John Wall will play the Kings tonight, a team he dropped 19 assists against earlier this season, so fire him up once again. Check out daily fantasy expert Ricky Sanders’ recommended plays to help you fill out your roster for today’s NBA contests.
John Wall, Wizards, $17,900 – Top players versus the Kings are essentially auto-plays. In one prior meeting this season, John Wall dropped 12 points (PTS) and 19 assists (AST) and tallied 50.5 fantasy points. Like every other position, Sacramento struggles to cover point guards (PGs) as they allow the sixth most fantasy points and rank 26th in defensive efficiency versus the position. There isn’t much else to say here…Stephen Curry faces a tough matchup against the Jazz and Chris Paul is the only other alternative (playing the Timberwolves) but I prefer Wall in cash against the absolute worst defense in the league. Do not overthink this one…just use him.
Devin Booker, Suns, $12,000 – After a string of four consecutive games of at least 33.5 fantasy points, and at least 40.75 fantasy points in three of those, Devin Booker’s price has only risen a measly $300. In 15 games this month, Booker is averaging 37.7 minutes per game (MPG) and taking 18.7 shots per game en route to 22.7 points per game (PPG), 5.0 assists per game (APG) and 3.1 rebounds per game (RPG). All of this production equates to 35.6 fantasy points per game (FPPG) or almost exactly 3x value at his current price. Though the Bucks will look to slow the pace down quite a bit, especially compared to some of the Suns recent games, they still struggle to cover opposing shooting guards (SGs). Despite playing at the seventh slowest pace in the league, the Bucks allow the sixth most fantasy points to opposing SGs and rank 27th in efficiency versus the position. Furthermore, they rank in the top six of both fantasy points allowed and defensive efficiency to opposing PGs, so the Suns other top scoring threat (Brandon Knight) should have a difficult time in this one. If Knight is struggling to find his shot, he will look to Booker who we know will put the ball in the air. This kid is becoming a stud so you’ll want to stay along for the ride.
Tim Frazier, Pelicans, $7,300 – With Jrue Holiday ruled out for the season due to a right inferior orbital wall fracture, the Pelicans will now officially be without Holiday, Anthony Davis, Tyreke Evans, Eric Gordon, Alonzo Gee, Bryce Dejean-Jones and probably Ryan Anderson for the remainder of the season. This is just incredible…I actually cannot remember the last time I saw a team as decimated as the Pelicans’ current state. Since essentially their whole team is inactive and will remain so, they do not have a whole lot left to work with. With the team’s current construction, Tim Frazier leads the team in fantasy points per-minute (FPPM) although the sample size is only 16 minutes. If we open up the sample a bit more and factor in the past few games when Gee was healthy as well, Frazier ranks third on the team FPPM (among players who have played at least 10 minutes) behind Alexis Ajinca (1.07) and Toney Douglas (1.04). The sample size under the aforementioned construction is 76 minutes for Ajinca, 85 for Douglas and 85 for Frazier so, while still small, it is a bit more reliable. Just thinking with deductive reasoning, only Douglas and Frazier really possess the ability to score on a consistent basis. Guys like Luke Babbit and Dante Cunningham cannot create their own shot, Omer Asik and Kendrick Perkins don’t really look to score and Ajinca is incredibly volatile. Consequently, all the usage is going to have to continue to come out of this backcourt and they only have eight healthy players in the rotation. If Norris Cole were to be deemed active, he would significantly could Frazier’s outlook, but he just has to score by default if the same players suit up as last game. Therefore, he is viable at $7,300 only assuming Cole remains out.
Karl-Anthony Towns, Timberwolves, $15,100 – In the Booker tidbit, I talked about a young kid becoming a stud and Karl-Anthony Towns fits that bill as well. After struggling twice against the Suns earlier this season, Towns came back and torched them in the first meeting as he actually scored 22 PTS in the first half alone. Sure DeAndre Jordan is known as a defensive-minded player but the Clippers actually rank in the bottom six of defensive efficiency to the position. Jordan’s blocks are impressive but he actually has not defended well this season other than his help defense. All a prospective Towns owner needs to hear is “has not defended well this season” and it’s time to auto-start him. With a price hovering around $15,000, it’s only a matter of time until Towns is recognized as one of the best handful of players in the entire league. He is amidst that ascension to the top and it will take more than a below average defense against opposing centers (Cs) to slow him down.
Hassan Whiteside, Heat, $15,100 – Goran Dragic sat out on Monday but still Hassan Whiteside scored a career-high 27 PTS against the Brooklyn Nets…just a day after tying his career-high of 26 PTS against the Magic. Earlier in the season, Whiteside has a ridiculous stretch where he was pushing 50 fantasy points on a nightly basis for a few weeks. Even with that stretch in February, Whiteside is actually scoring his most FPPG of any month this season in March (41.9). Coming off the bench is not affecting him because, remember, he enjoys a nice uptick in production without Chris Bosh (who is likely out for the remainder of the season). With this recent binge in scoring, it’s hard to find any downside in Whiteside’s fantasy game nowadays and he’ll draw a fantastic matchup against the Lakers on Wednesday. Only Philadelphia and New Orleans have allowed more FPPG to opposing Cs, and the game will be played in the Staples Center (so the threat of a blowout is slightly diminished). Essentially, finding any negatives about this matchup is borderline impossible so he is as close to a must-play as it gets.
Kristaps Porzingis, Knicks, $11,600 – Both Kristaps Porzingis’ price and production have been on the rise this month. March’s 29.9 FPPG output slightly edges out January’s 29.5 tally for the most in a single month in his young career. The reason: his minutes are on the rise once again as it appears Coach Kurt Rambis is ready to unleash the beast. After babying Porzingis for a while after he admitted he was getting worn down, Rambis has played him at least 35 minutes in five of his last six games including 35-plus in three straight. The only thing holding Porzingis back was his playing time, and with that obstacle out of the way, there are nothing but clear skies ahead. Porzingis and the Knick will square off against a Mavericks team allowing the fourth most fantasy points to opposing power forwards (PFs). Assuming the minutes are there for Porzingis once again, there is no reason he shouldn’t reach the mid-30s in fantasy points. He is going to be one of my staples in cash games on the slate. UPDATE: Porzingis is listed as doubtful for Wednesday’s game. Robin Lopez emerges as a solid play without him.
*Stats are accurate as of Tuesday, Mar. 29