Cron-y Capitalism

C.J. Cron possesses elite power against left-handed pitching and is priced at an incredibly reasonable $7,200 price tag. Check out daily fantasy expert Ricky Sanders’ recommended plays to help you fill out your roster for today’s MLB.

Infield:

Brian Dozier, Twins, $10,400 (Late) – Heading into tonight, only Ariel Miranda has served up more homers to RHHs than Derek Hollandand Miranda has pitched more than 20 more innings this year. That number alone should deem Brian Dozier a superb play but there is even more to like about the matchup. Righties have roasted Holland to the tune of a .410 wOBA, 12.4-percent BB rate, 2.38 HR/9 rate, .303/.401/.577 slash line, 22.7-percent line drive rate, 41.5-percent hard hit rate and 42.9-percent rate overall. Additionally, Holland has thrown his fastball over 53-percent of the time and Dozier rates as the team’s best fastball hitter (amongst those who are currently active). Not only does Dozier lead the team’s active regulars in wOBA against LHP but he also leads the Twins in ISO (.267), AVG (.327), OBP (.429), SLG (.594), hard hit rate (38.0-percent). Vegas is implying a healthy 5.8 runs for the Twins tonight so it is worth going back to the well after a disappointing Wednesday evening.

C.J. Cron, Angels, $7,200 (Late) – Probable starter Martin Perez has allowed seven-plus earned runs (ERs) in three of his last five starts and three-plus earned runs in six of his last eight games. On paper, the Angels rate as one of the worst hitting teams against LHP but there a few impact bats in the middle of the lineup. While most will (rightfully) gravitate towards Mike Trout, C.J. Cron quietly sports a .372 wOBA against southpaws and he leads the team in ISO (.339) against the handedness. In just 56 at-bats (ABs) against lefties, Cron has already launched six homers to complement his .250/.311/.589 slash line, 35.0-percent hard hit rate and 52.5-percent fly ball rate. He is sort of an all-or-nothing type investment who strikes out at a 26.2-percent rate in the split. Luckily, Perez has induced a minuscule 7.7-percent swinging strike rate this year, so he is unlikely to miss Cron’s bat. Therefore, expect the beastly first baseman to put on a power display.

Outfield:

Mike Trout, Angels, $11,100 (Late) – Whenever Mike Trout is facing a pitcher who will not miss bats, he is a threat to put one in the seats. Against righties this season, Perez has been torched for a .369 wOBA, 1.41 HR/9 rate, .309/.371/.501 slash line, 24.3-percent line drive rate and 36.8-percent hard hit rate. Breaking news: Trout habitually crushes the ball so he should excel against a pitcher allowing a healthy amount of significant contact. What really is there to say? Trout and Dozier are the top two overall hitters on the slate and ideally should be started alongside one another.

Giancarlo Stanton, Marlins, $11,200 (Early) – If playing the early slate, one offense stands out above the others: The Marlins. Opposing starter Jake Thompson is the definition of a gas can and he has been since his call-up in mid-2016. During his tenure as a Major Leaguer, Thompson has yielded a .375 wOBA to RHHs to go along with a 2.04 HR/9 rate, .275/.355/.545 slash line, 37.2-percent hard hit rate and 42.6-percent fly ball rate…and his numbers are worse against LHHs. As icing on the cake, Thompson has only struck out opposing hitters at a measly 13.7-percent rate while inducing a pathetic 6.8-percent swinging strike rate. Considering he has walked hitters at an 11.4-percent rate as well, it is easy to see why he allows an insane number of baserunners. Look, Giancarlo Stanton is the top play here but the entire offense is playable. Stack away and enjoy the results against a pitcher who legitimately belongs in the minors.

Pitchers:

Carlos Martinez, Cardinals, $23,600 (Late) – Whereas alternatives such as Stephen Strasburg, Dallas Keuchel and Jake Arrieta all possess some clear downside, it should be smooth sailing for Carlos Martinez in a matchup at home against the Padres. In five of his last six starts, Martinez has induced a ground ball (GB) rate of 60.0-percent or higher (including a GB rate of at least 50.0-percent in every game during that span). If the lowly Padres are not going to be able to get some life under the ball, they are going to struggle. Thus far, the Padres rank in the bottom 10 of wOBA, wRC+, BB rate, AVG, OBP, SLG and hard hit rate versus RHP while striking out at a whopping 23.4-percent. If looking for a safe option, look no further than the Cardinals ace.

Jose Berrios, Twins, $16,800 (Late) – On the late slate, Jose Berrios is the logical pitcher to pair with Martinez because he is somewhat cheap and is oozing with strikeout potential against the White Sox. In his last battle against this very team, Berrios struck out eight in 8.0 IP en route to 31 fantasy points. Berrios is coming off a game where he struck out seven Diamondbacks and finished with 31.95 fantasy points. The current constitution of the White Sox ranks in the bottom 10 of virtually every major statistical category versus RHP and the only hitters to be wary of are Jose Abreu and Nicky Delmonico. Assuming Berrios can keep those two hitters reasonably quiet, he should cruise tonight.

Rafael Montero, Mets, $12,300 (Early) – By taking one look at the early slate, it is easy to see that building around Robbie Ray as the SP1 is the preferred play. What is more difficult is identifying a solid SP2 with any semblance of upside. To me, that pitcher is Rafael Montero against a Diamondbacks team that has produced an unimpressive 73 wRC+ against RHP on the road in the month of August. In that same split, the Diamondbacks have struck out at a 22.4-percent rate and are only slashing .213/.291/.375 with a .288 wOBA. On the other hand, Montero has struck out five-plus hitters in five consecutive games and has topped 17 fantasy points in two straight prior to this afternoon. At this bargain price point, Montero is worth every penny.

*Stats are accurate as of Wednesday, August 23

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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