The Adams Family

Matt Adams draws an elite matchup against the pitcher who has allowed the most home runs to left-handed hitters since the start of last season in one of the most hitter-friendly environments in the league (his home park). Go ahead and start him with confidence. Check out daily fantasy expert Ricky Sanders’ recommended plays to help you fill out your roster for today’s MLB.

Infield:

Jedd Gyorko, Cardinals, $8,100 – Okay so the Cardinals continue to be frustrating to roster even in borderline elite matchups but Jedd Gyorko cannot be overlooked in a matchup against gas can Bronson Arroyo. The full stack is at least viable but the one-off to focus on is the right-handed Gyroko against a starter who has been roasted by RHHs to the tune of a .392 wOBA, 2.41 HR/9 rate, .297/.345/.590 slash line, 23.9-percent, 34.2-percent and a 45.1-percent fly ball rate while only striking them out at a 14.4-perent rate. Last night, Scooter Gennett put on display just how power-friendly the Great American Ballpark is when he launched four bombs and tonight the Cardinals are being implied to score a hefty 5.1 runs. Amongst all hitters on the team, Gyorko leads the pack in terms of wOBA against RHP (.399) this year and complements that tally with a .238 ISO, .325/.380/.563 slash line, 37.0-percent hard hit rate and 39.1-percent fly ball rate. Gyorko has been uncharacteristically quiet this series but it is time for him to bust out in a big way.

Matt Adams, Braves, $7,800 – With no Coors Field on the slate tonight, SunTrust Park becomes one of the most hitter-friendly environments on the slate and Matt Adams will be fortunate enough to square off against Jerad Eickhoff in this hitters’ haven. Since the beginning of the 2016 season, no pitcher in the league has allowed more home runs (HRs) to LHHs than Eickhoff and he has yielded a .278/.334/.502 slash line and .352 wOBA to the handedness over that span. On the other hand, Matt Adams’ .358 wOBA against RHP rates third on the team thus far but his .242 ISO ranks first and he is slashing .295/.333/.537 against righties. The team is not incredibly left-handed but Adams definitely stands out from the bunch. While this may not be a full stack situation, Adams can certainly be deployed in all formats.

Outfield:

Nelson Cruz, Mariners, $9,600 – At home against LHP this year, Nelson Cruz is slashing .238/.385/.667 with a .429 ISO and .434 wOBA. While the average leaves a bit to be desired, positive regression should be on the horizon, especially considering he sports a career .296 AVG against the handedness. In fact, Cruz’s career numbers are amongst the best of any active hitter: .393 wOBA, .260 ISO, .296/.375/.556 slash line, 37.5-percent hard hit rate and 38.5-percent fly ball rate. Meanwhile, opposing starter Adalberto Mejia has given up a .358 wOBA, 13.1-percent BB rate, 1.44 HR/9 rate, .250/.355/.484 slash line and a 38.0-percent fly ball rate. Admittedly, he has done a nice job of limiting hard contact and somehow he still owns a FIP of 5.25 versus RHHs this year. If he is going to rely on fly ball outs to attempt to retire Mariners hitters, Cruz has an excellent chance of hitting one out, and therefore is one of the highest upside plays on the entire slate.

Odubel Herrera, Phillies, $7,200 – Time to go back to the well with Odubel Herrera as he will face a right-handed once again following a tough matchup versus Jaime Garcia last night. On Wednesday, Herrera and the Phillies will be tasked with trying to score on Mike Foltynewicz who has had his issues retiring LHHs since he entered the league. Over the course of Foltynewicz’s career, lefties have posted a .367 wOBA, 13.1-percent BB rate, 1.86 HR/9 rate, .258/.360/.507 slash line and 30.3-percent hard hit rate against him and now he plays half his games (including tonight) in one of the most hitter-friendly parks in all the league. Heading into tonight, Herrera had registered nine extra-base hits over the course of his last four games including seven doubles and two bombs. In other words, this price tag does not come close to accurately portraying the potential he possesses in this matchup and I would actually pay close to $10,000 for him in this spot. At this price tag, he is a no-brainer.

Pitchers:

Zack Greinke, Diamondbacks, $24,400 – Two aces stand out above the pack on Wednesday and fantasy owners are going to have to choose one regardless of format (since it is near impossible to fit bats next to the duo if they are paired). In terms of upside, no one can match the potential of Zack Greinke at home against a Padres team that has struck out at the highest rate of any team in the National League against RHP. Furthermore, they rank in the bottom 10 of wOBA, wRC+, BB rate, AVG, OBP, SLG and hard hit rate so really the ballpark is the only factor truly working against Greinke. If this game proves to be anything like the last time he faced the Padres at home, Greinke should cruise: he struck out 11 Padres in 6.0 IP on May 24 versus this very team in Chase Field. With the Padres being implied to score the fewest runs on the slate despite playing in the most hitter-friendly environment, Vegas is clearly expecting a vintage, dominant Greinke performance (and so am I).

Dallas Keuchel, Astros, $24,000 – If looking more for safety, Dallas Keuchel certainly should provide that for fantasy owners as he draws a fantastic matchup against the lowly Royals. No team swings outside the strike zone more than the Royals and no qualified pitcher throws outside the zone at a higher rate than Keuchel so this should be a match made in heaven. Oh by the way, the Royals rank 29th in wOBA, dead last in wRC+ and 25th in wOBA against LHP. The only matchup that could make this any better for Keuchel would be the game being played at home. Although Greinke is the preferred tournament option, Keuchel is probably the safer of the two for cash games.

Jacob Faria, Rays, $8,500 – According to minorleagueball.com, Rays prospect Jacob Faria posted a 3.07 ERA in 59 innings with 84-22 K/BB ratio and just 44 hits allowed in Triple-A before his promotion. To put it differently, Faria has struck out 34.7-percent of the batters he has faced in the minors this year and he is priced like an absolute scrub! Value like this can never be found especially in a solid matchup against a White Sox team that ranks in the bottom 10 of wOBA, wRC+, ISO, AVG, OBP, SLG and hard hit rate. Pitchers tend to get jitters and struggle with control in their first starts and yet the White Sox walk less than any other team in the league against RHP so that should not be an issue. The best per-dollar pitcher on the slate is easily Faria and he is an absolute diamond in the rough.

*Stats are accurate as of Tuesday, June 6

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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