Welcome to the first edition of Rounding the Bases for Tuesday, April 11th, 2017. In this article, I will list my four top plays of the day, regardless of pricing. I know that typically content is given in tiered formats to give you options at different levels, and I will try my best, but I’m not going to force myself into that model.
To keep with the theme of baseball, I’ll list four players, from first to home, in increasing order of interest for me tonight. These guys may or may not be usable in all formats. I have become more of a tournament player over the last year, so that is where my mentality is normally at. With that said, here are my favorites today.
Billy Hamilton – CIN – $7,200
For what it is worth, I really like Jameson Tailon tonight. Really, there are no great pitchers on this slate, and you are going to have to go where you can. You might be asking then why I have Hamilton on this list.
It’s really quite simple: Francisco Cervelli is as bad as it gets when tossing out runners. That explains why Hamilton was able to steal two bags, as well as Peraza and Duvall having one each.
In all likelihood, Cervelli will be in the lineup tonight, and if that is the case, and Hamilton is able to get on base, we’ll see a repeat of what we saw last night.
It will be more difficult for Hamilton to get on base today, but I think it’s still a probability. He’s off to a nice start to the year, and I think he’ll come through with another double-digit fantasy performance tonight.
J.T. Realmuto – MIA – $6,900
Double: I know that the Marlins are one of those teams that DFS players love to target. Let me ask you: are you going to do that with an aging Bartolo Colon?
I’m not. I’ve said it all along this year: the Marlins lack that big bat excitement outside of Stanton, but they are a team that will kill you via death by paper cuts. A double here, a single here, and before you know it, it’s the seventh inning, your pitcher has been average against them, and somehow they have four runs on the board. All at low ownership.
Now, I’m not saying Realmuto will be low owned. He’s one of the few on the team that sees ownership due to how good he is and weakness at the position.
Colon struggles with lefties way more than righties, but I have a suspicion that tonight, Realmuto’s torrid start to the season will continue – and you won’t want to miss out on it.
Ryan Braun – MIL – $8,400
Triple: This could end up being a nice situation for us tonight. All eyes are on Coors field, which immediately reduces the ownership of some of the other high end bats. On top of that, Milwaukee is a team that a lot of players like to target with pitchers. They strike out a lot, so there unquestionably is some potential for a nice outing there.
There is also a chance that the righties from Milwaukee, specifically Braun, Jonathan Villar, Keon Broxton and Domingo Santana could rake. They all hit lefties better, and that’s what’s on the mound.
I don’t dislike J.A. Happ, but if your giving me the choice of him or Ryan Braun at lower ownership, I’m going with Braun. Using Braun doesn’t destroy the upside for Happ, as there are still plenty of other opportunities for him to get strikeouts tonight. Behind the guy below, Braun is my favorite tournament option tonight
Nolan Arenado – COL – $10,200
Long Ball: Easily my favorite play on this slate is Nolan Arenado.
The Pitcher: Jered Weaver.
The Stats (v R): 0.365 wOBA, 50.7 FB%, 12.6 HR/FB%, 46.7 Pull % and 39.7 HH%
The location: Coors Field
The verdict: Not good for Jered Weaver; very good for Nolan Arenado.
You’re telling me we have a high fly ball, hard hit righty in Coors against Nolan Arenado? This doesn’t end well for the pitcher. Let’s not forget that Weaver posted those laughable stats while pitching half of his games in a pitcher’s park.
Nolan has the most upside of a single hitter on the slate, will come in basically owned across the board, and you might as well take the hit and play him, because if he goes off like he should and you don’t have him, your chances of cashing diminish considerably.
I hope you enjoyed today’s Rounding the Bases. You can find more MLB content over at ReserchFantasy.