Course: Coco Beach GC, Rio Grande, PR
Yardage/Par: Par 72, 7,506 Yards
Scoring Expectation: Medium, but likely to be very weather-dependent.
Weather: Rain forecasted for literally every day of the event with winds in the 10-15 mph range. Keep an eye on this.
As usual, FantasyDraft comes in far tighter than DraftKings in the pricing department, and in a scrubby field like this one, you’re going to have to make some pretty ballsy decisions to build lines that don’t make you hurl. However, that’s a good thing – if it’s too easy, then everyone piles on the same guys, and you gain no selection edge!
The Puerto Rico Open is one of a few annual “B” field PGA events with DFS action that takes place at the same time as an elite-tier event – in this case, the WGC Dell Match Play Championship. While it may not be the flashiest display of talent you’ll ever see, it’s definitely a good opportunity to watch some of the up-and-comers on tour not just in terms of how they perform, but how they actually play as Golf Channel will have no incentive to tunnel-vision their coverage on the big names in the field.
While the forecast is predicting a ton of rain, I’ve been informed that apparently seven straight days of rain on the forecast is normal for this event, and it’s actually quite likely that we won’t see much rain at all with the exception of Saturday. Therefore, it’s highly likely that we will see some big scoring potential out of this event as it’s a very accessible Par 72 with four Par 5s and a layout that isn’t too daunting. You may want to consider favoring bombers a little more in the event that there is rain and for the simple fact that bombers have been able to overpower this golf course (see: Tony Finau last year.) In the end, as usual, it all comes down to hitting greens, greens, greens and maximizing your opportunities at birdie in order to keep up with the scoring pace of the field.
FANTASYDRAFT PICKS FOR CONSIDERATION
J.J. Spaun ($18,000)
Spaun has been very impressive in his PGA Tour rookie season, hanging tough at some pretty tough events with strong finishes at Torrey Pines, Phoenix, and PGA National. With a far weaker field and accessible course, Spaun should be able to use his superior length to overpower many of the holes that would be a bit long for other hitters. He’s a strong bet to contend here.
Trey Mullinax ($16,300)
Mullinax hasn’t made quite as much noise as Spaun on tour thus far, but he has made enough cuts to be taken rather seriously, particularly in some of the weaker-field events this year. He’s also got some huge pop with the driver, averaging 308.7 yards off the tee. He provides effective salary relief with reasonable upside and a pretty strong made cut expectation.
Ian Poulter ($19,200)
If you’re trying to pay up, it’s really hard to argue with Ian Poulter this week on FantasyDraft. He comes in at almost a $3,000 discount from Wesley Bryan – a huge savings when pricing is already tight enough as it is. Poulter has been playing pretty well in stronger-field events lately and contended for the win last year with a T3 – he is very likely to pay off his salary with a reasonably high finish and a nearly guaranteed made cut.
Ryan Brehm ($13,300)
Brehm may not be the flashiest of plays on any given week, but it’s hard to argue with consistency – Brehm has missed exactly one cut in the ten events he has played this season including some of the tougher ones thus far (Torrey, Honda). For $13,300 and huge salary relief, I’ll take my chances on him.
Good luck in your contests this week, stay disciplined, and trust your process!