Welcome back to another edition of Seeking Value in the FantasyDraft Locker Room. There are seven games on tonight’s slate, and there is plenty of action to go around, which should help us uncover some pretty nice value options.
I’ve decided I really like putting four plays out there. I’m going to try my best to make sure that I end up putting out two guards and two forwards or centers to make sure we have an even number of both. With all that said, let’s get on to my four favorites.
Lance Thomas – SF – New York Knicks – $6,000
Kristaps Porzingis remains on the wrong side of questionable for tonight’s game against the Toronto Raptors. That should mean another start for Lance Thomas. While he hasn’t been a stud or anything, he’s gotten the job done. The Raptors are on the second night of a back to back, after going through a nail-biter against the Blazers on Sunday night. They are also likely to be short Kyle Lowry once again, and Vegas sees this game as being a close one.
Expect Thomas to check in around the 30-minute mark tonight, and I believe he should be able to put up around 20-24 fantasy points. This will result in him ending with 3.5x-4x value, really giving a big boost in your bottom line as you are able to stack your lineups elsewhere.
He’s a good bet to stay involved in the game regardless of the outcome, but I really don’t see this game being a blowout. The Knicks are not a good defensive team, so it certainly offsets the fact that the Raptors will be coming off a back to back.
If there is one value play I want in my lineup, I’m going to go with the cheapest guy we are writing up, who is also most likely to see the most minutes.
Skal Labissiere – PF – Sacramento Kings – $6,600
I fully expect the masses to move back to Willie Cauley-Stein tonight. Coming off the biggest game of his career, he bottomed out totally and completely on Saturday. His price didn’t bottom out, though. It didn’t go up to an unreasonable amount, but enough for me.
What about Skal Labissiere? We basically have nothing to go by, but since DeMarcus Cousins left, he has put up 20.25 and 27.25 FantasyDraft points in 13 and 22 minutes respectively. That’s good production for someone at his price range. The Timberwolves have been tough on the position throughout the year, but Labissiere should be able to grab enough boards and score enough points to come in near the 20-point mark again tonight.
There isn’t a ton of strong value out there tonight. Most of what you are going to find on the list are punt plays, but it’s tough to deny that Labissiere seems to be headed in the right direction, and makes a worthwhile risk this evening.
JaVale McGee – C – Golden State Warriors – $6,300
I’m hoping that McGee is able to take time away from his Twitter war with Shaq to be a valuable asset in this game.
Wow – after playing daily fantasy for five years, I never thought I’d say that with a straight face. McGee isn’t exactly a slam dunk play any night, but I specifically like him tonight.
The Sixers are a horrible defensive basketball team, so in the 12-15 minutes he is likely to see the floor, I expect him to be highly active and find his way into a handful of dunks, rebounds and blocks. He isn’t capable of doing much more than that, because Steve Kerr doesn’t really let him see the floor a lot.
One of my basic rules is that I like to play guys that are going to get the minutes, because minutes equal opportunity in the DFS world. Something about tonight and this matchup, though, make me feel like we could get elite point per minute production from the big man.
I’m not expecting anything dramatic, but 20 points is certainly within the realm of reason, which would give him a great return on his price. He will not go for 30 points, but I don’t see him getting any less than 20.
Tyus Jones – PG – Minnesota Timberwolves – $6,000
Continuing the bottom barrel digging, we’ll end our article with Tyus Jones. If I was going to make an assessment of Jones, I would say that he is an extremely talented player who just hasn’t been given opportunity. Even though it isn’t by much, he is starting to get that opportunity. With Lance Stephenson not resigned to a 10-day contract, Jones has been the biggest beneficiary of the extra playing time.
We know the Kings have some pretty significant defensive woes, now that they are playing at a faster pace, they are going to be giving up even more fantasy points. As it is with the rest of the picks on this list, I am not expecting anything outrageous here. I think it is perfectly reasonable to expect him to come in around 20 fantasy points again tonight if he sees 20 minutes on the floor.
There is always a chance any of these plays could blow up and end up providing amazing value, but I am more or less focusing on them coming through with performances that allow us to safely fit in our studs.