underpriced, Donovan Mitchell has averaged 35.4 fantasy points per game (FPPG) this month and yet he will only cost $12,300 on Friday. With Rodney Hood in the rotation this season, Mitchell has averaged 33.3 minutes per game (MPG), 20.3 PPG and 32.3 FPPG, and Hood is already listed as out for tonight’s tilt against the Raptors. At first look, this game does not stand out from a Vegas perspective, but their price points are just absurd on FantasyDraft. Sometimes, you must take gifts when they are given to you, and both DeRozan and Mitchell should crush at their bargain costs.

Tristan Thompson, Cavaliers, $6,800 – Coach Tyronn Lue announced Jae Crowder will head to the bench and Tristan Thompson will start in his absence. The team’s defense has been so atrocious (29th in defensive efficiency) that is makes sense for Thompson to get a long look as a starter and not just play 18 minutes (or close). With Thompson starting, this looks to be a true trial, so he should see upwards of 20 minutes, and that is significant for a player priced at just $6,800. For his career, Thompson is a 0.85 fantasy point per minute (FPPM) producer, meaning he needs around 24 minutes to reach 3.0x value in an average matchup. The Pacers are a well above-average matchup as they have yielded the fourth most offensive rebounds per game to opposing centers and they have allowed the second most points on putbacks. Of course, offensive rebounding is Thompson’s specialty, so expect him to have a field day against the undersized Domantas Sabonis.

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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