Jordan Brand

DeAndre Jordan thrives in fast-paced environments, and he is dominating the boards this season, so he should excel once again versus a Lakers team he dominated (14-24 double-double) earlier in the year. Check out daily fantasy expert Ricky Sanders’ recommended plays to help you fill out your roster for today’s NBA contests.

Guards:

Chris Paul, Rockets, $14,600 – If spending up for one of the Rockets superstars in this game, Chris Paul is the more affordable option of the two, and he is simply underpriced. Some may look at last game as an example of why Paul is not worth the cost but he played 30-plus minutes for just the second time this year. Also, he shot just 2-12 from the field and still managed to score 31.50 fantasy points. In the three games prior to this “flop,” Paul scored 37, 35 and 52.50 fantasy points in 21, 24 and 28 minutes respectively. As Paul gets more acquainted with the offense, his per-minute production should only improve, and he is already averaging 1.42 fantasy points per minute (FPPM). No team plays at a faster pace than the Nets this season and their defensive efficiency has steadily been on the decline since the injury to D’Angelo Russell. While this could be a blowout, the Nets rank dead last in defensive efficiency versus opposing point guards (PGs), so Paul may not need many minutes to rack up the fantasy points. He was working on limited minutes anyways and fantasy owners are getting Paul for about $3,000 less than his norm last season. For those reasons, he is worth the risk.

Lou Williams, Clippers, $10,600 – What in the world is this price point? Without Patrick Beverley in the rotation, Lou Williams is averaging a whopping 38.3 fantasy points per game (FPPG) this season, and yet he will barely cost more than $10,000. On competing sites, Williams will cost about 13.0-percent of budgets whereas he only comes in at 10.6-percent of the salary cap on FantasyDraft. Williams was worthy of consideration at this price in previous roles as a sixth man when he was barely flirting with minutes in the upper-20s. Now, Williams is averaging a whopping 36.1 minutes per game (MPG) sans Beverley in the rotation, so he is racking up fantasy points in bunches. Hell, he is averaging 22.3 points per game (PPG) without the team’s starting PG, and the Lakers allow the sixth most PPG to opposing backcourts (46.9). In other words, Williams should exceed value by accident in this spot, and he is a worthwhile investment in all formats.

Forward/Center:

LeBron James, Cavaliers, $20,900 – With the team on the road against one of their main divisional rivals, LeBron James will undoubtedly will be called upon for heavy minutes against Ben Simmons and the 76ers. While Robert Covington is a solid defender, James just dominated Michael Kidd-Gilchrist for a beastly 27-16-13 triple-double with three blocks (BLKs). For James, the minutes matter more than the matchup, as he has topped 50 fantasy points in each of the last five games he has played at least 33 minutes. Although Joel Embiid is a solid rim protector, James is not guardable one-on-one. In the games the Cavaliers faced the 76ers with Embiid last season, James averaged 62.0 FPPG on the heels of 25.5 PPG, 9.0 rebounds per game (RPG) and 13.5 assists per game (APG). Big minutes equal big production for James and that should be the case in a game expected to be both high-scoring and competitive.

Nikola Vucevic, Magic, $13,700 – Nikola Vucevic dominated the Pacers in the firs meeting this season which is unsurprising after analyzing the underlying numbers. Only two teams have allowed a higher field goal percentage within five feet of the basket than the Pacers and they have allowed the seventh most points on post ups this year as well. Of course, Vucevic is heavily reliant on his post play; he averages the 21st most possession per game on post ups of any player. Additionally, the Pacers rank 28th in defensive efficiency versus opposing centers and allow the eighth most offensive rebounds per game (ORPG) to the position. Although Vucevic’s price has substantially risen over the course of the last few days, the pricing algorithm had been overlooking him for a while. On Monday, he is fairly-priced for a game where his upside stretches above 50 fantasy points once again (he dropped a 25-13 double-double and 49.25 fantasy points against the Pacers in his only meeting against them this season).

DeAndre Jordan, Clippers, $12,500 – This season, Blake Griffin has taken a backseat to DeAndre Jordan in the rebounding department because Griffin has been tasked with a larger share of the ball-handling load. On defensive rebounding opportunities, Griffin is already looking to get out in transition and Jordan’s outlet pass often finds Griffin, who then immediately attacks. Jordan also is not particularly interested in stepping out on shooters so the team uses a committee approach to guarding frontcourt shooters (especially centers). In the last meeting versus Brook Lopez and the Lakers, Jordan grabbed a whopping 24 rebounds (REB) and scored 14 points (PTS) en route to 48.50 fantasy points. Nothing has changed about the matchup this go-around expect for the fact Jordan is about $1,500 too cheap for this spot. Take this price point all the way to the bank. Seriously, lock in Jordan and move on.

Lance Stephenson, Pacers, $8,000 – Assuming Victor Oladipo is out once again on Monday, Lance Stephenson should be locked and loaded into all lineups. Saturday’s game against the best defensive team in the league outlined just how productive he could be without Oladipo: 16 PTS, eight REB, five AST and 33 fantasy points in 36 minutes. Thus far, Stephenson has averaged 0.97 FPPM without Oladipo off the court and he has played the second most minutes of any player without the starting shooting guard (Cory Joseph edges him out). As evident by last game, Stephenson is the main beneficiary of his absence, and wings have crushed the Magic as of late. Over their last five games, the Magic rank 28th in defensive efficiency versus shooting guards (SGs) and Oladipo himself put up 65.75 fantasy points against this very team exactly one week ago. All-in on Stephenson if Oladipo sits and simply pivot to Oladipo if he plays.

*Note: stats are accurate as of Sunday, November 26

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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