Going for the Green: Honda Classic Edition

As a corollary to the DFSDatalytics Core Fore, FantasyDraft is pleased to present Josh Burkett’s “Going For The Green” – five golfers that could fit in with the Core Fore, but also make great stand-alone GPP plays. These are five golfers that fit the course well and have good form or course history, and would fit most lineup builds (stars & scrubs or balanced).

RICKIE FOWLER – $23,400

For as much talk that has been made about course history in reference to Russell Knox and Sergio Garcia, it seems many people are forgetting how solid Fowler has been in this event. The last five years he has finishes of: 6th, 41st, 24th, 13th, and 7th. Fowler historically plays very well when the Tour makes it’s way to Florida; his 1.832 Strokes Gained: Total is 17th best among all players when it comes to the Sunshine State.

Fowler has been errant off the tee so far this young season hitting only 58.57% of fairways. This may steer some people away from him due to the nature of this course and its narrow landing strips. What many might not now, is how well Fowler does on courses that require golfers to club down off the tee. On tracks the have a field driving distance average under 280 yards, Fowler ranks 12th on Tour with 2.039 Strokes Gained: Total.

On the season Fowler has hit 74.44% of Greens In Regulation, good enough for 14th on Tour. That approach game will certainly come in handy when trying to land on some of the most difficult greens of the season; last year saw the field hit just 60% of GIR. In the event Rickie misses the green and lands in either the rough or one of the many bunkers, he’ll use his 80.43 Scrambling percentage to get out of trouble.

ZACH JOHNSON – $17,800

Any time a ball strikers course is mentioned, Zach Johnson is one of the first names that comes to mind. On the season his statistics are somewhat middle-of-the-road, but historically he checks all the areas of importance for success around PGA National.

Since the beginning of the 2016-17 season Zach ranks:

  • 44th – SG:Tee-to-Green
  • 49th – Driving Accuracy
  • 32nd – Ball Striking
  • 26th – Greens In Regulation
  • 14th – Scrambling

ZJ has managed two top 12 finishes in his last three events, the last of which coming in Scottsdale at the Waste Management Open. With the potential to go low owned after being priced next to extremely popular Russell Knox, it’s definitely worth taking a look at the two-time major winner in GPPs.

WILLIAM MCGIRT – $13,900

As the week has progressed it appears McGirt has gained some traction among those in the DFS community. When looking through the corollary stats for PGA National it’s no wonder why.

Dirt McGirt is certainly another player who can find an advantage in getting to the green safely; he currently sits 3rd in GIR at 76.16%. Combine that prowess with his 72.57% Driving Accuracy, and we’ve got the recipe for a contender.

With wind in the forecast over the weekend, targeting golfers who keep the ball low and avoid major wind gusts isn’t a bad idea. McGirt’s average Shot Apex is 98’, which is ranked the 141st lowest on Tour.

The North Carolina native has made the cut here each of his last three tries, including an eighth place finish last year. A price tag of only $13900 is a very friendly for the 49th ranked golfer in the world and should allow you to afford anyone you’d like from the top.

GARY WOODLAND – $16,100

If you’ve watched Woodland early on this season you’ve seen how much damage he’s caused off the tee. Despite three top 20’s in his last four events, Woodland has been somewhat atrocious from the tee box hitting only 58% of the fairways he’s faced. This week with the driver being forced out of his hand, it’s safe to say Gary will find himself in much better situations after hitting his tee ball.

Providing Woodland with success has been remarkable shot making. When looking at his numbers across the key categories, Woodland shows up as one of the favorites.

  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 28th (.989)
  • Ball Striking: 23rd
  • Greens In Regulation: 25th (73.72%)
  • Scrambling: 23rd (66.67%)

At $16100, you can roster a player who has made 82% of his cuts since the beginning of last year and who statistically matches up with this course very well. It’s not unreasonable to think many DFSers will be scared off by his awful Driving Accuracy, leading to low ownership.

JOHN HUH – $13,300

Huh is another guy who has performed very well at PGA National in the past. Three top 36 finishes in the last four years, including a pair of top 20’s the last two. Last year, his 66 on Sunday was the best of the final round.

Dating back to the swing season Huh has made the cut in eight of the nine events he entered; his only miss coming at the CareerBuilder Challenge. John currently ranks 34th in Ball Striking and he’s also getting up and down 67% of the time, good enough for 23rd on Tour. On the season he comes in hitting 71.49% of GIR and 64.47% of fairways. His stats are very consistent across all the key categories.

At just $13300 Huh will provide any salary relief needed in GPP lineups while also rostering a player who will very likely make the cut.

 

These five golfers leave you with $15,500 for your final roster spot, which is right in the heart of a solid group of plays. Using the “Going For The Green” picks alongside the “Core Fore” on DFSDatalytics.com makes for many great combinations that can take down GPPs.
Make sure to follow on twitter @GWBuffalo7 and check out our site DFSDatalytics.com. Also be sure to get in the PGA LIVE FINAL EVENT for a chance to go to Quail Hollow!

Josh Burkett

Josh Burkett

Josh Burkett is the lead PGA Analyst at DFSDatalytics. Josh can be reached on twitter @GWBuffalo7.

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