Nothing But (Four)nette

Leonard Fournette is touching the ball an awful lot when on the field and the matchup against the Jets is a juicy one. Check out daily fantasy expert Ricky Sanders’ recommended plays to help you fill out your roster for Week 4 NFL contests.

Deshaun Watson, Texans, $10,100 – Once again this week, a talented rookie quarterback (QB) is drastically underpriced except this time it is Deshaun Watson. In Week 3, Watson opened some eyes by throwing for 302 yards and two touchdowns (TDs) while nearly leading the Texans to a win on the road versus the Patriots. The most impressive part of the game was the fact Watson completed a pass to eight different receivers on an offense that looked like it had no one else capable of catching a pass in previous weeks. Now, the Texans will square off against a Titans defense that ranks 24th in Football Outsiders’ defense-adjusted value over average (DVOA) statistic. In fact, this is the same team that just surrendered 373 passing yards, four rushing TDs and seven rushing attempts (ATTs) for 26 yards to Russell Wilson. Prior to Wilson’s monstrous game against this subpar secondary, both he and the offensive line were struggling mightily (just one total TD through two games). While Watson is nowhere near as polished as Wilson, he is also a mobile QB with the ability to sling it, and he may get back deep threat Will Fuller this week. All signs point to Watson competing for the positional lead in terms of fantasy-points-per-dollar this weekend and that makes him a strong investment in all formats.

Kareem Hunt, Chiefs, $16,100 – Although the Monday Night Football game is not available to be rostered on competing sites, FantasyDraft is an industry leader/innovator. A lot of players who play on the site overlook the Monday night game which should present an advantage to those who include the game in their research. To this point, Kareem Hunt’s 2017 season has looked a lot like David Johnson’s 2016 season where he is dominating and contributing in both the rushing and receiving departments. Through three games, Hunt leads the NFL handily in rushing yards (401 to Dalvin Cook’s 288) and he is also tied for the league lead in rushing TDs (with Mike Gillislee, Devonta Freeman and Todd Gurley). Any matchup is beatable for him right now but the Redskins at least present a tough challenge for him. Thus far, they rank third in rushing DVOA but they absolutely annihilated the Raiders to the point where they were longer throwing and they faced a brutal Eagles rushing attack in the season opener. In their one game against a formidable rushing attack, Todd Gurley torched them for 5.5 yards per carry (YPC) and scored a TD both on the ground and via the air. Look for Hunt to post a similarly impressive line as he continues to show he is top the back in all of fantasy football.

Leonard Fournette, Jaguars, $12,600 – Leonard Fournette is one of 20 backs to have played at least 56-percent of his offense’s snaps but that number does not accurately reflect his true workload. In Week 3, the Jaguars blew the Ravens out of the building so he was out of the game for a large part of the second half. Looking back, Fournette played 61-percent of the offensive snaps in Week 1 and 60-percent of them in Week 2. Simply put: Fournette is the workhorse back on the Jaguars and, despite unspectacular snap numbers, he has produced the fourth highest touch rate (56.0-percent) of any running back (RB). What is touch rate? Well, it is defined as percentage of snaps a player touches the ball. Essentially, when he is in the game, the Jaguars often choose to feed him. Although the Jets defense looked solid last week against the Dolphins (whose starting RB was dealing with a knee injury), they still have allowed the seventh most fantasy points to the position and the fifth most YPC (4.8). At this mid-tier price point, Fournette is a lock.

DeAndre Hopkins, Texans, $12,100 – With the offense starting to take shape around him, DeAndre Hopkins’ stock is on the rise. Whereas earlier in the season it looked like Watson may have to throw the ball to Hopkins 16 times a game just to gain any yards, the team now will add a deep threat to the mix (Fuller) this week and a starting tight end (TE) appears to have emerged last week (Ryan Griffin). If Griffin can continue to emerge as Watson’s security blanket and Fuller can present the threat of taking the top off the defense, more defense attention will have to be focused away from Hopkins. Consequently, he will see less double coverage and he will find himself in more winnable individual matchups. The Titans have allowed 81.0 yards per game to opposing number one wide receivers (WRs) so far which ranks seventh worst. With a ton more volume headed his way, Hopkins is a lock to catch 6-7 passes, so he is an ideal cash game play.

Tyrell Williams, Chargers, $8,700 – While expected to be popular this week, Tyrell Williams makes all the sense in the world at a sub-$9,000 cost. While Keenan Allen matches up against a combination of Rasul Douglas and Patrick Robinson, who have both graded inside the top 24 at the cornerback position this year, Williams will draw the nuts matchup against Jalen Mills. No cornerback has been targeted more than Mills this year and he has allowed 27 receptions (most in the league), 256 yards and two TDs. When being targeted, Mills have allowed opposing QBs to post a 93.5 rating and he has been targeted once every 3.3 cover snaps. Since the other cornerbacks are so strong, Mills is the one habitually picked on. Since Williams has been targeted seven-plus times in two of his three games already, this should be his breakout week.

Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Jets, $5,900 – Teams facing the Jaguars are going to have to target their TEs heavily by default because the team’s cornerbacks are so darn good. Both Jalen Ramsey and A.J. Bouye have allowed passer ratings of 40.3 or below when they have been targeted this year. Amazingly, QBs only sport a 9.8 rating when targeting Ramsey. 9.8! Since the Jets do not have talented enough WRs to be depended on to consistently beat the pair of elite corners, Austin Seferian-Jenkins should see another healthy number of targets this week. In his season debut last week, Seferian-Jenkins hauled in 5-6 targets in a game the team won easily. Game flow should play more to his advantage this week and targets should be funneling his way. This price point is an absolute steal.

Cincinnati Bengals Defense, $7,000 – Finally, the Cincinnati Bengals round out this article as they will be taking on rookie DeShone Kizer in FirstEnergy Stadium. Kizer has already developed a reputation for holding onto the ball way too long which has led to him being sacked 10 times in three games. Also, he is still a work in progress, so his TD-INT ratio currently sits at 3-7. Yes, that would be three TDs to seven interceptions. With Corey Coleman out of the mix, the Browns really have one capable pass-catcher: Duke Johnson Jr. In Week 3, the team dropped a whopping eight passes and Johnson was the only player with at least four targets to convert over 50-percent of them. What more needs to be said? Start this defense with confidence.

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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