Rounding the Bases – 4/12/17
Welcome to the first edition of Round the Bases for Tuesday, April 11th, 2017. In this article, I will list my four top plays of the day, regardless of pricing. I know that typically content is given in tiered formats to give you options at different levels, and I will try my best, but I’m not going to force myself into that model.
To keep with the theme of baseball, I’ll list four players, from first to home, in increasing order of interest for me tonight. These guys may or may not be usable in all formats. I have become more of a tournament player over the last year, so that is where my mentality is normally at.
Last night we can at least say that everybody did something, and our top play, Nolan Arenado, did send one over the fences.
With that said, here are my favorites today.
Chris Owings (ARI – 6300) – I know it’s a pitcher’s park, but it is going to be really tough to look past the Diamondbacks tonight.
Matt Cain is nowhere near the pitcher he has been in the past, and as a result, he’s somebody that we need to go after tonight.
Sure, I could have talked up Paul Goldschmidt, but where is the challenge in that? I’d rather talk about someone who will have very low ownership, but still has solid upside tonight in Owings.
What’s not to like about Owings? He’s got some pop to his bat and he’s got speed as well. It doesn’t hurt that he can hit the ball well too, you know, like in general.
If you feel like you need value tonight, he’s probably my favorite play as of now.
Mitch Haniger (SEA – 6900) – Mitch Haniger is a guy who has basically come out of nowhere to start the year.
Tonight, he gets a matchup with Mike Fiers. It doesn’t sound the greatest, but digging deeper, there are some things to like.
In 2016, he sported a .358 wOBA, 33.6 FB%, 17 HR/FB % and 36.1 HH% against righties. He can get hit and hit hard, and many of those hard hits can turn into home runs.
That’s what Haniger has been doing, too: hitting home runs. He’s got three on the year. He’ll probably carry low ownership as well, which if you can’t tell, is something that I value a lot.
He might sound like the sexiest option, but he’s one I’m using a lot tonight.
Kendrys Morales (TOR – 8400) – I’m a big fan of this Blue Jays/Brewers series from an offensive perspective. I think both teams will just put up points.
One of the players I like most tonight, in general, is Kendrys Morales. He’s off to a great start with his new team. He’s crushing the baseball, and that’s music to my ears.
Chase Anderson is a bit of a reverse splits pitcher, but I don’t care. Morales will be batting from the left side of the plate tonight and I’m fine with it. I’m convinced he’s going to take him deep.
The wOBA of .289 isn’t a stat we love to see, but I’ll take it if we can get the 43.2 FB%, 13.3 HR/FB$, 47.8 Pull % and 32.3HH %.
Those stats show me a pitcher who is going to put the ball in the air, and with someone like Morales, some of those could easily turn into home runs. I think he’s usable in just about any format tonight.
Giancarlo Stanton (MIA – 10200) – If we had to label Stanton as anything thus far, it would be disappointing.
Thankfully, we are just over a week into the season.
Jaime Garcia is a ground ball pitcher, which is good. After all, do we want everyone to be on him?
The biggest thing with baseball that I’ve learned over the year is that even ground ball pitchers give up home runs. The stats can take us most of the way there, but variance plays a big role.
Garcia was hit a lot by righties in 2016 to the tune of a .342 wOBA. His HR/FB % is inflated to over 21 because he doesn’t give up a lot of fly balls.
The 32.6 HH% is also something we like to see for Stanton.
You can call this a gut play if you’d like, that’s fine, but I really think this is the night for Stanton to finally open things up and remind us of exactly the kind of player he is.
I hope you enjoyed today’s Rounding the Bases. You can find more MLB content over at ResearchFantasy.