You’re No Goodwin

The Texans have allowed the seventh most fantasy points per game to wide receivers over the course of the last month and have not fared well against speedy receivers all year long. Consequently, Marquise Goodwin projects as a great play in all formats as he looks to exploit one of the major weaknesses of this defense. Check out daily fantasy expert Ricky Sanders’ recommended plays to help you fill out your roster for Week 14 NFL contests.

Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers, $11,600 – The absence of Jimmy Smith is going to make a huge difference for the Ravens secondary moving forward. According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), Smith had graded as both a top 12 overall cornerback (CB) so far this season and top 12 in terms of his coverage ability alone. Otherwise, none of the team’s other CBs have graded inside the top 30, and only one (Marlon Humphrey) has graded inside the top 60 at the position. The team can still get after the quarterback (QB), as they have produced 33 sacks, but the advantage clearly goes to Ben Roethlisberger now in the friendly confines of home. Whereas Roethlisberger has only averaged 253.2 yards passing and 15.3 fantasy points per game (FPPG) on the road this season, those outputs increase to 285.8 and 21.9 in Heinz Field. Hell, Roethlisberger’s touchdown-to-interception ratio (TD:INT) is 8:5 on the road compared to 12:7 at home. For what it is worth, Roethlisberger torched the Ravens for 279 yards and three TDs in their meeting in Heinz Field last year. Roethlisberger is simply way too cheap for a defense that is nowhere near as formidable without their top cover corner. Both Roethlisberger and his top target in the offense should have themselves a field day.

Jamaal Williams, Packers, $10,200 – The price point on Jamaal Williams has barely moved despite his recent hot streak so fantasy owners should keep riding the momentum. Despite the fact Aaron Jones returned to the backfield last week, he did not touch the ball until receiving a carry in overtime (which he took to the house for the game-winning TD. Otherwise, Williams dominated the workload: 21 carries for 113 yards and a TD plus two receptions (RECs) for 10 yards. In fact, this marked the fourth consecutive game in which Williams had rushed 18-plus times and had touched the ball 21-plus times. Do not look now but Williams is a workhorse back and facing a Browns team that has allowed the seventh most FPPG to opposing running backs (RBs) over the course of the last month. He is a $13,000 back priced at $10,200 so he obviously is worth every penny.

Antonio Brown, Steelers, $17,000 – Following a reasonably quiet game (at least until late into the fourth quarter) on Monday Night Football in which Antonio Brown played through a toe injury, he should be primed for a monster performance in Week 14 with five more days to rest. Thus far, the Ravens rank second in passing defense per Football Outsiders’ defense-adjusted value over average metric (DVOA) but that was prior to the Smith injury. Now, the fact that the team ranks fourth in DVOA versus number one wide receivers (WRs) can be taken with a grain of salt. Earlier in the year, the Ravens held him to just four RECs on nine targets for 34 yards, but, again, Smith was in the mix. Last year, Brown topped 21 fantasy points in each of his meetings versus this defense, and he had been targeted at least 10 times in six of seven games heading into the team’s tilt against the Bengals on Monday Night Football in Week 13. Expect him to see a similar number of targets this week, and whenever Brown is targeted in the double-digits, he is a serious threat to go bonkers.

Keenan Allen, Chargers, $16,100 – Last week, Keenan Allen became the first player in NFL history to have three straight games with 10 or more catches, 100 or more yards and at least one TD. The only scary player in the Redskins secondary is Josh Norman who does not shadow and hardly ever shifts over to cover slot receivers. Over the course of the last three weeks, Allen has been targeted a ridiculous 41 times and last week alone he was targeted seven times in the red zone. Not only is Allen receiving an absurd number of targets but he is receiving them near and in the end zone as well. Unsurprisingly, this recent trend has led to four TDs throughout the span of his last three games and there is simply no stopping Allen at this point. While this run may come to an end at some point, the Redskins do not seem to possess the personnel capable of stopping Allen. Expect another WR1 performance from the hottest player in fantasy football.

Marquise Goodwin, 49ers, $10,400 – No CB has allowed more yards in coverage than Kareem Jackson and speedy receivers like Brandin Cooks and T.Y. Hilton have crushed the Texans already this season. Quietly, Marquise Goodwin has emerged as the team’s number one WR sans Pierre Garcon and he is coming off a game where he caught 8-8 targets for 99 yards. Jimmy Garoppolo looks solid and the Texans are one of the best possible matchups for a QB because their two best pass rushers are out for the year and their secondary stinks. Garoppolo should have plenty of time in the pocket, which should lead to Goodwin having time to get open downfield and the correlation should lead to some big plays. The last time Goodwin failed to reach 68 yards receiving was Week 8 and he has only done so thrice since Week 3. It is crazy to say but Goodwin is a viable investment in both cash games and tournaments.

Travis Kelce, Chiefs, $13,300 – If looking for the lock of the week at tight end (TE), look no further than Travis Kelce against a Raiders team that ranks 25th in DVOA against the position. In Week 7, the Raiders made a conscious effort to slow Kelce down and yet he still caught 4-5 passes for 33 yards and a score. Since that time, Kelce has only failed to reach 73 yards receiving once, and he is coming off a game where he scored twice (and the Chiefs passing offense finally righted the ship). What more needs to be said about arguably the best player at the position? Consider him a fantastic option as per usual.

Indianapolis Colts Defense, $5,000 – Nathan Peterman is slated to start for the Bills which means he should be throwing INTs in no time. The Colts are not one would call an “upper-echelon defense” or anything close but it is impossible to overlook the matchup. As a professional, Peterman has completed just 19-39 of his passes (48.7-percent) for 195 yards, one TD, five INTs and a 32.5 QB rating. Nothing is special about the Colts defense, especially in the absence of Rashaan Melvin, and yet they are a professional defense playing the worst QB in the league. Oh, by the way, the pass-catchers on the Bills are horrendous even with Kelvin Benjamin trending towards suiting up in this contest. LeSean McCoy may have himself a decent game on the ground but the Colts are going to sell out to stop him. If they can limit him at all, and can force Peterman to throw, this defensive unit should prove to be one of the top per-dollar investments at the position, and they are significantly cheaper than the elite tier. Note: if Taylor happens to play, pivot to the Bengals

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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