Hassan Whiteside dropped 61 fantasy points against the 76ers in the last meeting and he should dominate yet again tonight since Joel Embiid still is not ready to suit up for the up-and-coming team from Philadelphia. Check out daily fantasy expert Ricky Sanders’ recommended plays to help you fill out your roster for today’s NBA contests.
James Harden, Rockets, $23,000 – Sure James Harden is priced insanely expensive on this slate and yet he is not that difficult to fit into a lineup and fill around him. Assuming one or two more value plays emerge, it would be legitimately possible to comfortably fit Harden and two other studs into the same lineup. The match could not get much better as Harden will square off a Suns team that plays at the fourth fastest pace and ranks 26th in defensive efficiency to opposing backcourts. In two meetings this season, Harden has produced 59.25 and 55.25 fantasy points respectively on the heels of 27-14 and 32-12 double-doubles. With this game being played at home, the Rockets opened as 13.5 point favorites in a game with a whopping 231.5 over/under. So far, in games with 11-plus point spreads and over/unders greater than 225 points, Harden has exceeded value 60-percent of the time. If somehow, someway this game were to remain close, the sky would be the limit for Harden against a defense allowing the second highest three-point percentage to opponents. Not only does this benefit Harden’s shooting but his potential for assists (AST) since nearly every single player on the team is a solid shooter from deep. Fading Harden is simply a scary move so try to build cash games around him if at all possible.
Yogi Ferrell, Mavericks, $10,600 – Yet again, Deron Williams is listed as doubtful on Saturday so it is going to be the Yogi Ferrell show for the eighth consecutive game. Without Williams in the rotation, Ferrell has averaged 35.1 minutes per game (MPG) and 30.6 fantasy points per game (FPPG) in his tenure during the Mavericks…and now he should see a similar amount of run against the Magic. On paper, the Magic rank as a neutral matchup for opposing PGs but they have sunk to 22nd in efficiency over the course of the last five games. Still, only an average game from Ferrell would result in 2.89x value or enough to put a fantasy team on pace for 289 fantasy points. For a guard priced in the lower mid-tier, the 35-plus minutes are too juicy to pass on.
Nik Stauskas, 76ers, $7,000 – Speaking of players seeing a hefty amount of minutes for his price tag, Nik Stauskas certainly qualifies as he has played 28-plus minutes in nine consecutive games and is still only priced $1,000 above the minimum. The 76ers played the Heat just four games ago and Stauskas played a whopping 40 minutes in that game, only made 2-11 shots and produced 25 fantasy points. Only one team rates superior in terms of defensive efficiency against opposing SGs than the Heat so obviously this matchup is not exactly ideal. If attempting to fit multiple superstars in the same lineup, Stauskas is the way to make it happen.
Kevin Durant, Warriors, $17,900 – Rostering players solely due to narratives is a losing proposition in the long run but the Kevin Durant revenge game storyline against the Thunder is somewhat real. First and foremost the Thunder simply do not possess anyone capable of covering Durant so that certainly helps enhance the narrative. Both of his previous games against the Thunder came at home and now Durant will head back to Oklahoma City for the first time since his departure. Over the course of the two matchups, Durant has averaged 39.5 points per game (PPG), 9.5 rebounds per game (RPG), 2.5 AST per game and 2.0 blocks per game (BPG) en route to 61.9 FPPG. The Warriors and Thunder are two of the six fastest paced teams in the league so it is no shock each of their games have resulted in 218-plus total points. Even if the game turns into a blowout, Coach Steve Kerr will almost assuredly do him the solid of leaving him in for extended minutes like he has done in the two previous meetings. This makes Durant virtually game flow proof and should lead to 50-plus fantasy points pretty much regardless in his first trip back to his old stomping grounds.
Hassan Whiteside, Heat, $15,700 – Opposing Cs have been absolutely dominating the 76ers as of late, especially with Joel Embiid injured, and Nikola Vucevic continued that trend last time out. On Thursday night, Vucevic produced a 21-11 double-double and finished with 44.75 fantasy points. Quoting a Today’s Plays article from a few nights ago, here is how the Cs had fared against the 76ers prior to Vucevic’s impressive performance: Robin Lopez 44 fantasy points, DeMarcus Cousins 75.75 fantasy points, Salah Mejri 42.25 fantasy points, Dewayne Dedmon 33.5 fantasy points, Hassan Whiteside 61 fantasy points and Andre Drummond 47.75 fantasy points. Notice one of the names on the list? That’s right: Whiteside has already torched Jahlil Okafor during this span and there is no reason he should not do the same this go-around. Okafor is simply the perfect sort of C for Whiteside to excel against as he mostly hangs out in the post, is a bit soft in the post and has a tendency to get blocked more than the average C. Combine all these factors and Whiteside rates as the absolute top GPP on the entire slate.
Clint Capela, Rockets, $11,600 – Minutes equal fantasy production in daily fantasy basketball and Clint Capela produces fantasy points at a rate of 1.14 per minute this year. After failing to exceed 22 minutes for 14 consecutive games, Capela has now played at least 26 minutes in four consecutive games including 28-plus in three of them and 31-plus in two games during that stretch. Thus far, the Suns rank 28th in defensive efficiency against opposing Cs and they have allowed the most PPG to the position of any team, edging out the 76ers who were discussed in the last tidbit. Additionally, opposing Cs are shooting a ridiculous 54.2-percent against the Suns which is second worst behind only those 76ers. Capela does a ton of dunking and is one of the league leaders (fourth in the league behind only DeAndre Jordan, Rudy Gobert and Dwight Howard) in FG percentage as he is shooting 64.2-percent from the field. In other words, he should have no problems scoring in this fantastic matchup especially in the fast-paced environment with all the additional possessions. With Harden consistently dishing him the ball, Capela should eat.