Shama Lamb-a Ding Dong

Jake Lamb will face a beatable right-hander in the friendly confines of home tonight so fading him is not a smart idea. Check out daily fantasy expert Ricky Sanders’ recommended plays to help you fill out your roster for today’s MLB contests.

Infield:

Jake Lamb, Diamondbacks, $9,000 – Quietly, Jake Lamb has already hit 27 homers this year after a 29 home run (HR) season last year when he was the talk of the town. In the friendly confines of Chase Field this season, Lamb has launched 15 bombs compared to just 12 of them on the road. As is the case with most LHHs, Lamb is a drastically better hitter in the split against RHP. In 357 at-bats (ABs) against righties this year, Lamb is slashing .289/.392/.560 with a .272 ISO, .391 wOBA, 136 wRC+, 36.7-percent hard hit rate and 41.9-percent fly ball rate. If a lefty can get lift under the ball in this hitter-friendly environment, it quite often leaves in a hurry. Opposing starter Jordan Lyles has been absolutely wrecked by lefties this year: .424 wOBA, 2.45 HR/9 rate, .351/.408/.606 slash line, 30.0-percent line drive rate and 42.5-percent hard hit rate. Essentially, the correlation could not be any clearer and Lamb should be in an ideal spot to go nuts.

Jean Segura, Mariners, $8,100 – Speaking of players in excellent matchups, Jean Segura and the Mariners are scheduled to do battle with Ricky Nolasco. Only two pitchers have allowed more dongs to RHHs this year than Nolasco: Ariel Miranda and Derek Holland (both are which are left-handed). Nolasco is the king of the reverse splits pitchers and Segura has virtually posted an identical wOBA against both lefties and righties this year. In other words, he should be primed to excel in this individual matchup. For what it is worth, Segura is 4-12 (.333) off Nolasco in his career with two extra-base hits (XBH). The sample size makes sense when considering Segura is slashing .301/.341/.435 versus righties this year. Leading off for a powerful team that should inevitably drive him in when he gets on, Segura is a fantastic play in all formats (but especially cash games).

Outfield:

Trea Turner, Nationals, $10,400 – Admittedly, Jake Thompson threw the best game of his career the last time out, which is a bit concerning. Still, looking at the overall sample size, Thompson has been roasted by RHHs to the tune of a .412 wOBA, 2.76 HR/9 rate, .308/.384/.609 slash line, 36.0-percent hard hit rate and 46.9-percent fly ball rate. In his young career, Thompson has also only induced a 7.2-percent swinging strike rate, although that number is up to 8.4-percent so far this year. Meanwhile, Trea Turner is just loaded with upside between his abundance of both power and speed. Consequently, he is quite frequently a worthwhile start in daily fantasy and tonight is no exception. Thus far, Turner owns a .351 wOBA and .173 ISO, .299/.351/.472 slash line against RHP plus he is always a threat to steal if he gets on. Facing what had been one of the worst pitchers in baseball prior to one good start, lock Turner in and enjoy Thompson’s regression.

Austin Jackson, Indians, $8,400 – On a team full of lefty killers, Austin Jackson’s numbers reign supreme above them all. Heading into Friday night’s action, Jackson sports a .431 wOBA, .245 ISO, .349/.430/.594 slash line, 31.3-percent hard hit rate and 33.7-percent fly ball rate in the split. Probable starter Wade Miley is a perfect player to target against because he walks hitters at the highest rate in the league so he is easy to sustain a rally against. To this point, Miley has yielded a .363 wOBA, 1.46 HR/9 rate, .290/.380/.464 slash line, 23.7-percent line drive rate and 32.1-percent hard hit rate to RHHs. When matched up against a southpaw, the Indians habitually roll out a lineup that features nine righties (well, some of them are switch-hitters hitting from the right side). This should mean trouble for the subpar left-hander and the Indians stack is arguably tops on the slate.

Pitcher:

Max Scherzer, Nationals, $25,800 – Max Scherzer versus the Phillies? Yes, please. The league’s most dominant pitcher versus RHHs will square off against one of the National League’s worst hitting teams against RHP. Guess what? Their best hitter is a right-hander: Rhys Hoskins. Overall, the Phillies rank in the bottom 10 of wOBA, wRC+, ISO, BB rate, OBP, SLG and hard hit rate while striking out at a 23.4-percent rate. Scherzer has struck out righties at a whopping 44.6-percent rate this year and he has whiffed lefties 26.6-percent of the time as well. Assuming he can stay healthy, Scherzer should pitch deep into this game and he has a great shot at an outlier strikeout performance. Fade him at your own risk.

Patrick Corbin, Diamondbacks, $18,300 – If looking for a reasonably priced SP2 option to pair Scherzer with, Patrick Corbin certainly fits the bill. Since the All-Star Break, Corbin has struck out 24.5-percent of opposing hitters (compared to 20.8-percent in the first half) and he has held them to a .288 wOBA (versus .351 pre-All-Star Break). No team’s active hitters have cumulatively posted a lower wOBA against LHP than the Padres and they rank in the bottom 10 of nearly every major statistical category (wRC+, ISO, BB rate, AVG, OBP, SLG and line drive rate). As icing on the cake, the team has struck out at a 24.8-percent rate against the handedness so Corbin’s recent K uptick should continue. At this point, Corbin is a pitching like a $20,000-plus pitcher, so this cost is a bargain.

Collin McHugh, Astros, $16,400 – Last but not least, Collin McHugh draws an elite strikeout matchup against an Athletics team that has struck out 20 more times than the next highest team in the American League (AL). Although McHugh has preferred pitching at home, Oakland Coliseum is one of the more pitcher-friendly environments in the AL, and McHugh breezed through the Athletics in his last meeting against him. On Jul. 19, McHugh struck out just three Athletics but allowed just seven baserunners and zero earned runs (ERs) in 6.0 IP. If McHugh is able to avoid the long ball, and he has not allowed a homer in four consecutive starts, then he will have no trouble producing another quality start. Feel free to deploy him in both cash games and tournaments if need be.

*Statistics are accurate as of Thursday, September 7

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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