Crisis LeVerted

With DeMarre Carroll listed as out tonight, Caris LeVert, who leads the Nets in points per game over their last 10 games, should only have his role further solidified. Check out daily fantasy expert Ricky Sanders’ recommended plays to help you fill out your roster for today’s NBA contests.

 

Guards (G):

Lou Williams, Clippers, $14,500 – According to multiple sources, Blake Griffin is unlikely to play Monday, and Milos Teodosic is questionable as well with the same foot issue that held him out for an extended period to begin the year. In other words, Teodosic would seem to be closer to doubtful, leaving Jawun Evans and Lou Williams as the team’s only ball-handlers. Without either Griffin or Teodosic on the floor this year, Williams leads the team with a ridiculous 31.2-percent usage rate (USG%) and his 1.14 fantasy points per minute (FPPM) rank second amongst rotation players (behind only DeAndre Jordan). Thus far, the Hawks rank 21st in defensive efficiency versus opposing backcourts and they have allowed the second highest field goal percentage to opposing guards as well. Williams is going to shoot, and shoot often, and Dennis Schroder has proven to be a subpar defender against spot up shooters for quite some time now (including last year when he allowed the most points per possession (PPP) to spot up shooters of any starting point guard (PG)). In a game expected to remain close throughout, Williams is a no-brainer in all formats.

 

Kyle Lowry, Raptors, $13,700 – What in the world is this price tag for Kyle Lowry? Despite the fact the Raptors are being implied to score nearly 113-points against a team that plays at the fifth fastest pace, Lowry will only cost 13.7-percent of the budget. On competing sites, the price point on Lowry is over 15-percent of overall budget, so he is incredibly cheap on FantasyDraft specifically this evening. Keeping that on mind, Lowry torched this very team for over 50 fantasy points in their last meeting, and he has fallen below 30 fantasy points just once in his last six games. To put it differently, Lowry possesses one of the safest floors of any player, and his usage can be all over the place. In fast-paced games, there are more possessions, so more opportunities for Lowry to rack up the shot attempts, assists and even rebounds. Oh, by the way, Lowry triple-doubled the last time he faced this team, and he is a threat to do so once again tonight.

 

Kris Dunn, Bulls, $12,200 – Kris Dunn is coming off a dud of a game but the Bulls have now had a day to rest since their last game. Prior to Saturday’s loss against the Pacers, the Bulls had played three games in five days, so the letdown game against the divisional foe makes sense when considering it was their fourth game in six days (and the second end of a back-to-back). Look for the Bulls to bounce back on Monday as they are only listed as 5.0-point home underdogs versus the Rockets in a game with a projected 221-point over/under. The individual matchup against Chris Paul is not ideal and yet the Rockets have allowed the fifth most points per game (PPG) to PGs over their last five games (partially because of their fast-paced style). Also, Paul does not play as many minutes as Harden did, so there are longer stints for PGs to get it done versus the second unit. Over the course of his last 15 games, Dunn has averaged 35.9 fantasy points per game (FPPG), so this $12,200 price tag is absurd. As a price play alone, Dunn is worthy of deploying in all formats.

 

Caris LeVert, Nets, $10,000 – Do not look now but Caris LeVert leads the Nets in PPG over the course of their last 10 games, edging out the likes of Rondae Hollis-Jefferson and Spencer Dinwiddie. Furthermore, DeMarre Carroll has been ruled out for tonight’s contest, so that should only further help solidify LeVert’s minutes. For those who have not been following, LeVert has been insanely consistent since the middle of December. Dating back to Dec. 17, LeVert has scored 26.50-plus fantasy points in all but one game, and he has scored 35-plus fantasy poinst in each of his last four games heading into tonight. LeVert has become the team’s version of Lou Williams; a ball-handler who runs the offense off the bench and plays extended minutes because he is an important part of the rotation. This price tag for him is simply not enough so plug him in and reap the benefits.

 

Forward/Centers (F/C):

DeAndre Jordan, Clippers, $14,200 – What a fantastic spot it is tonight for DeAndre Jordan without Griffin and against a Hawks team that ranks 25th in defensive efficiency versus opposing centers. Hell, only the Kings and Bucks have yielded more rebounds per game (RPG) to the position than the Hawks and the team only rates as a 28th percentile defense against putbacks (which is sort of Jordan’s specialty). Schroder drives to the basket a ton so there should also be plenty of block opportunities for Jordan. Without Griffin in the rotation earlier this season, Jordan averaged 38.7 FPPG, or about 2.73x value his current price point. The Hawks present a great opportunity for him to post an outlier positive performance so fade him at your own risk.

 

Domantas Sabonis, Pacers, $10,200 – No, Myles Turner is not out nor is Domantas Sabonis expected to start, but that has not mattered as of late. Heading into Monday night, Sabonis has garnered a 26-plus USG% in back-to-back games off the bench including a game versus the Bucks during that stretch. Once again tonight, the Pacers will square off against those very Bucks; a team Myles Turner has struggled against the last two seasons. In five career meetings against the Bucks, Turner has topped 23 fantasy points just once and he has shot over 38-percent against them just once as well. The trend is strange because the Bucks rank dead last in defensive efficiency versus opposing centers. Part of the allure for rostering centers against the Bucks is due to the rebounding upside as the team has allowed the second most rebounds per game (RPG) to the position. Of course, Turner is not a strong rebounder for a player of his position, but Sabonis is, and he has quietly played 27-plus minutes in four straight games. If Turner struggles early again in this one, the team will not be afraid to give him the quick hook, which will lead to extended minutes for a player like Sabonis who could potentially dominate in this spot.

 

*Statistics are accurate as of Sunday, January 7

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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