MLB Tournament Thoughts with DraftCheat

Tonight on FantasyDraft, we are being welcomed back from the All-Star Break with a solid $15,000 Home Run with a very manageable $25 price point.  The other thing to keep in mind is that 25% of the field will win tonight and with a 15 entry maximum on this tournament, no single player will dominate the entry pool.

 

Starting Pitcher

Jacob deGrom – NYM vs COL – $23,600

The Mets’ ace is, in my view, the clear #1 option for our return to MLB tonight with a great home matchup against the Rockies who struggle away from Coors Field, particularly against right-handed pitching. The Rockies really only have one left-handed hitter worth fearing in Charlie Blackmon, and deGrom has been quite a bit better throughout his career when pitching at home in Citi Field.

The strikeouts have been there all season for deGrom, and once the home run per fly ball rate regresses to a more reasonable level, we should deGrom post some dominant starts. That may very well start this evening.

Charlie Morton – HOU vs MIN – $13,800

The Astros’ right-hander has made just one start since returning from a somewhat lengthy DL stint, but looked fairly sharp and should be ready to go tonight in a home matchup against the Twins. The Twins are a league average offense against right-handed pitching this year both in terms of strikeouts and offensive output, but Morton is very affordable at his price tag of $13,800 on Fantasy Draft.

The tenth year veteran is a more talented pitcher than his current salary would indicate, and on a night where there are not a lot of great pitching options Morton makes for a very solid bargain play for your second starting pitcher spot, particularly when we also factor in the upgrades we can make with our batters.

 

Infield

Robinson Cano – SEA at CHW – $8,000

It is difficult NOT to recommend players against James Shields, who gives up a ton of hard contact and home runs every season at this late stage in his career.

Additionally, Cano is modestly priced on FantasyDraft, gets a strong park bump, crushes right-handed pitching, and has a wonderful history against Shields. There is everything to love about this matchup for Cano and he should (for good reason) be one of the most heavily owned hitters on the slate.

 

Freddie Freeman – ATL vs ARZ – $9,600

The Braves’ first baseman has been nothing short of incredible all season long, even returning from a broken wrist with absolutely no rust whatsoever. Tonight he’ll take on the Diamondbacks and starter Taijuan Walker.

Walker is not a bad pitcher, but he does get hit hard by left-handed hitters, and Freeman has a big advantage in this matchup. I’ll be riding Freddie Freeman in good matchups until he gives me reason not to.

 

Outfield

Bryce Harper – WAS at CIN – $10,800

Harper has a strong claim to be the top overall hitter on tonight’s slate with a matchup in Great American Ballpark vs. Tim Adleman and the Reds. We know about Harper’s skills, and this is a perfect matchup for him with a great hitting park and a pitcher he should be able to square up.

Adleman has allowed a whopping 2.35 HR/9 to left-handed hitters this season while striking out just 15.2% of them. He also generates very few ground balls or infield popups, so it is likely Harper will be elevating the ball against the Reds second year hurler with the makings of a strong recipe for success for the Nationals’ slugger.

 

Corey Dickerson – TBR at LAA – $6,800

The Rays’ outfielder slumped a bit prior to the All-Star Break, but still has very strong numbers overall on the season and should get going tonight out of the gate with a salivating matchup against Ricky Nolasco, another pitcher who is giving up a lot of hard contact of the fly ball variety to left-handed hitters.

Nolasco has surrendered 1.78 HR/9 to left-handed bats and Dickerson sports an impressive .251 ISO vs. right-handed pitchers. This is a fantastic matchup for Dickerson who is far too cheap at just $6,800 on Fantasy Draft.

 

Good luck out there tonight! ~ DraftCheat

Peter Christiansen

Peter Christiansen

Peter Christensen (aka DraftCheat) has been playing DFS full time since 2014. He’s a multiple time Live Finalist in MLB, NFL, NBA, and CFB, and took home the FanDuel Playboy College Football Championship for $100,000 in 2015. An analytically based player and unapologetic member of #TeamMath, DraftCheat prefers the GPP style of play and is a huge proponent of using Game Theory to improve results. A lifelong Minnesota resident, he grows weary of cheering on his hapless hometown teams. You can find his work on www.FanVice.com for both articles as well as the Deeper Dive live video show airing regularly at 5pm ET or on Twitter @DraftCheat.

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