Welcome back to another edition of Seeking Value in the FantasyDraft Locker Room. There are eleven games, and this is a huge slate, so we should be able to find some good plays to really round out your lineups, and give it flexibility to fit in your studs.
Outside of the Bulls showing up unprepared to play, last night was a pretty good night in the NBA. The value plays worked out well, and I’m hoping to keep the momentum going again tonight. With all that said, let’s get on to my four favorites.
Brook Lopez – C – Brooklyn Nets – $12,300
Normally, this article is specifically for FantasyDraft plays under $10,000, but there’s no way I am going to look past Brook Lopez as this price against the DeMarcus Cousin-less Sacramento Kings.The Kings have been ravaged by big men since the All-Star Break: Wilson Chandler put up 18/10 in 29 minutes, Frank Kaminsky put up 23/13 and Karl-Anthony Towns just worked them over for 29/17.
I think Lopez falls in somewhere between Kaminsky and Towns, so I see no reason tonight that Brook shouldn’t add his name to a list of big men that have compiled gaudy stat lines against the Kings.
At his FantasyDraft price, he needs to accumulate roughly 37 FP’s in order to hit value. He hasn’t really come close to that in the last two games, but if you look at his game log, you’ll see a 60+ point outing just prior to that. I don’t think it is out of line for him to hit 40 points this evening, and I believe the upside is greater. I don’t mind breaking my rule for a play that I can see being an excellent point per dollar play tonight.
Rodney Hood – SG – Utah Jazz – $8,000
Last night definitely worked out well for Hood owners, as he put up a stat line of 18/6. While that isn’t anything over the top, but it did get him to the 3x value marker that we are seeking with these plays. Tonight provides an excellent opportunity for Hood to make a similar impact. The Timberwolves might not play at a high pace or anything, but they make sure to give up a lot of fantasy points in the process.
Just like I said yesterday, there is a risk with him, because he is the fourth option on this offense, but he still sees enough shots that he could do damage with the ones that he takes. He is recovering nicely from his time off, and should be a safe bet to use in any format. I don’t think the ceiling is too high, but he’s going to surprise now and again with a 30-point outing.
Ish Smith – PG – Detroit Pistons – $8,800
I don’t know if there is a player I dislike more in the NBA than Reggie Jackson. He’s been given the keys in Detroit, but continues to be ineffective. Worse, he has Stan Van Gundy questioning if he’s providing enough opportunity for him.
When Ish takes the court, though, this team looks so much different. He comes in with energy and really makes the team play much better. His stat lines are all over the place, and they are very unpredictable. Some nights, he’s not there, but other nights, he’s a monster.
He had 7 steals last night! There’s nothing like a guy who almost hits value just from steals. While that isn’t something that will be a constant, it still shows his versatility. There is only so long that Van Gundy can continue to let his team suffer because of Jackson’s play, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see Smith being given more of an opportunity down the stretch.
He has a ton of upside for tournaments, and I wouldn’t hesitate at all using him there.
Dewayne Dedmon – C – San Antonio Spurs – $9,700
Even with Pau Gasol coming back, Dewayne Dedmon is still putting together nice stat lines. He is a point per minute producer, and as long as he is getting around 20 minutes, he’s a decent chance to cross the 20 point mark in production.
Dedmon’s physical style fits in well for this match-up against the Pacers, where they will need him to combat Myles Turner. He certainly doesn’t have the same skill set as Turner, but they will need to use him to try to reduce that threat.
I can see Dedmon having a lot of opportunities for blocks with how players like Teague and Ellis like to charge the rim. There are plenty of chances for rebounds [and put backs on offense] that will raise his fantasy ceiling. I don’t know that I fully trust him as a cash game play yet, but there’s a lot of potential upside to using him in tournaments.
I hope you enjoyed today’s value plays. We’ll see you again soon!