NBA Value Bin: House of Payne

I have great news to share.

Firstly, now that the NFL season is over, my weekly NFL Punt Plays will be on hiatus till 2016 — but that’s not a bad thing, because it just means I’ll be adding another NBA piece to my repertoire. In addition to my usual Wednesday and Friday NBA Value Bin articles, I’ll now be penning a Monday Value Bin article for you to enjoy.

Second, Monday’s NBA schedule gives us a 10-game slate to work with, which means there’s more value to be had among the player pool. Hopefully we can turn that into a big pay day!

So let’s take a look at the top NBA DFS value plays for Monday, January 4th.

Donald Sloan, Nets ($6,000)

The Nets will be without Jarrett Jack‘s (ACL) services for the remainder of the season, and that means Shane Larkin and Donald Sloan will need to step up in his place. Larkin has a much more favorable situation, as he’s expected to slide right in to Jack’s 30-plus minutes per game, but for DFS purposes — and cost cutting purposes — Sloan offers us better value for Monday’s slate.

At $8,300, Larkin will cost you $2,300 more than Sloan, yet may not exceed value. On the other hand, Sloan’s minimum-priced salary should give you plenty of bang for your buck. Sloan has struggled the past two games, but he averaged 17.7 fantasy points in the previous four. With more minutes coming his way, that should be easy to achieve against the Boston Celtics, who play at the fourth-highest pace in the NBA.

Cameron Payne, Thunder ($6,300)

Oklahoma City wasn’t an ideal landing spot for rookie Cameron Payne; after all, one of the best players on the planet plays point guard for them. But even with Russell Westbrook playing MVP-like basketball these days, Payne has still managed to produce some decent per-minute numbers of late. He’s averaging just 15.3 minutes over his last four, but he’s been able to put up 18 fantasy points per game during that span.

The Thunder host the Sacramento Kings on Monday, who are 30th against opposing point guards over the last two weeks. OKC is also favored by 11 points, meaning there’s a great likelihood that garbage time will come into play, leading to more playing time for Payne.

Shabazz Muhammad, Timberwolves ($6,700)

I’m really not sure what the Timberwolves and coach Sam Mitchell are doing with their rotations. This is a rebuilding team, yet Mitchell insists on starting washed up 35-year-old Tayshaun Prince. There’s no good explanation as to why Shabazz Muhammad isn’t getting 30 minutes per game. As frustrating as this situation is, it helps us in DFS because it keeps his price down.

When given extra run, Muhammad has played well, which is validated by his per-36 numbers of 17.0 points and 5.7 rebounds. The third-year pro is averaging 22 fantasy points in 24 minutes over his past two games and I expect him to replicate, if not surpass those numbers tonight. With the Sixers on the docket, Monday is one of those nights where he should get extras minutes, too. At 3-33, Philadelphia is the worst team in the league, and they are also 30th versus opposing small forwards over the past two weeks.

Seth Klein

Seth is a DFS writer at FantasyDraft, as well as a writer for TheFantasyFix and Razzball. You can find his player rankings at FantasyPros. Though he was born and raised in Los Angeles, Seth is a lifelong New York sports fan. Seth has no more access to the site than the typical user. Follow him on Twitter at @SethDaSportsMan.

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