Safe Bets: Week 7

Safety is the name of the game in cash games, but FantasyDraft also pays out at least 25 percent of the field in every single contest, including tournaments, as well. This should motivate users to lean towards safe options in all formats on a site that puts #PlayersFirst. Without the top-heavy nature of tournaments, single entrants do not have to go with a “YOLO (you only live once)” mindset in tournaments, but can play for a solid cash instead. That makes life a whole lot easier.

Here are the “safe bets,” or players who can be inserted into lineups without fear of a dud, heading into Week 7:

Joe Flacco, Ravens, $10,900 – The Ravens are not exactly loaded with weapons so how could Joe Flacco project as an incredibly safe option? For one, his miniscule salary helps the cause considering he only needs around 16.40 fantasy points to put a fantasy team on pace for 150 fantasy points. Secondly, the Jets headed into Week 6 allowing the second most fantasy points to opposing QBs. After the Packers were gashed by Ezekiel Elliott this week, they moved into a two-way tie for first with the Jets in terms of yards per carry (YPC) allowed to opposing backs. In other words, the Jets and Packers allow the fewest YPC and present a difficult matchup for an opponent’s running game. Since the Ravens’ running game is no great shakes anyways, Flacco is going to likely see an uptick in volume in order to find the plentiful weak spots in the secondary. Amazingly, Flacco has attempted 40-plus passes in every game since Week 1 so that sort of volume should translate into fantasy points in this fantastic matchup.

DeMarco Murray, Titans, $13,700 – Considering the Colts defense was able to wake up the sleeping giant that is Lamar Miller last week, is there any question DeMarco Murray is set to go off against this team as well? Only the Saints have allowed more fantasy points to opposing backs and only Ezekiel Elliott and Lamar Miller have received more touches to this point than Murray. On a Titans offense determined to run, Murray is averaging 4.6 YPC and has received 75-percent of the team’s red zone rushes. This creates a high floor against an Indianapolis defense that has allowed 4.8 YPC and 117.7 rushing yards per game. Most notably, though, is their inability to stop receiving backs this year: 33 RECs, 346 receiving yards and a league-worst four receiving TDs allowed to the position. Literally only two receiving specialist backs (Giovani Bernard and Theo Riddick) have caught more passes than Murray this season and he has even received 34.8-percent of the team’s red zone targets! His floor is so high in any matchup that he is almost always worth using so consider him an absolute must-play this week against the lowly Colts.

Spencer Ware, Chiefs, $11,000 – Reportedly Jamaal Charles is still not confident in the strength of his knee after offseason surgery so the fact he only played less than half the amount of snaps than Spencer Ware should not have come as a surprise. The exact totals were 39 snaps for Ware and 15 for Charles although Charles touched the ball on 11 of those opportunities. Meanwhile, Ware carried 24 times for 131 yards, a TD and even caught two passes for 32 yards. Even with Charles back in the lineup, he is the Chiefs back to own and the one who will be handling the lion’s share of work. As Charles gets healthier he may be eased into a slightly larger role but the team simply has no reason to take opportunities away from Ware. In fact, Ware is averaging a Charles-esque 5.3 YPC on 78 carries this year. In Week 6, he and the Chiefs rushing attack will face the aforementioned Saints defense that has allowed the absolute most fantasy points to the position…and they will face them at home. The Saints always seem to play down to their competition on the road and although their defense is bad regardless of where they play (and has led them to a 2-3 start). Vegas does not even believe this will be that close; Kansas City opened as seven point favorites. If true, the game flow projects perfectly for a heavy rushing attack. If Ware is fed the ball early and often, it is impossible to imagine a scenario where he totally flops (or even produces a mediocre output).

Julio Jones, Falcons, $17,300 – The Falcons offense is clicking on all cylinders this season as they amazingly have torched the Broncos and Seahawks on consecutive weeks. Although Julio Jones struggled against Aqib Talib and the Broncos, Richard Sherman and the Seahawks barely fazed him; he caught 7-9 targets for 139 yards and a TD en route to 23.40 fantasy points. Now, the team will square off against Jason Verrett-less Chargers defense surrendering 280 passing yards per game including seven TDs allowed already to WRs. A majority of the afternoon, Jones should match up against Steve Williams who has graded outside the top 30 at the cornerback position this season, per Pro Football Focus. Williams is good but not great and Jones proved against the Panthers great corners are needed to slow him down. With Ryan lighting up every defense he sees at this point, expect a ton of Jones on Sunday (and rightfully so).

Allen Robinson, Jaguars, $13,700 – Through five games, Allen Robinson strangely has yet to eclipsed 72 yards receiving. Most of the blame lies on Blake Bortles and his ongoing accuracy issues but, to be fair, Robinson did drop a TD this past week. Week 7 is basically the make-or-break week for Robinson to snap out of this season-long funk because he will square off against a Raiders team that has allowed the second most fantasy points to opposing WRs…and the most yards by a large margin. Robinson is averaging 9.4 targets per game so the volume is in his favor and he had scored three TDs in two games heading into the Week 6 tilt against the Bears. Due to his talent, there is no reason to believe he should not get back on track in this superior matchup against a struggling Oakland secondary. The results have not been unbelievable to this point but this should be the week Robinson busts out for his first 100-plus yard performance. If not, he is officially broken.

Hunter Henry, Chargers, $7,100 – The presence of Antonio Gates has not affected Hunter Henry in the least as he has now scored in back-to-back-to-back games and has clearly emerged as their top pass-catching option at the position. Also, reports surfaced after the team’s win on Thursday Night Football last week suggesting Gates is still being bothered by the hamstring injury that kept him out for the early part of the season. Therefore, Henry should remain atop the depth chart without much competition in a meeting with the Falcons in the Georgia Dome. Oh by the way the Falcons have allowed the fourth most fantasy points to TEs including five TDs already. Henry is lining up as both a TE and WR and has been targeted seven-plus times in two of the past three games. At this price tag, the floor alone justifies rostering him in such a favorable setup. Clearly, his ceiling includes a respectable yardage total and finding the end zone once again.

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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