Safety is the name of the game in cash games, but FantasyDraft also pays out at least 25 percent of the field in every single contest, including tournaments, as well. This should motivate users to lean towards safe options in all formats on a site that puts #PlayersFirst. Without the top-heavy nature of tournaments, single entrants do not have to go with a “YOLO (you only live once)” mindset in tournaments, but can play for a solid cash instead. That makes life a whole lot easier.
Here are the “safe bets,” or players who can be inserted into lineups without fear of a dud, heading into Week 14:
Tyrod Taylor, Bills, $10,600 – Considering Tyrod Taylor has not sunk below 17 fantasy points in any home games this season, he is way underpriced in this matchup. Sure the Steelers have only allowed 82 yards rushing to opposing QBs all season but they literally have faced zero of the top seven QBs in terms of rushing yardage this season and Dak Prescott (who ranks eighth) threw for 319 yards and two TDs against this defense. Meanwhile, Taylor leads all QBs in both rushing yardage (469) and rushing TDs (six). Throughout the entirety of the season, Taylor has literally not produced any less than 2.8 fantasy points via his legs in any single game. To personify his insane level of consistency, the man has only failed to reach 14 fantasy points twice, 15.76 fantasy point thrice and 16.64 fantasy points four times this season…and he is nearly priced at the minimum. With his skill set, he should easily be able to provide fantasy owners with some serious value especially with top target Sammy Watkins back and healthy. It is difficult to imagine a scenario where Taylor did not compete for the lead in fantasy-points-per-dollar the position this week outside of injury.
Le’Veon Bell, Steelers, $17,000 – In the same game, Le’Veon Bell stands out as the obvious player to spend up for this week even over the likes of David Johnson, Antonio Brown, Odell Beckham Jr., etc. Why? Well, heading into Week 13, Bell had caught exactly one fewer pass than Brown since his return from suspension and they both caught six passes once again last week. Essentially, Bell is a WR1 and RB2 all in one and now the team will square off against a Bills team that ranks 25th in rushing DVOA. Over the course of the last four games, Bell’s lowest fantasy output has been 26.20 fantasy points and he has averaged 31.23 fantasy points during that stretch. On the road, where QB Ben Roethlisberger is much less comfortable, expect another monster performance from the star back.
Jeremy Hill, Bengals, $10,900 – Again the price on Jeremy Hill rose this week and yet he is still worth using against a Browns defense that has allowed the second most fantasy points per game to the RB position this season. Additionally, the Browns rank 29th in rushing DVOA and 20th in DVOA against opposing backs in the passing game. Since Giovani Bernard went down with a torn ACL, Hill has caught eight passes in two weeks. The last time these two teams squared off, Hill rushed for 168 yards and a TD on just nine carries on the heels of season-long 74 yard run. While that sort of bust out run cannot be projected, it epitomizes the sort of upside he could possess in this cake matchup. Rex Burkhead has taken an uncomfortable amount of snaps away from Hill over the last two weeks (74 for Hill, 65 for Burkhead since Bernard injury) but Hill is still touching the ball much more. Following two reasonably quiet games against stout defenses, Hill’s ceiling is much higher this week (as is his floor).
Tyler Boyd, Bengals, $9,800 – Hill is not the only Bengals player worthy of rostering this week as the matchup stands out for Tyler Boyd as well. After Brandon LaFell stole the show in Week 13, catching five passes for 95 yards and a TD, heading back aboard the Boyd bandwagon is the proper play this week. According to Pro Football Focus, Boyd and LaFell drew nearly identical individual matchups in terms of their rating system so either could have busted out last week. The same is true once again this week as both Boyd and LaFell will draw matchups against Jamar Taylor and Briean Boddy-Calhoun who have fared as the Browns’ two best corners so far this season (even over Joe Haden). According to DVOA, the Browns rank 29th and 28th respectively against opposing number one and two WR options so both are in play. Boyd stands out because he has caught at least four passes and gained at least 62 yards in both games since Green’s injury. Consistency is the name of the game and this duo is going to continue to see six-plus targets a piece on a weekly basis as long as their stud receiver remains out. With Boyd having caught 70-percent of his targets compared to just 60-percent for LaFell, Boyd is the one who feels more trustworthy moving forward and he represents my Bengals WR of choice this week.
C.J. Fiedorowicz, Texans, $7,700 – The Colts rank dead last in TE DVOA defense and all C.J. Fiedorowicz did in the last meeting was catch 6-7 targets for 85 yards and a TD against them. Since that game, Fiedorowicz has been targeted six-plus times in all but one ballgame and caught four-plus passes in all but one game (the same game) as well. All of the other receiving options on this team have proven to be volatile but Fiedorowicz can be counted on as a weekly contributor. Only Travis Kelce, Cameron Brate, Tyler Eifert, Jimmy Graham, Jordan Reed, Delanie Walker, Ladarius Green and Zach Ertz have gained more yardage at the position over the course of the last four weeks. Quietly, Fiedorowicz is an upper-echelon contributor at the position and is priced at a point where it would be difficult to flop. Assuming he comes anywhere near reaching his potential in this elite matchup, he is going to absolutely crush value.