Rounding the Bases: Aug. 4

Welcome to Rounding the Bases for Friday, August 4th, 2017. In this article, I will list my four top plays of the day, regardless of pricing. I know that typically content is given in tiered formats to give you options at different levels, and I will try my best, but I’m not going to force myself into that model.

To keep with the theme of baseball, I’ll list four players, from first to home, in increasing order of interest for me tonight. These guys may or may not be usable in all formats. I have become more of a tournament player over the last year, so that is where my mentality is normally at.

Max Kepler, Kendrys Morales and Aaron Altherr all did their best to do absolutely nothing, but at least Nolan Arenado came through with a big game. Another home run goes on the list. Home Runs called this season: 14 in 26 articles. With that said, here are my favorites today.

 

Mikie Mahtook – DET – $8,400

SINGLE: Kevin Gausman is on the mound today for the Orioles as they take on the Tigers. Gausman has been very good over the last several weeks, so this pick could go south in a big way.

On the whole this year, Gausman has given up a .384 wOBA, 39.4% fly ball rate, 14.8% HR/FB ratio and 36.1% hard contact. Those numbers are surely not good, but like I said, Gausman has looked a lot better. The Tigers are not a great team against righties either.

If Gausman is not up to his most recent standards, the Tigers are going to make a likely low owned play. Mahtook has all the upside in the world if Gausman is not on.

 

Chris Young – BOS – $6,800

DOUBLE: Young is one of my favorite players tonight because of his price and upside. He is a known lefty killer, and gets a matchup with a lefty that is struggling.

Carlos Rodon is just a few games removed from the DL, and the results have not been favorable: a .355 wOBA, 34.5% fly ball rate, 25% HR/FB ratio and 30% hard contact. The HR/FB ratio is sure to come down over the next few games, but that does not mean we want to preemptively get off righties against him.

Everything is playing in Young’s favor. With a game in Coors, I could see this Red Sox stack being under owned, making Young an even stronger play.

 

Jose Altuve – HOU – $10,200

TRIPLE: Altuve is an option each and every time he plays. He is one of the most electric players in all of the league and can score fantasy points in so many ways.

He gets the benefit tonight of a guy in Cesar Valdez who is not good and will not last long. On the year, Valdez has given up a .459 wOBA, 37.3% fly ball rate, 26.3% HR/FB ratio and 54.9% hard contact. You have to take some of those numbers with a grain of salt because most of it was in limited innings, but either way, he does not profile as a good pitcher.

He could have one of the highest scoring nights of the season here and I want to have some exposure to him in my lineups.

 

Joey Gallo – TEX – $8,800

LONG BALL: At this point, I do not care who is on the mound: Joey Gallo is just red hot. He is hitting everything over the fence. With hitters like that, there is always a ton of downside, because if he is not hitting for extra bases, he is likely striking out.

But wait; it gets better. The pitcher: Bartolo Colon. He is far removed from any point where he was a good pitcher, and should be pounded again tonight. How bad is it? .390 wOBA, 44.3% fly ball rate and 38.2% hard contact against righties.  Those numbers are awful, and Gallo should be able to continue his strong play tonight.
I hope you enjoyed today’s Rounding the Bases. You can find more MLB content over at ReserchFantasy.

Nicholas Volinchak

Nicholas Volinchak

Nick has been playing fantasy sports for almost two decades. Starting off on sites like Sandbox in the mid to late 1990's, his love for all things fantasy became even greater when he found daily fantasy in 2012. Since then, he has expanded into multiple sports and has found a great deal of success in his endeavors. He is always willing to talk fantasy sports, so feel free to reach out to him on Twitter at @researchandwin.

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