Right-handed Trea Turner will square off against Chad Bettis and his notorious reverse splits in Coors Field on Tuesday so just go ahead and start him. Check out daily fantasy expert Ricky Sanders’ recommended plays to help you fill out your roster for today’s MLB.
Joey Votto, Reds, $10,000 – After managing a single off yesterday’s starter David Phelps, Joey Votto extended his hitting streak to seven games. In fact, it was the first time in a six game span that he did not produce multiple hits. Furthermore, Votto has now hit safely in nine of his past 10 games and it’s more of anomaly these days when he does not get a hit than when he does. The guy is simply a machine and his numbers prove it: .419 wOBA, .236 wOBA, 19.3-percent BB rate, .315/.449/.551 slash line and 45.3-percent hard hit rate against RHP this season. The Reds will square off against Jose Urena who has allowed a career .292/.373/.491 slash line and .362 wOBA to RHHs (in a 43.2 IP sample size). In the hitter-friendly environment of Great American Ballpark, none of the data suggests Votto should slow down in this matchup. Start him without hesitation.
Dustin Pedroia, Red Sox, $9,200 – Speaking of recently hot hitters, Dustin Pedroia has ripped seven hits over the course of his last two ballgames. Having slid into the leadoff spot recently, Pedroia has certainly made the most of his new role. Now, the team will match up against Yovani Gallardo and his .345 wOBA allowed to RHHs so far this season. Over the course of Gallardo’s career, he has fared as a normal splits pitcher, but his numbers are deteriorating all around as he continues to age. While Gallardo has preferred pitching at home (3.33 home ERA compared to 6.14 road ERA), he has still allowed a .348 wOBA at home. The way Pedroia is seeing the ball right now, the slight ballpark downgrade shouldn’t matter, and Pedroia is simply a rock solid cash play on this slate.
Trea Turner, Nationals, $10,400 – Chad Bettis is the reverse splits king and therefore I always prefer using hitters of the right-handed variety against him. Of the 17 HRs Bettis has allowed in 2016, 12 have come of the bats of RHHs. The bombs are only part of what has led to Bettis allowing a .289/.340./483 slash line and .351 wOBA to righties…and a 5.37 ERA at home. Those are ugly numbers and Trea Turner has taken the MLB by storm so this should be the perfect storm for a big game from the youngster. Turner has hit around .325 at literally every level he’s ever been at and he’s already slashing .319/.347/.540 in 113 ABs at the Major League level. Most applicably to Tuesday’s matchup, Turner has hit for a .406 wOBA, .272 ISO and .333/.365/.605 slash line against RHPs. With this game being played in Coors Field, fading Turner is a dangerous proposition as I expect him to be nearly 100-percent owned in cash games.
George Springer, Astros, $8,100 – When George Springer is priced below $9,000 in a matchup at home against a LHP, he’s worth rostering as a price play almost regardless of opponent. Minute Maid Park comes equipped with a short porch in left field that is one of the easiest spots in baseball to hit the ball out of and George Springer is an excellent hitter against the handedness. In 121 ABs against LHP this year, Springer has hit eight bombs to complement his .289/.404/.587 slash line, .298 ISO and .417 wOBA. Additionally, opposing starter Jaime Garcia has struggled on the road this season to the tune of a 5.04 ERA, .302/.361/.480 slash line and .359 wOBA. Now he’ll face a difficult road task against a team with a ton of power and he’ll have to deal with the added obstacle of the designated hitter. Luck for a rough day from Garcia and a big day from Astros usuals (Springer, Jose Altuve and Carlos Correa at the very least).
Corey Kluber, Indians, $22,200 – Despite pitching in an American League park against an American League opponent, Corey Kluber is implied to allow the fewest runs (3.2) on the slate…behind the likes of Noah Syndergaard and even Kenta Maeda against the Phillies. In a game with a 7.5 run over/under, Kluber is listed as a pretty ridiculous -186 favorite against another borderline ace (Jose Quintana). I literally cannot remember seeing a great pitcher favored that heavily over another great pitcher. In other words, Vegas is pretty confident in Kluber, and why not? The White Sox rank in the bottom 10 of wOBA, wRC+, ISO, BB rate, AVG, OBP, hard hit rate and line drive percentage. They’re offense has woken up a bit over the last week but this is a tall task against Kluber. Lock in Kluber as a high-floor, high-ceiling option in all formats.
Jason Hammel, Cubs, $19,800 – Admittedly, this pick is a little biased because I sat at Miller Park this weekend as both Homer Bailey and Dan Straily dominated the Brewers offense. Sans Jonathan Lucroy, this Brewers offense just doesn’t have much pop against RHP. They rank in the bottom 10 of wOBA, wRC+, ISO, AVG, OBP and line drive rate. Most importantly, they strike out at the highest rate of any team in baseball against the handedness (26.1-percent). Consequently, opposing starting pitchers should come equipped with both high potential floors and high ceilings against them due to the strikeout potential alone. Even though Jason Hammel has posted mediocre numbers against the Brewers in two starts this season (4.91 ERA, 1.18 WHIP), he has impressively held opponents under a 2.00 ERA in Wrigley Field (1.99 ERA). Despite the decent BvP against him, Hammel is still a fantastic play.
Blake Snell, Rays, $16,800 – Drew Smyly blew through the Padres offense on Monday night and I consider Blake Snell to be a much superior talent. While Smyly has been susceptible to the long ball this season, Snell has only allowed three HRs in 56.2 IP (spanning 11 starts). All the reasons to have liked Smyly also apply to Snell because Snell is also a lefty whose strength is missing bats. Other than striking out a whopping 24.5-percent rate against LHP, the Padres also rank in the bottom half of of wOBA, ISO, AVG and OBP against the handedness. The control issues for Snell are a bit of a concern (one that did not affect Smyly’s matchup), especially considering the 9.7-percent BB rate for the Padres, so he is probably a better fit for GPP formats. With double-digit strikeout potential against a whiff-prone offense, it’s not inconceivable Snell edges out Smyly’s 23.95 fantasy points from yesterday.
*Stats are accurate as of Monday, August 15