NBA Value Bin: Speights Oddity

Welcome to the mid-week edition of “NBA Value Bin” at FantasyDraft! Today’s NBA schedule features 10 games of pulse-pounding action to satisfy your DFS cravings. Of course, in order to take down your contests, you must roster some lower-priced players. This allows you to fit the league’s biggest stars into your lineups.

Without further ado, here are the top NBA DFS value plays for Wednesday, January 13th, with a tribute to the legendary David Bowie.

Marreese Speights, Warriors ($6,400)

It’s rumored that the Warriors may sit Draymond Green tonight in order to get him some rest. If that ends up being the case, Marreese Speights becomes a solid value/punt play.

Speights won’t ever be spectacular, but if given some extra minutes, he’s very likely to meet or exceed value sans Green. Speights has surpassed 15 minutes played in just six games this season, but he is averaging 20.35 fantasy points in those contests. Festus Ezeli missed the Dubs’ January 5 game against the Lakers and Speights dropped 12 and 10 on them, leading to a season-high 31 FPs.

The Nuggets are the worst team in the NBA against opposing power forward/centers over the past two weeks, which bodes extremely well for Speights. Just make sure to keep checking back for updates on Green, because you obviously don’t want to roster Speights if the Warriors end up letting Green play.

Nene Hilario, Wizards ($8,000)

Once upon a time, Nenenot to be confused with Nena —  was a solid fantasy contributor. From 2003 to 2014, the Brazilian center averaged 12.6 points, 6.8 rebounds and 1.2 steals per game, but his body has let him down time and time again, leading to a slew of injuries. The Wizards center has once again dealt with a myriad of ailments in his 14th NBA season, limiting him to just 15 games over the first 11 weeks.

The reason I am recommending him tonight is actually due to an injury to another player, Wizards’ starting center Marcin Gortat. Gortat was hospitalized Monday when he complained about swelling in his knee. It was later discovered that the Polish Hammer was dealing with an infection. There’s no official word on the severity, but sitting out tonight’s contest is nearly guaranteed. Nene stepped in for Gortat against the Bulls on Monday and put up a solid 23 fantasy points in just 19 minutes. The 19 minutes actually exceeded what was supposed to be a 12-minute cap as the veteran works his way back from a calf injury.

Washington’s opponents, the Milwaukee Bucks, are dead last versus opposing centers over the past two weeks, and will be playing the second game of a back-to-back — and on the road, no less. If Nene can hover around the 20-minute mark — or even top that — he should easily return value for his owners. He’s not a high-upside option, and his floor is rather low, but he’s worth a look in cash games.

Other Players to Consider on Wednesday:

Derrick Williams, Knicks ($7,100) – If Carmelo Anthony (ankle) sits, Williams becomes a high-upside play. Melo didn’t play during the second half of Tuesday’s win, and Williams took advantage, posting a double-double (15 points, 10 rebounds). The Nets are 21st vs. SFs this season.

Zach LaVine, Timberwolves ($9,000) – LaVine had been in a HUGE slump until Tuesday, when he went off for 21 points, nine rebounds and four assists. Sure, a lot of it was in garbage time, but it’s a big confidence booster for the second-year man, and he’ll have a chance to follow it up when the Wolves face off against the Rockets, who are 25th vs. SGs over the past two weeks.

Jeremy Lamb, Hornets ($8,700) – He had been left for dead just 10 days ago, but Lamb has come back onto the fantasy scene with a vengeance, averaging 27.6 FPs over his last four games. Yes, his recent success can be attributed to Nicolas Batum‘s absence, but Batum played in their last game and Lamb still managed 30 minutes. His minutes should trend down a little, but he’s worth rostering against the Hawks tonight, a team that has been 30th vs. SGs over the past two weeks.

Drew Gooden, Wizards ($7,400) – Like his Wizards teammate, Nene, Drew Gooden is coming off a great performance (10 points, 12 rebounds) and is also worth consideration against a Bucks team playing the second game of a back-to-back, though they’re not quite as bad vs. PFs (16th last 2 weeks) as they are against centers.

Seth Klein

Seth is a DFS writer at FantasyDraft, as well as a writer for TheFantasyFix and Razzball. You can find his player rankings at FantasyPros. Though he was born and raised in Los Angeles, Seth is a lifelong New York sports fan. Seth has no more access to the site than the typical user. Follow him on Twitter at @SethDaSportsMan.

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