Only Godley Knows Why

Zack Godley will square off against a depleted Mets team on Wednesday so go ahead and lock him it at his mid-tier price tag. Check out daily fantasy expert Ricky Sanders’ recommended plays to help you fill out your roster for today’s MLB.

Infield:

Anthony Rizzo, Cubs, $10,500 – Facing a starting pitcher with a 52.9-percent fly ball rate allowed to LHHs, Anthony Rizzo is a no-brainer on this slate. Yes, probable starter Asher Wojciechowski is pitching in the wrong ballpark for his skillset as Wednesday’s tilt will take place in power-friendly Great American Ballpark. All lefties have done off Wojciechowski this season is produce a .379 wOBA, 1.90 HR/9 rate, .287/.333/.587 slash line and 34.7-percent hard hit rate. Rizzo, one of the best lefties in the league, should excel against a subpar opponent in an elite hitting environment. Start him in both cash games and tournaments.

Jorge Polanco, Twins, $7,200 – Over the course of the last two days alone, Jorge Polanco has slugged three home runs (HRs). In fact, he launched a bomb in both games of the double-header on Monday which led to Manager Paul Molitor moving him up to the three spot in the order on Tuesday (and he hit another dong). Since the results were so positive yesterday, Polanco will very likely hit towards the middle of the lineup once again on Wednesday. Prior to Polanco’s big game last night, he was already slashing .354/.392/.604 with a .416 wOBA and 162 wRC+ cumulatively over the last 14 days. Tonight, loading up on Twins bats is of the utmost importance because they will square off against gas can James Shields. Any member of the Twins who hits from the left side is viable because Shields has been roasted to the tune of a .439 wOBA, 3.55 HR/9 rate (!), .317/.417/.653 slash line, 36.4-percent hard hit rate and 47.9-percent fly ball rate by LHHs. Even in Guaranteed Rate Field, the Twins are favored and are being implied to score 5.6 runs. In other words, Polanco is a fantastic play but he is only the first of a few Twins bats to be featured in this article…

Outfield:

Eddie Rosario, Twins, $8,800 – Right on cue, Eddie Rosario, another Twins hitter, makes an appearance as an outfielder worth rostering. Like the aforementioned Polanco, Rosario homered last night and Rosario is now hitting .300-plus for the season. Thus far, Rosario leads the team in wOBA (.372), ISO (.235), AVG (.301), OBP (.352) and SLG (.536) against RHP so he is the one worth spending up for. Oh, and Polanco is not actually the hottest hitter on the team heading into tonight…Rosario, Brian Dozier and Byron Buxton are all actually hotter (according to their wOBAs over the last two weeks). Once again, the wind is expected to be blowing out, so Shields really stands no chance against a team that will head into tonight sporting a .408 wOBA (best in MLB) over the past 14 days. Stack the hell out of the Twins and enjoy the results.

Rhys Hoskins, Phillies, $7,600 – In just 12 Major League games, Rhys Hoskins has already smoked six homers. Amazingly, he has hit all six in the span of his last eight games and he is the first Phillies rookie ever to accomplish such a feat. Tonight, he will face an opposing pitcher, Justin Nicolino, who does not miss bats whatsoever. In 2017, Nicolino has induced a measly 5.4-percent swinging strike rate which is 0.3 percentage points higher than his career average. Additionally, he has yielded a .321 wOBA, 1.14 HR/9 rate, 22.1-percent line drive rate and 31.2-percent hard hit rate to righties this year while only striking them out at a 13.1-percent rate. If not going to miss Hoskins’ bat then he clearly has a chance to hit his seventh career bomb. All-in on him at this price tag.

Pitchers:

Luis Severino, Yankees, $24,000 – This evening, I am on team “Fade Corey Kluber” because Luis Severino should post a similar score for cheaper. In three meetings against the Red Sox last year, Kluber only managed five, six and seven strikeouts respectively in those contests. Of course, this is a slightly different team this year, but they are still a difficult one to strike out. On the other hand, Severino will face a Tigers team that ranks in the bottom 10 of wOBA, wRC+, ISO, AVG, OBP and SLG while striking out at about the league average rate against RHP. Since Jul. 8, Severino has only failed to produce at least 22 fantasy points in one start. As icing on the cake, Severino has struck out righties at a 29.4-percent rate and has held them to a .265 wOBA this year. If the Tigers roll out their typical lineup, it will feature seven RHHs. Fade Kluber with confidence in order to pivot to the cheaper Severino.

Zack Godley, Diamondbacks, $18,800 – The Mets offense is not nearly as scary now as it was a few weeks ago because the team unloaded both Jay Bruce and Neil Walker to other teams. With Michael Conforto dealing with a hand injury, Zack Godley has a great shot to go out and dominate tonight. Even with Conforto in the lineup, this team ranks in the bottom 10 of wOBA, AVG, OBP, SLG and line drive rate. Meanwhile, Godley strikes hitters out at a solid rate, rarely allows hard contact and induces a ton of ground balls. It is very difficult to sustain a rally against him and it will be extra-difficult if the team’s superstar is not in the lineup. Either way, Godley is one of the best pitching plays, but he would move up to number one if Conforto were to sit.

Luke Weaver, Cardinals, $13,600 – Finally, Luke Weaver will look to rebound after Lance Lynn took a beating at the hands of the Padres last night. Unlike Lynn, Weaver has a bit of strikeout upside considering he has struck out righties at a 30.8-percent rate. Overall, the Padres are one of the worst offenses in the league against RHP so yesterday should be classified as an outlier. Still, Weaver has allowed a .369 wOBA to RHHs so this is more of a tournament play. Weaver is likely to garner a healthy amount of ownership because of his price tag but he has the potential to pay off. If multi-lineuping, look to fade Weaver in at least one of the lineups.

*Stats are accurate as of Tuesday, August 22

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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