Rounding the Bases

Welcome to Rounding the Bases for Friday, July 7th , 2017. In this article, I will list my four top plays of the day, regardless of pricing. I know that typically content is given in tiered formats to give you options at different levels, and I will try my best, but I’m not going to force myself into that model.

To keep with the theme of baseball, I’ll list four players, from first to home, in increasing order of interest for me tonight. These guys may or may not be usable in all formats. I have become more of a tournament player over the last year, so that is where my mentality is normally at.

I took a break for the Fourth of July and it felt great. Last Friday was a most unfortunate circumstance. The DET/CLE game ended up getting called, and we had two of our four players from that game. Even with that, we had Jed Lowrie who only managed to come up with a double, but Denard Span has a monster night, going 4/5 with a home run, stolen base, an RBI, a walk and four run scores. He did it all with invisible ownership to boot.

Home Runs called this season: 11/24.

With that said, here are my favorites today.

 

Christian Yelich – MIA – $8,000

SINGLE: One trend that seems to not really catch on with DFS’ers across the industry is the whole lefty/lefty matchup. There just seems to be a general avoidance of these situations.

Tonight, I believe, it a special situation. Matt Moore is horrible against left-handed hitters.

How bad is it, you ask? On the year, he’s allowing a .469 wOBA, 37.5% fly ball rate and 47.6% hard contact against them.

Yelich isn’t a big power bat, but he can get the trick done to be sure. His price isn’t too outrageous, but still strikes me as being more than players would want to pay with expensive pitching on the slate.

The in itself makes Yelich someone I really want to look into as a tournament play tonight. If he gets it done, you’ll have him at low ownership.

 

Francisco Lindor – CLE – $7,600

DOUBLE: It feels weird to see Lindor priced where he is, but he hasn’t been on the best run to be sure. I am a believer that the talent is unquestionably there and that he’ll get back into the swing of things.

Perhaps that will happen tonight. He’s getting a crack at Jordan Zimmerman, who is one of the worst pitchers in baseball.

Also, it looks like the weather will allow this game to play unlike last Friday.

How bad is Zimmerman? So far, against lefties, he’s allowing a .367 wOBA, 45.3% fly ball rate and 42.6% hard contact. He’s just as bad against righties, too.

It should be a popular option to stack the Indians tonight, and there is nothing I can say to advise against it.

 

Adrian Beltre – TEX – $8,800

TRIPLE: Beltre has been looking quite good since coming off the disabled list. I am a big believer in guys on “hot streaks”. Even if you can’t be realistic about them existing, you can at least say that a guy is hitting the ball well a lot of the days in a row.

He gets a cupcake matchup in my opinion against Ricky Nolasco, who is thus far allowing a .375 wOBA, 36.4% fly ball rate and 40.8% hard contact against righties.

Those numbers aren’t good, and it’s not like it’s even close to being good.

I’ll have quite a few Rangers righties in my lineups tonight.

 

Nolan Arenado – COL – $10,000

LONG BALL: I do my best to stay away from using batters from Coors because it’s the given in daily fantasy.

I do believe this specific matchup is worth mentioning tonight.

Derek Holland is on the mound, and he has laughable stats against righties, including a .380 wOBA, 43.1% fly ball rate and 42.1% hard contact.

I just can’t get past Arenado tonight. I will fully admit that I just can’t seem to play him on the right night. This matchup has everything pointing in the right direction, and I’m going to be forcing Arenado into a lot of my lineups.
I hope you enjoyed today’s Rounding the Bases. You can find more MLB content over at ResearchFantasy.

 

 

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Nicholas Volinchak

Nicholas Volinchak

Nick has been playing fantasy sports for almost two decades. Starting off on sites like Sandbox in the mid to late 1990's, his love for all things fantasy became even greater when he found daily fantasy in 2012. Since then, he has expanded into multiple sports and has found a great deal of success in his endeavors. He is always willing to talk fantasy sports, so feel free to reach out to him on Twitter at @researchandwin.

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