In this article, I will list my four top plays of the day, regardless of pricing. I know that typically content is given in tiered formats to give you options at different levels, and I will try my best, but I’m not going to force myself into that model.
To keep with the theme of baseball, I’ll list four players, from first to home, in increasing order of interest for me tonight. These guys may or may not be usable in all formats. I have become more of a tournament player over the last year, so that is where my mentality is normally at.
For the second night in a row, our long ball had a good night. Actually, Giancarlo Stanton had a monster night, going yard not once, but twice. Let’s keep things going in that direction today.
With that said, here are my favorites today.
Steven Souza Jr. (TB- $7,600) – We’ve only got six games going tonight, so there isn’t much to pick from, but I’m confident in these plays.
I really like Luis Severino tonight against the Rays, but it might not be a game he is able to get through unscathed.
Typically, righties are worse against lefties, but that’s not the case with Severino. In 2016, his stats against righties were a bit more severe.
A .370 wOBA, 35.7 FB%, 17.5 HR/FB% and 31.9 HH% all point to someone that could have issues with guys like Souza and Evan Longoria tonight.
Souza is priced a little lower, so I’ll give him the nod tonight. Souza is typically a guy we are looking at against lefties, but I’ll gladly take a chance with him in tournaments tonight.
Aaron Judge (NYY – $7,800) – Matt Andriese profiles as someone who is not a great pitcher, and he gives up a lot of fly balls and allows pretty hard contact.
Aaron Judge is smashing the ball right now.
Those two things make a perfect combination for daily fantasy.
Judge is a huge young man who has a ton of power. The Yankees lineup doesn’t look overly imposing at first glance, but it has been putting together some pretty good games along the way.
He’s a guy who could go deep tonight, and I do think someone will be going yard against Matt Andriese. He’s my top pick for the honor, but otherwise, I think he’s a guy who should be able to have a nice game at his price.
Yoenis Cespedes (NYM – $9,200) – I really could have put Cespedes as our long ball of the night. If you think Judge is hitting the ball hard right now, then Cespedes is on a completely different level altogether.
Wei-Yin Chen just shut this Mets lineup down in his first start, but I am not a believer in his ability to do that again.
The Mets are also actually hitting the ball really well right now, which they weren’t to start the season off.
It’s true that they aren’t as strong against lefties, because outside of Cespedes, Wilmer Flores and to a lesser extent, Travis d’Arnaud, they lack good right-handed bats.
I think Cespedes will be worth it tonight. Chen posted a .334 wOBA, 40.9 FB%, 15.8 HR/FB% and 35.6 HH% in 2016, and that isn’t good against a quality hitter like Cespedes.
Eric Hosmer (KC – 8100) – It should mean something about the matchup that I have a guy struggling at the plate as our Long Ball tonight and not a guy like Cespedes, who is actually raking.
Let’s look at the stats on James Hahn vs. lefties last year: .443 wOBA, 37.8 FB%, 25 HR/FB% and a 37.8 HH%.
That is awful.
Hosmer might be slow out of the gate, but this is the type of matchup that puts a hitter back on track.
He’s inexpensive today, and when you need to fit in Madison Bumgarner, that’s a welcome sign.
I will be loading up on Hosmer in tournaments tonight and you should too. The upside is just far too good for the cost.
I hope you enjoyed today’s Rounding the Bases. You can find more MLB content over at ResearchFantasy.