Clint in Cash

Clin Capela will face an undersized Mavericks frontcourt on Wednesday evening and he is about $1,000 underpriced. Consequently, he is one of the easiest plays of the entire slate. Check out daily fantasy expert Ricky Sanders’ recommended plays to help you fill out your roster for today’s NBA contests.

Guards (G):

Victor Oladipo, Pacers, $17,700 – The last time the Pacers squared off against the Suns, Victor Oladipo only produced 32.75 fantasy points and played 21 minutes. For that reason, hopefully the general public just uses game logs to determine whether or not to play him, because that game was a blowout and the matchup against the Suns is elite. No team has allowed more fantasy points per game (FPPG) to opposing shooting guards (SGs) than the Suns and they rank 21st in defensive efficiency versus the position as well. Since the Suns play at the fourth fastest pace, it is not surprising to learn they also have allowed the third most points in transition. On the other hand, Oladipo is averaging the fourth most points per game transition (PPG) and he gets out in transition at a 22.3-percent frequency. By comparison, Giannis Antetokounmpo, the league leader in transition points, gets out in transition at a 22.4-percent frequency. Oladipo only took 11 shots the last go-around but he should garner his normal usage and play a full allotment of minutes tonight. If that is the case, he could crush this price point, so feel free to deploy the newly minted All-Star in all formats.

 

Dennis Schroder, Hawks, $12,500 – Um, the pricing algorithm got this one wrong, as there is no reason Dennis Schroder should be priced in the mid-$12,000s. Sure, he is coming off a poor performance against the slow-paced Jazz, but Schroder had been averaging 44.25 FPPG in his four previous games prior to the flop. Thus far, Russell Westbrook is the only player averaging more drives per game than Schroder and the Raptors allow teams to get to the rim against them at the third highest rate (36.1-percent). Of course, this would explain why Schroder posted 36.25 fantasy points in his last meeting against the Raptors, and the Hawks will be playing at home tonight. In other words, they should keep this game reasonably close, and therefore there is no reason to worry about Schroder’s minutes (well, other than Coach Mike Budenholzer being a bit volatile). He will need his best scorer tonight and Schroder’s price point is just way too cheap.

 

Forward/Centers (F/C):

Joel Embiid, 76ers, $18,300 – Did you see what DeMarcus Cousins did against this very Bulls team on Monday night? In that game, Cousins dropped 44 points (PTS), 24 rebounds (REB), 10 assists (AST), four steals (STL), a block (BLK) and a ridiculous 103.50 fantasy points, although it took him two overtimes and a whopping 52 minutes on the court. Obviously, a minute projection like that is out of the question here, but his dominance at least highlights how favorable this matchup can be for opposing dominant centers. Robin Lopez and company should be tired heading into this game after playing two overtimes their last time out which could lead to more Bobby Portis defense (or lack thereof) against Joel Embiid. Lately, Embiid’s price point had been floating around $20,000, so this steep dip in price is certainly noteworthy. With Embiid playing 30-plus minutes on a regular basis now, he is habitually flirting with 50 fantasy points, and there is no reason to believe that will not be the case on Wednesday. Facing a tired Bulls team, Embiid may possess the highest floor of any player on the slate.

 

Nikola Mirotic, Bulls, $12,600 – Speaking of the worn-down Bulls, both Lauri Markkanen and Robin Lopez played 39-plus minutes on Monday, so they will likely see reduced minutes this evening. Essentially, Nikola Mirotic should be the primary beneficiary of their limited minutes and he is all but guaranteed to see more minutes than usual. For what it is worth, Mirotic dropped 22 PTS and 13 REB versus the 76ers in his last meeting and it only took him 26 minutes. Meanwhile, the 76ers bench rates as nothing more than league average in terms of defensive efficiency, and they are quite banged up so Mirotic could see some minutes against guys like Justin Anderson (-3.2 defensive box plus/minus) and Richaun Holmes. To be honest, around 30 minutes of Mirotic is viable in any matchup, so go ahead and lock him in against a team he already dominated this season.

 

Clint Capela, Rockets, $12,100 – On competing sites, Clint Capela is priced around 13.2-percent of overall budget, whereas he will only cost fantasy owners 12.1-percent of their budget on FanatsyDraft tonight. Facing a Mavericks team almost completely devoid of rim protectors, Clint Capela should be catching lobs for dunks all night long. To put it differently, this price point is a freaking joke, as he would be worth close to $14,000 in this spot. Both James Harden and Chris Paul are healthy at this point meaning there are multiple players available to throw him lobs and set him up for easy baskets. Oh, by the way, the Mavericks, who quite often start Dirk Nowitzki at center, rank 26th in defensive efficiency versus the position. The size mismatch alone should catch fantasy owners’ attention and his bargain cost seals the deal.

 

Timothe Luwawu, 76ers, $8,800 – Assuming Jerryd Bayless is ruled out, Timothe Luwawu will be forced into heavy minutes once again. Prior to tonight, Luwawu has played at least 29 minutes in each of his last two games, and the absence of Bayless would leave the team without him, J.J. Redick and T.J. McConnell. Basically, the rotation would be incredibly thin, and Luwawu would be one of the few wings left standing. His additional minutes recently has led to him topping 24 fantasy points in each of his last two games and now he will face a very tired Bulls team. Vegas is listing the 76ers as 5.0-point favorites and they are without a few of their most reliable scorers. If they are going to win this game, they will need contributions from secondary players like Luwawu, and he is shown recently he is ready to contribute. Make sure to wait for the Bayless news, but if he sits again, Luwawu is a building block.

 

*Statistics are accurate as of Monday, January 22

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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