Oh Say Can You Kelce

Travis Kelce will face a defense that has allowed a tight end to score against them in 10 consecutive weeks so he is the definition of a must-start. Check out daily fantasy expert Ricky Sanders’ recommended plays to help you fill out your roster for Week 11 NFL contests.

Carson Wentz, Eagles, $13,100 – Coming off his team’s bye week, Carson Wentz still leads the NFL in touchdown (TD) passes, edging out Tom Brady, Russell Wilson and Deshaun Watson (all have 19). Now, Wentz and company will square off against a Cowboys team that was just torched for 27 points by the Falcons. Although Matt Ryan only threw for 215 yards in that game, he threw for two scores and the Flacons dominated the time of possession (32:06-27:54). With left tackle Tyron Smith expected to be out for the foreseeable future, Dak Prescott should be continuously under siege again on Sunday. This is a huge problem for a Cowboys team already missing Ezekiel Elliott. Consequently, the Eagles should dominate time of possession (as they normally do) in Week 11 and that can only spell bad news for the Cowboys defense. Wentz is arguably the MVP to this point and his receiving core is loaded: Alshon Jeffery, Nelson Agholor and Zach Ertz (to name a few). Oh, by the way, the Cowboys rank 19th in passing defense according to Football Outsiders’ defense-adjusted value over average (DVOA) metric so the matchup is ripe. Expect another solid day from Wentz who continues to be a safe investment in cash games (22-plus fantasy points in four of his last five games). Hell, Wentz threw four TDs versus the Broncos his last time out so this game should be a piece of cake.

Kareem Hunt, Chiefs, $13,400 – Coach Andy Reid’s usage of Kareem Hunt has been frustrating in recent weeks but this sizeable of a price drop is just nutty. The Chiefs are coming off a bye so the team had plenty of time to realize scheming Hunt into the offense only leads to positive outcomes. According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), Hunt ranks first in their elusive rating by a large margin, which boils down a runner’s success beyond the point of being helped by his blockers. The Giants rank 25th in rushing DVOA and have essentially given up. Seriously, they hardly try any more and it shows on tape. The Vegas line (Chiefs favored by 12.5-points) suggests the Chiefs should be up early and that should only lead to them pounding the football later in the game. In other words, game flow should play perfectly into the hands of Hunt, and he could finally fall into an extended workload by default. If that is the case, the sky is the limit for this incredibly explosive back.

Isaiah Crowell, Browns, $9,400 – Do not look now but Isaiah Crowell is all of a sudden fantasy-viable again after scoring for the second consecutive game in Week 10. The light has turned on at an ideal time as he now draws a matchup against a Jaguars team that ranks 31st in rushing DVOA. Only nine teams have allowed more rushing yards to running backs (RBs) than the Jaguars and Crowell has quietly garnered at least double-digit carries in all but one game this year. Over the course of the last month, Crowell has been given 62.5-percent of the team’s carries inside the red zone and he has also caught four-plus passes in two of his last three games. He has scored in back-to-back games heading into this week and that is because he has rushed the ball inside the 20-yard line at least four times in each time during that span. Crowell not only possesses a decent floor but a sizeable floor as well in this spot against a bad rushing defense. Start him.

Michael Crabtree, Raiders, $12,000 – The highest projected total of the week features a battle between the Patriots and Raiders in Oakland. Both offenses are high-powered, and while the Patriots’ is obviously superior, the Raiders should be playing from behind. For a majority of the afternoon, Amari Cooper will draw the more difficult individual matchup (versus Malcolm Butler) which should leave Michael Crabtree to roam free against a subpar Patriots defense. To this point, no defense has allowed more passing yards per game (287.2) or total yards per game (408.3) than the Patriots so receivers have generally enjoyed success against them. Number one wide receivers (WRs) specifically have popped off against them as evident by the fact the team ranks 30th in DVOA versus the position (and are allowing 90.4 yards per game). Look for Derek Carr to target Crabtree early and often and he should prove to be one of the top per-dollar investments at the position.

Sterling Shepard, Giants, $12,900 – Speaking of excellent per-dollar investments, the Giants offense appears to be one of the more concentrated passing offenses in the league now that Odell Beckham Jr. is out for the year. In both his and Brandon Marshall’s absence, Eli Manning has been targeting Evan Engram heavily and the same can be said for Sterling Shepard as of two weeks ago. Prior to Week 9, Shepard had missed a few games due to injury, but he has returned to nine-plus targets in two straight games. Chiefs cornerback Marcus Peters lines up on one side of the field around 90-percent of the time so Shepard can be schemed into a second straight monster performance (11-142 last week). Since the Chiefs have rated as an above average defense against tight ends (TEs), more targets may funnel Shepard’s way this week. He is a lock for five-plus catches and he put his ceiling on display last week. Do not be afraid to invest in him again.

Travis Kelce, Chiefs, $12,500 – Garrett Celek’s score marked a NFL record 10th consecutive game in which a TE has scored against the Giants. This week, Travis Kelce will face that same Giants defense. What more needs to be said here? Kelce is arguably the most explosive TE in the league and he is averaging more fantasy points per game (FPPG) than any other player at the position. Whenever the best player at a position faces the worst defense at defending the position, fantasy owners must take notice. Kelce is a lock in all formats and fading him is a serious risk.

Houston Texans Defense, $6,400 – With Drew Stanton dealing with a sprained knee, it is looking more and more likely Blaine Gabbert will be starting for the Cardinals on Sunday. The last time Gabbert started for an extended stretch was last year and he threw just five TDs to five interceptions (INTs) in six games. Furthermore, he topped 300 yards passing in exactly zero of those games and completed just 56.9-percent of his passes with a measly 5.8 yards per attempt (YPA). Gabbert is awful, and this team is already missing David Johnson, so this would be an ideal offense to target against. The Texans defense is not a special defensive unit, especially without J.J. Watt, but they are still worth using against Gabbert. Period, end of story.

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

You may also like...

Leave a Reply