Great Scott!

Scott Schebler is on fire and will square off against one of the worst starters in the big leagues (Chris Flexen) tonight. In hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark, Schebler should be deployed with confidence in tournaments especially. Check out daily fantasy expert Ricky Sanders’ recommended plays to help you fill out your roster for today’s MLB contests.

Infield:

Joey Votto, Reds, $10,000 – The offense that is arguably in the best spot on Tuesday is the Reds at home against Chris Flexen. A small ballpark is not the ideal atmosphere for a pure fly baller…especially one who gives up a majority of his fly balls to lefties. Unfortunately for Flexen, the Reds are loaded with left-handed power, beginning of course with Joey Votto. Amongst all active hitters, Votto leads them all in career wOBA against RHP (min. 100 at-bats) and the rest of his stat line is not too shabby either: .237 ISO, .319/.438/.556 slash line, 38.8-percent hard hit rate and a 34.6-percent fly ball rate. Vegas is implying 5.7 runs for the Reds and that may not be enough against a pitcher who throws four below-average pitches. Literally every single one of them ranks as a subpar pitch according to FanGraphs’ pitch type linear weights and that has led to a .389 wOBA allowed to LHHs. All signs point to a Reds explosion and Votto should contribute in a big way if they erupt.

Jorge Polanco, Twins, $8,400 – Speaking of potential blowup spots, the Twins are squaring off against James Shields for the second time in less than a week. When teams see a pitcher twice in this short of a period, the advantage goes to the hitters because the pitcher loses the element of surprise. The team recently saw his entire arsenal and he is not a good pitcher by any means. Although Shields has strung together a couple decent outings in a row, lefties have still smoked him to the tune of a .422 wOBA, 3.38 HR/9 rate, .304/.400/.625 slash line, 33.9-percent hard hit rate and a 46.5-percent fly ball rate. While Shields held the Twins to just five baserunners and three runs on Aug. 23, Jorge Polanco hit a bomb off him and the Twins shortstop is heading into this game en fuego. Prior to tonight, Polanco has produced double-digit fantasy points in seven of his last 12 games and has hit four homers during that span. His recent production has led to the team moving him up to the three hole in the order and he is a vastly superior hitter against righties. In other words, Polanco is primed for another huge game against a true gas can.

Outfield:

Mike Trout, Angels, $10,200 – Probable starter Chris Smith’s skill set is as bland as his name as literally none of his attributes jump off the page. In 25.1 IP against RHHs, Smith has yielded a .374 wOBA, 3.55 HR/9 rate (!), .252/.287/.637 slash line, 36.8-percent hard hit rate and 41.9-percent fly ball rate while only striking them out at a measly 14.8-percent rate. A pitcher who does not miss bats and is susceptible to power should be doomed in the individual matchup against Mike Trout. Thus far, Trout leads all qualified hitters in both wOBA (.458) and ISO (.352) against RHP. Most will rush to roster Giancarlo Stanton against Edwin Jackson and Charlie Blackmon at home against a righty while Trout may draw the most enticing matchup of the bunch. Even at $10,200, Trout is worth every penny.

Scott Schebler, Reds, $7,200 – One Reds lefty is not enough, and while Scooter Gennett is a solid talent to pair Votto with, Scott Schebler presents the preferable per-dollar investment. Over the course of the last 14 days, Schebler owns a .370/.438/.778 slash line, .407 ISO, .485 wOBA, 201 wRC+ and a ridiculous 45.8-percent hard hit rate. Like many power hitters, Schebler is streaky, and he is amidst a heater at the moment so fantasy owners will want to keep riding the hot hand (bat). In this tiny park, Schebler could leave the yard by accident, and making contact should not be an issue against a scrub like Flexen. Build around Schebler in tournaments and sleep like a baby.

Pitchers:

Chris Sale, Red Sox, $25,600 – Clearly, Chris Sale is the top pitching option on tonight’s slate and he is priced as such. The next most expensive pitcher on the slate is Jake Arrieta at home against the difficult-to-strikeout Pirates so his projection is not even in the same stratosphere as Sale. When Sale last faced the Blue Jays in Toronto, he struck out 11 and allowed just four total baserunners across seven scoreless innings. Coming off a brutal start against the Indians, Sale will be looking for payback and he had struck out nine-plus hitters in 10 of his previous 11 starts prior to his latest implosion. Look for a bounce back in a big way.

Trevor Bauer, Indians, $15,300 – If looking for strikeout potential, Trevor Bauer is an intriguing tournament option on the road against the Yankees. Aaron Judge is expected to sit out with a bum shoulder and Gary Sanchez’s suspension could come down at any time. If both those hitters happen to be out, Bauer’s matchup would obviously get enhanced significantly. During the span of Bauer’s last seven starts, Bauer has managed at least 18 fantasy points in six of those games and has struck out six-plus in five of them. The weather conditions are looking to be pitcher-friendly as Yankee Stadium is projected to be rainy and chilly with the wind blowing in at about 13-15mph. If these conditions hold strong, Bauer should prove to be an excellent investment at a mid-tier price point.

Luke Weaver, Cardinals, $15,200 – Finally, Luke Weaver finds himself in a spot to potentially reach his ceiling against the strikeout-prone Brewers. The last time Weaver toed the mound against this team, Weaver struck out eight in 6.1 IP en route to 26.05 fantasy points. Amazingly, Weaver has held lefties to a .187 wOBA so far this season and he has struck out righties at a whopping 33.9-percent rate. If he can keep the Brewers lefties at bay, he should be destined for a dominant start. Hell, the Brewers have struck out at the highest rate of any team in the National League (NL) against RHP and they rank below average in terms of wRC+. At this price point, the sky is the ceiling, although he is admittedly a bit volatile.

*Statistics are accurate as of Monday, August 28

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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