Welcome back to another edition of Seeking Value in the FantasyDraft Locker Room. There are twelve games on tonight’s slate, and there is plenty of action to go around, which should help us uncover some pretty nice value options. This sets up to be a pretty strong night, with some good value plays to build your lineups around.
I’m going back to my original format for two guards and two forwards/centers tonight, but there are even more options at each position. With all that said, let’s get on to my four favorites.
Bismack Biyombo – C – Orlando Magic – $6,000
Nikola Vucevic sat out on Sunday night, and when he was asked about his ailment, it didn’t sound too promising that he would be able to see the court on Monday. That’s OK, though. Bismack, at minimum price nonetheless, came in and put up together a 14 point, 15 rebound double-double in 34 minutes that brought him to a total of FantasyDraft 38.75 points. It is insane to think about the fact that he came dangerously close to a 7x outing, when we are really just hoping to get 3x out of our players.
The match-up tonight is even better, in my opinion. The Knicks are back to full health with Kristaps Porzinigis, Willy Hernangomez and Kyle O’Quinn all healthy. I really don’t care about any of that. The Knicks are still a very soft team, and Biyombo could flirt with a 40 burger here. The best news of all is that we’ll have news of Vuc’s status before tip because this game starts at 7 PM. If we know he’s going to be out, there is no reason to not use a roster spot on Biyombo. If Vuc plays, though, I’m afraid he’s too risky to roll out.
Ty Lawson – PG –Sacramento Kings – $9,100
When the Kings traded DeMarcus Cousins to the New Orleans Pelicans, fantasy players gasped at the amount of guards the Kings were going to be taking in. After all, they already had several on their roster that were producers and it appeared that it would just cause a situation where they just vulture one another. Well, that didn’t exactly come to pass, as Langston Galloway isn’t seeing the floor, Buddy Hield clearly isn’t ready for prime time and Tyreke Evans is having his minutes heavily limited. Also, Darren Collison isn’t exactly great.
That leaves Ty Lawson as the last guard standing in New Orleans from a fantasy perspective. In the 5 games since the All-Star Game, Lawson has seen over 30 minutes on the floor three out of four times, and posted one bad outing of 11.5 FantasyDraft points. Outside of that, he’s posted 25 FantasyDraft point outings or better each time. The spread on this game against the Nuggets tonight is pretty big, but I think Lawson will be unaffected. He already had a 25 point game against them and I think that is where his floor is at tonight.
Eric Gordon – SG – Houston Rockets – $8,500
Thus far, all I’ve heard today is to stay away from the Rockets tonight. Why? Do you typically make it a habit of staying away from players on the third best team in the Western Conference? But Nick, this is the Spurs. THE SPURS MAN! I get it.
Does it help if I tell you that each of these games broke 200 total points? How about that the average final points ended up being 3.33 points? How about that the Rockets scored 100 points in each of those games? It’s not like the Rockets are a team like the New Orleans Pelicans or Minnesota Timberwolves that the Spurs will just dominate and shut down easily.
Wait, you mean those two below average teams that just took the Spurs to overtime in back to back nights?
You see what I’m getting at here? Fine, don’t play Rockets in cash games. You’re not going to be playing Harden, who’s had two triple-doubles and one 31-point double-double against them this year? Gordon hasn’t put up Harden like numbers, but he has one great game against them, one fair game against them and one below average game against them. Moreover, his ownership should be razor thin tonight.
I know there is a big concern with Lou Williams in town, but Gordon is still seeing good minutes, and they’ll need his offensive contribution tonight against the Spurs. I don’t expect a monster game, but I think at this price, he’s worth a shot in tournaments.
Amir Johnson – PF – Boston Celtics- $7,400
No one likes playing Amir Johnson. His ownership levels are always so low, and tonight will be no different. Al Horford missed last night’s contest, and it sounds grim for today. He mentioned in an interview that he doesn’t have a timetable for a return right now. No matter. It wasn’t like he was playing well anyway. Amir Johnson is never going to see a ton of minutes. His last two games represent the ceiling of what he is likely to see.
He produces very quickly though, and can do a lot of different things. He’s a double-double threat if those minutes somehow tick closer to 30. He comes through with blocks and steals, and he’ll even chip in with an assist or two.
I don’t think the Clippers are likely to play small, and it’s tough to say if the Celtics want to trust Kelly Olynyk and Jordan Mickey with Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan. I think Johnson could be a good bet for another 20 FantasyDraft point game tonight, with upside into the 30’s. He’s a great point per dollar play.
I hope you enjoyed today’s value plays. You can find more NBA content, including projections, over at ResearchFantasy.