Forsythe Scores and Seven Years Ago

Amir Garrett has been horrible since his first three starts of the season, especially against right-handed hitters, so a reasonably priced Logan Forsythe needs to be strongly considered tonight. Check out daily fantasy expert Ricky Sanders’ recommended plays to help you fill out your roster for today’s MLB.

Infield:

Jake Lamb, Diamondbacks, $10,800 – Of the 15 total bombs Jake Lamb has launched this season, seven have come at home against RHP. In that very specific split, Lamb is slashing .321/.400/.643 with a .321 ISO and .426 wOBA, which makes sense because Lamb prefers the platoon split against right-handers and Chase Field is one of the best hitting environments in the league. On the other hand, Zach Davies has actually been burned for some reverse splits this year despite owning some pretty even career splits. To be fair, he has been brutal against each side of the plate this year and his numbers against lefties are not exactly wonderful: .256/.345/.481 slash line, 1.53 HR/9, .351 wOBA and a 31.5-percent hard hit rate. Heading to one of the worst pitching environments in the league, those numbers should only depreciate in the heart of the Arizona desert. Lamb has made mincemeat of pitchers at home since the beginning of last year and Davies should not be an exception. Start him with confidence and feel free to stack the Diamondbacks as well.

Logan Forsythe, Dodgers, $6,800 – What in the world is this price tag? Logan Forsythe is literally priced about $3,000 cheaper than he should be in a borderline elite matchup against left-hander Amir Garrett. Following a fraudulent string of three excellent starts to begin the year, Garrett’s numbers have fallen off a table as he posted a 5.09 ERA overall in April, 6.95 ERA and May and owns a 27.00 ERA in one start thus far in June. Overall, righties are slashing .253/.352/.553 off him to go along with 11 home runs (HRs), a .374 wOBA and ridiculous 39.4-percent hard hit rate. Meanwhile, Logan Forsythe continues to produce like one of the best hitters in the game versus southpaws as he owns a .468 wOBA, .393/.526/.571 slash line and a whopping 42.9-percent line drive rate against the handedness. Since he will draw a start in the leadoff spot, he should be destined for three at-bats (ABs) minimum against the starter and 4-5 overall. On a per-dollar basis, there may not be a safer investment on the entire slate.

Outfield:

Michael Conforto, Mets, $9,600 – Julio Teheran has been nothing short of a disaster this season as he sports a career-worst ERA (5.40), FIP (5.70), xFIP (5.41), BB rate (9.4-percent) and K rate (17.1-percent) so far this year (if not counting the 19.2 IP in his first season in the big leagues). Additionally, his home stadium, SunTrust Park, is proving to be extremely hitter-friendly which certainly is not helping his cause. Teheran’s kryptonite has been hitters of the left-handed variety throughout the course of his entire career but this year they are simply teeing off: .391 wOBA, 14.6-percent BB rate, 2.36 HR/9 rate, .275/.390/.533 slash line, 23.5-percent line drive rate, 36.0-percent hard hit rate and 45.9-percent fly ball rate. Tonight, he draws a very difficult matchup against an extremely left-handed Mets squad led by the likes of Michael Conforto and Jay Bruce. Despite the duo both being in play, Conforto still stands out as the superior play as he leads the Mets in wOBA, AVG, OBP, SLG and hard hit rate against the handedness this year. Teheran is in a world of trouble in this spot and Conforto should be the cause for a significant portion of his suffering.

Michael Brantley, Indians $8,400 – Do you like guaranteed contact? If so, this is the spot for you because Michael Brantley and his 88.3-percent contact rate (eighth best in league) is about to square off against Miguel Gonzalez and his 86.2-percent contact rate against (fifth highest amongst qualified pitchers). Since Gonzalez almost never misses bats (6.6-percent swinging strike rate) and Brantley hardly ever swings and misses, balls are undoubtedly going to be put in play. This is noteworthy because Brantley owns a .367 wOBA, .306/.378/.479 slash line and 43.1-percent hard hit rate against RHP this year. In the extremely hitter-friendly environment of Progressive Field, Gonzalez could be in loads of trouble tonight. Stacking the Indians is certainly a viable strategy but Brantley needs to locked into cash games at the very least.

Pitchers:

Corey Kluber, Indians, $24,400 – One pitcher stands out above all others on this slate, at least in terms of safety, and it is yet another right-hander against the lowly White Sox. This is getting repetitive because every single night a righty seems to find their way into this article in this very matchup…but they also keep producing admirably. On three consecutive nights, Chris Archer, Jacob Faria and Jake Odorizzi have all eclipsed 20 fantasy points against this team, struck out at least five and lasted at least 6.0 innings. Now, the White Sox will draw a date with former AL Cy Young Award Winner Corey Kluber who is the best pitcher of the bunch. Considering the White Sox rank in the bottom 10 of wOBA, wRC+, ISO, BB rate, AVG, OBP, SLG and hard hit rate against RHP while striking out at the 11th highest rate, they are in loads of trouble yet again. Deploy Kluber as your SP1 in all formats.

Brad Peacock, Astros, $15,300 – The reason fading Kluber is not necessary is because there is a vast array of reasonably priced pitching that is worth considering beginning with Brad Peacock. All he has done over the course of his last three games is strike out 25 hitters in 15 innings with at least eight Ks in each start. Amazingly, Peacock has absolutely dominated RHHs this year to the tune of a .202 wOBA, 0.00 HR/9 rate, .138/.242/.172 slash line, 6.3-percent line drive rate, 28.1-percent hard hit rate and 53.1-percent ground ball (GB) rate while striking them out at a ridiculous 39.4-percent rate. Virtually all the Angels’ best hitters are right-handed other than Kole Calhoun so Peacock should be able to cruise against a soft-hitting opponent. Just how bad are the Angels? Their current roster construction ranks dead last in the league in wOBA against RHP. The only concern with Peacock is his potential innings cap (has not lasted more than 6.0 innings in any start) but the matchup is tough to overlook.

Andrew Triggs, Athletics, $11,400 – Finally, Andrew Triggs is priced like a scrub and yet he is a reasonably talented pitcher, so there is an extreme amount of value in rostering him at this cost. The Rays are a powerful bunch, especially against RHP, but Triggs induces ground balls at the 20th highest rate of any qualified starter so that should limit their power potential. Triggs rarely gave up homers in the minors due to his ability to pound opponents on the ground and he has not as a Major Leaguer either. Over the course of the last month and a half, Triggs has drawn some of the most brutal strikeout matchups the league has to offer: Angels, Astros, Mariners (twice), Red Sox and Nationals to name a few (all since Apr. 23). He is a better strikeout pitcher than he has shown and he finally will face a team with a K rate above league average. In fact, the Rays strike out at the highest rate of any team against RHP (25.8-percent) so this is a great spot for Triggs to finally rack up the Ks. Since Triggs keeps the ball on the ground, this is a tough matchup for all the Rays bats individually, especially because they will be missing Kevin Kiermaier. Opponents have stolen 11 bases on Triggs, or the second most any pitcher has allowed, but the Rays will be missing their top speed threat. All signs point to a solid outing from a drastically underpriced up-and-comer.

*Stats are accurate as of Thursday, June 8

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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