NHL Picks to Light the Lamp for 2/9/16

It’s like repeating the same old song, but the way to build a winning nightly lineup is to look at the best match ups and the best plays in those match ups.

Here are the teams allowing the most goals and a few notable players in those match ups. The five worst teams in goals allowed over the last three weeks aren’t facing an elite scoring offense so that dream match up isn’t on the slate tonight, but its tough not to be intrigued by the high-powered weapons on the Dallas Stars facing the Minnesota Wild.

Montreal Canadiens (24 goals in 6 games) vs. TB Lightning

Ondrej Palat ($9,200): 2 goals, 1 assist = 3 games

Tyler Johnson ($10,700): 2 goals, 2 assists = 3 games

Nikita Kucherov ($13,900): 1 goal, 3 assists = 3 games

 

Edmonton Oilers (20 goals in 5 games) @NJ Devils

Lee Stempniak ($9,800): 5 goals, 4 assists = 10 games

 

Colorado Avs (20 goals in 6 games) vs. Vancouver Canucks

*Linden Vey ($5,400): 1 goal, 1 assist = 2 games

 

Toronto Maple Leafs (19 goals in 6 games) @Calgary Flames

Sean Monahan ($12,500): 2 goals, 4 assists = 3 games

Jiri Hudler ($8,500): 1 goal, 3 assists = 3 games

 

Minnesota Wild (18 goals in 5 games) vs. Dallas Stars

Tyler Seguin ($17,600): 3 goals, 14 Shots on Goal = 3 games

Jamie Benn ($17,600): 1 assist, 6 shots = 3 games

John Klingberg ($12,400): 2 goals, 1 assist, 11 Shots = 3 games

Patrick Nemeth ($4,900): 2 assists = 2 games

Ales Hemsky ($7,500): 1 goal, 1 assist, 12 Shots = 3 games

If there is a dream match up tonight it is the Dallas Stars, who have struggled to score goals over the last three weeks- 13 goals in the previous five games, against the Minnesota Wild who have allowed 18 goals in their five previous games. But, it is difficult to overlook Jamie Benn and Tyler Seguin on the expensive side of the salary slate, John Klingberg in the mid-level price range and Patrick Nemeth and Ales Hemsky if you are looking for bargains. The Wild are a prime team to stack against and the Stars provide cheap as well as expensive stack options tonight.

It looks like Tyler Seguin ($17,600) is turning the slump around. He has been lighting the lamp and taking a lot of shots recently and his salary is discounted from his early season price. Ales Hemsky ($7,500) is tough to pass up, especially when you see 12 shots in his last three games, while Patrick Nemeth ($4,900) is the poster boy for a bargain. Feel free to mix and match the Dallas Stars options in any way, shape or form that fits your budget. Tyler Seguin is the “must-start” and then the rest are interchangeable.

Mini-Stack of the Day:

Tyler Seguin ($17,600) and John Klingberg ($12,400)

Bargain Stack of the Day

Patrick Nemeth ($4,900) and Ales Hemsky ($7,500)

As a Boston Bruins fan it pains me to always target players against them, but the fact is that the Bruins score goals and they also allow goals. Starting Bruins and starting opponents against them is a good daily league trend to get used to. Here are a few plays from the Boston Bruins vs. Los Angeles Kings game tonight.

Anze Kopitar C ($13,200): Assists in four straight games.

Alec Martinez D ($9,400): 2 goals, 1 assist = 2 games

Dustin Brown W ($7,900): 2 goals, 1 assist, 8 Shots = 2 games

Drew Doughty D ($12,300): 3 assists, 6 Shots = 2 games

Someone is going to score for the Kings but it is difficult to confidently feel good about any one player as a slam dunk choice tonight. The logical stack is Anze Kopitar, who is a safe bet for some points tonight and his line mate Dustin Brown, but neither is a bargain and neither are elite goal scorers. Make a Kopitar/Brown stack a budget decision rather than a “Must-Start” stack.

Alternative Stack of the Day

Anze Kopitar ($13,200) and Dustin Brown ($7,900)

Team G of the Day

The Dallas Stars ($17,600) Team G costs the same as their top scorers (Benn and Seguin) and they face the hapless Minnesota Wild offense (10 goals scored in five games). Another bargain of the day is the Colorado Avalanche ($18,400) who faces the futile Vancouver Canucks (seven goals in four games). The Av’s allow a lot of goals and would normally be a Team G to target against, but the Canucks would struggle to score on an empty net right now. A third cost-effective option is The Calgary Flames ($17,700) who defend against a Toronto Maple Leafs team that has 10 goals in their last 6 games. And last but not least, the Florida Panthers ($19,600), who face another team that is struggling to put the puck in the net, the Buffalo Sabres (13 goals in five games). All of these Team G’s are cheaper than the top shelf options while having the match up to out score them. That extra couple of thousand dollars in salary could allow you to upgrade on offense to a player that makes the difference.

Its rare to have that many legitimate Team G options and for all of them to be cheaper in such a meaningful way, but that’s the story of tonight. Stack your Stars and bargain shop for your goalies. That’s what to do in tonight’s games. Good luck ladies and gentleman.

Chris Mitchell

Chris Mitchell

Chris Mitchell has been playing Fantasy sports for over twenty years. He contributed to RotoWire.com in their early days before contributing as a writer and doing Fantasy sports Podcasts for Seamheads.com. Three seasons ago he brought his writing and his Fantasy sports Podcast to RotoExperts.com and the Fantasy Sports Television network and this past season he wrote a weekly Fantasy sports column for BaseballAmerica.com. He also writes about Minor League prospects for RotoExperts. Chris has no more access to the site than the typical user. Follow him at Twitter @CJMiitch73.

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