Member-Berrios

Even though Jose Berrios is facing the White Sox for the second time in less than a week, the advantage still goes to the dominant right-hander against a porous offense like this. Check out daily fantasy expert Ricky Sanders’ recommended plays to help you fill out your roster for today’s MLB contests.

Infield:

Justin Smoak, Blue Jays, $8,800 (Late) – What an amazing matchup Justin Smoak draws tonight against ex-Cy Young Award winner Rick Porcello. Of course, Porcello has not pitched like an award-winning pitcher this year…or even an above-average one. Thus far, Porcello has been crushed by LHHs to the tune of a .351 wOBA, 1.89 HR/9 rate, .282/.321/.518 slash line, 43.4-percent hard hit rate (!) and 44.9-percent fly ball rate. Meanwhile, Smoak has set the world on fire this year and he leads the Blue Jays active hitters in ISO (.286), SLG (.550) and hard hit rate (41.1-percent) against RHP. See any correlations there? Porcello is allowing all the hard contact and Smoak is producing it at an astounding rate so it would be shocking if Smoak did not finish this game with at least one extra-base hit (XBH).

Mitch Garver, Twins, $5,400 (Late) – Yesterday, this article featured a hitter in a popular stack who hit lower in the order and the same is true for today. After Scott Schebler awarded fantasy owners’ faith in him with a grand slam, Mitch Garver has a tough standard to live up to. At Triple-A this year, Garver excelled in the split against LHP: .304/.427/.557 slash line with four home runs (HRs) in 79 at-bats (ABs). Since his call-up, Garver has produced a respectable .318 wOBA against the handedness but his skill set far exceeds his numbers to this point. He (and the Twins) literally could not ask for a better matchup on Wednesday as they will square off against Derek Holland who has allowed the most bombs to RHHs of any pitcher this season. In total, Holland has yielded a .404 wOBA, 2.35 HR/9 rate, .298/.395/.567 slash line, 40.9-percent hard hit rate and 43.8-percent fly ball rate to RHHs over the span of 99.2 IP. While most (rightfully) look to target the top of the lineup, do not forget about Garver.

Outfield:

Austin Jackson, Indians, $8,400 (Early) – It appears the Yankees will go with C.C. Sabathia in the first game of today’s double-header which should be music to Austin Jackson’s ears. Not only is he familiar with Sabathia due to his playing days in New York but he also is the team’s leader in wOBA against southpaws thus far. Here is Jackson’s full stat line in the split: .422 wOBA, .234 ISO, .340/.426/.574 slash line, 32.0-percent hard hit rate and a 33.3-percent fly ball rate. In 34 career ABs against Sabathia, Jackson has gone 10-34 (.294) with five extra-base hits and a mediocre average exit velocity of 86.3mph. However, Sabathia used to be a vastly superior pitcher than he is these days as evident by his 33.1-percent hard hit rate and 1.40 HR/9 rate allowed to RHHs. The Indians just crushed Chris Sale and rarely ever strike out so they should be destined to do some damage against a mediocre starter in hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. Stack them up.

Kike Hernandez, Dodgers, $6,600 (Late) – Kike Hernandez is quietly one of the better hitters to roster against aces in the entire league. The man owns excellent career numbers against many of them including notable names like Madison Bumgarner and Robbie Ray. Luckily for Hernandez, Ray is the probable starter tonight and the Dodgers offense will enjoy a huge positive park shift as they travel to Chase Field. Over the span of just 18 career ABs, Hernandez has homered thrice against Ray plus he has managed both a double and a triple. Altogether, Hernandez is 7-18 (.389) with an average exit velocity of 96.5mph (and he has put the ball in play 13 times). Oh, by the way, Hernandez is a fantastic hitter against lefties and always has been so these numbers are not an outlier. What more is there to say? Plug in Hernandez in a matchup that is clearly beatable.

Pitchers:

Dallas Keuchel, Astros, $22,000 (Late) – The lack of strikeouts for Dallas Keuchel over the course of his last five starts are a bit concerning as he has only topped four strikeouts once during that span. Nevertheless, it is not like Keuchel has been crushed during that span; he has surrendered more than two earned runs twice since Aug. 2. In fact, Keuchel has given up just three earned runs (ERs) in his last three starts combined. Since the swinging strike rates all look fine, the lack of strikeouts seems to just be an anomaly, and Keuchel will draw an elite matchup versus the Rangers tonight. If he has his best stuff, his K rate should bounce back in a big way against an offense that has struck out over 25-percent of the time against LHP this season. With Houston flooding, the game has been moved to St. Petersburg and Tropicana Field is a much more pitcher-friendly environment. Assuming Keuchel can keep the ball on the ground, and he normally does, this should be a dominant outing from him.

Jose Berrios, Twins, $19,500 (Late) – Sans Nicky Delmonico and Yoan Moncada, most of the White Sox lineup is nothing more than Triple-A quality. Guys like Yolmer Sanchez, Tyler Saladino, Omar Narvaez and Adam Engel would not make most 25-man rosters in the MLB. Consequently, there is no reason to believe Jose Berrios will not dominate this very team for the second time in less than a week. On Aug. 24, Berrios struck out nine White Sox in just 5.1 IP and Vegas now lists Berrios as a whopping -220 favorite. With the team set to provide a healthy amount of run support, Berrios is a rock-solid investment in both cash games and tournaments.

Chase Anderson, Brewers, $17,700 (Early) – Instead of just writing up Stephen Strasburg or Carlos Martinez, who are obvious choices for SP1, it made more sense to write up a SP2 option on the early slate. Chase Anderson is amidst his breakout season as he is posting a career-best K rate, ERA and FIP this year. At home specifically, Anderson has been virtually untouchable: .198/.268/.354 slash line, .271 wOBA and a 14.3-percent line drive rate. The only concerning numbers are his hard hit rate (36.2-percent) and fly ball rate (46.6-percent) but the Cardinals own the 12th lowest ISO against RHP in 2017. Furthermore, Anderson has held both lefties and righties to below-average wOBAs so his recent success (three straight starts with two or less ERs is not surprising. If looking for a safe pitcher to pair with the aces, look no further than Anderson.

*Statistics are accurate as of Tuesday, August 29

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

You may also like...

Leave a Reply