Kemba-ssy Suites

The Cavaliers have been demolished by point guards thus far so it is unlikely they can slow down a red-hot Kemba Walker at home on Wednesday. Check out daily fantasy expert Ricky Sanders’ recommended plays to help you fill out your roster for today’s NBA contests.

Guards:

DeMar DeRozan, Raptors, $13,700 – The matchup against the Pelicans sets up perfectly for DeMar DeRozan to excel. These two teams met just six days ago, and DeRozan went off for 49.50 fantasy points, and it makes all the sense in the world that he would again. Jrue Holiday is one of the better on-ball defenders in the league (just ask Dennis Schroder) so he makes life difficult for opposing point guards (PGs). If driving the line, ball-handlers are often met with a pair of twin towers, who are both amongst the most capable blockers in the league: Anthony Davis and DeMarcus Cousins. In other words, the best way to beat this team is in the mid-range. DeRozan averages the third most points per game (PPG) on pull up shooting (behind only James Harden and C.J. McCollum) and teams spot up against the Pelicans at the sixth highest rate. In the previous meeting, DeRozan took 23 field goal attempts because the offense funneled to him, and it would not be surprising for him to take 20-plus shots yet again tonight. Start him.

Kemba Walker, Hornets, $13,500 – The Cavaliers defense is so awful that they actually rank dead last in both team defensive efficiency this year and defensive efficiency versus PGs specifically. Last game, Frank Ntilikina dropped 24.25 fantasy points on this team in just 24 minutes (mostly due to racking up the steals against a sloppy Cavaliers offense). Amazingly, starting point guards had topped 40 fantasy points in five consecutive games against the Cavaliers before their tilt against Jarrett Jack (and the Knicks) and every starting PG besides Jack has posted 36.5-plus fantasy points against them since Oct. 20. Hell, there have been a total of three games this season where the starting PG did not score at least 36 fantasy points against the Cavaliers and two of those games came versus Jack and the other was against Malcolm Brogdon (who later scored 40 fantasy points versus them in the second meeting). Kemba Walker has been more effective at home throughout the course of his career so this is simply the lock of the century. Insert Walker into lineups and move on.

Dennis Schroder, Hawks, $12,300 – I just cannot quit this guy. Following two straight down games, the price tag has depreciated slightly on Dennis Schroder despite the fact he has taken 18 and 16 shots in his last two games respectively. In previous seasons, George Hill has rated as an above-average defender, but he has been lacking so far this year. No other player in the starting lineup has posted a worse defensive rating than Hill and he also ranks last in defensive box plus/minus. The Kings have rated as a 41st percentile defense versus the ball-handler in the pick-and-roll and Schroder runs the play on 9.9 possessions per game. By comparison, only Jeremy Lin, D’Angelo Russell, Kemba Walker, James Harden, DeMar DeRozan and Damian Lillard have averaged more possessions per game as the pick-and-roll ball-handler than Schroder. The Hawks PG has averaged 32.3 minutes per game (MPG) this month and 16.1 shot attempts per game so there is reason to believe the last two games were just anomalies. Expect a Schroder bounce-back game on Wednesday evening.

Forward/Center:

Paul George, Thunder, $14,600 – Both Steven Adams and Carmelo Anthony are unlikely to play on Wednesday to the masses are going to flock to Russell Westbrook with the boosted usage rate (USG%). Sans the Adams/Anthony duo on the court, Westbrook has garnered a beastly 40.6 USG% compared to 29.7 for Paul George. However, with the duo off the court, Westbrook is averaging 1.47 fantasy points per minute (FPPM) to George’s 1.45, and Westbrook is $6,300 more expensive. The only concern here is a blowout because the Bulls will be without one of their top scorers (Justin Holiday). Considering the pieces the Thunder are missing, this game should remain close enough that the Thunder’s main assets play a full allotment of minutes, and that should mean huge days with the additional usage available to them. On competing sites, George costs around 17-percent of the budget whereas he will only cost fantasy owners 14.6-percent of the budget on FantasyDraft. Take the discount all the way to the bank.

Jerami Grant, Thunder, $8,500 – Speaking of players whose value gets enhanced without Anthony/Adams active, Jerami Grant has played the most minutes with those two off the court. Furthermore, he is coming off a game where he played 34 minutes against the Mavericks and posted 27.50 fantasy points. If he were simply to produce the identical game on Wednesday, he would put a fantasy team on pace for 324 fantasy points. Yesterday, 324 fantasy points would have won tournaments, and 300 is typically the goal for cash games lineups on the site. Grant is averaging nearly 1.0 FPPM with the current roster construction, so if he plays 30-plus yet again, he should flirt with 30 fantasy points with ease. Fade him at your own risk if Anthony sits. Note: Pivot to Patty Mills if Anthony plays because he would become the safer punt of the two.

O.G. Anunoby, Raptors, $6,000 – After scoring 16 points and grabbing two rebounds yesterday en route to 23.50 fantasy points, O.G. Anunoby is still listed at the minimum price point. Norman Powell is almost assuredly out on Wednesday as he was seen leaving the arena on crutches this weekend. Assuming he were to sit again, Anunoby would be destined for around 30 minutes (29.6 last night) for the second straight game and he is basically free! Anunoby would have to do very little in order to reach value and the team is playing a Pelicans team susceptible to jump shooters. In this offense, Anunoby is needed to stand in the corner and hit threes and that is exactly what he did last night (3-4 from beyond the arc). All Anunoby needs for value is 18 fantasy points and his upside clearly stretches beyond that number. There is no reason to leave him off rosters because he allows fantasy owners to spend up elsewhere as well.

*Note: stats are accurate as of Tuesday, November 14

 

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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