Week 16: Safe Bets

Safety is the name of the game in cash games, but FantasyDraft also pays out at least 25 percent of the field in every single contest, including tournaments, as well. This should motivate users to lean towards safe options in all formats on a site that puts #PlayersFirst. Without the top-heavy nature of tournaments, single entrants do not have to go with a “YOLO (you only live once)” mindset in tournaments, but can play for a solid cash instead. That makes life a whole lot easier.

Here are the “safe bets,” or players who can be inserted into lineups without fear of a dud, for week 16:

Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers, $12,700 – The top Vegas implied total of the week is the Steelers (28.8 points) and the Ben Roethlisberger/Antonio Brown duo continues to look absolutely unstoppable. Last week Big Ben threw for 380 yards and 3 touchdowns (TDs) versus Denver’s top ranked defense versus opposing quarterbacks (QBs). The Ravens rank 25th against opposing QBs meaning they allow the seventh most fantasy points to the position. Pittsburgh sits at 9-5 and needs a win in order to all but guarantee their berth into the playoffs. With a whole lot on the line in a divisional matchup including two teams that absolutely hate each other, the motivation will be there. A motivated Roethlisberger against a bad secondary is a scary proposition.

David Johnson, Cardinals, $10,900 – This guy scores three TDs and rushes for 180-plus yards and his price goes up by a stinking $200? The price increase is nowhere near enough for me to consider fading Johnson as he could arguably be the most productive back in the NFL for the rest of the season. I’m once again loving the chance to roster him for below $11,000.

Antonio Brown, Steelers, $17,600 – What else is there to say here? Brown dominated last week despite being shadowed by elite corner Chris Harris Jr. and an overall top-notch secondary. With Roethlisberger at QB, it won’t matter if Jimmy Smith suits up or not: Brown is a must-play just about every single week in cash games. It’s gotten to the point where if you do not roster him, there’s a significant chance you’re leaving 15 fantasy points on the table between him and the second highest scoring receiver of the week (because he catches so many damn passes). Do not be the guy who fades him in cash games and I wouldn’t blame you if he were to end up in 100-percent of your overall week 16 lineups.

Randall Cobb, Packers, $11,400 – Despite the fact Randall Cobb has been battling a sprained AC joint in his shoulder all season, he has now managed to score double-digit fantasy points in seven consecutive games. Earlier in the season, Offensive Coordinator Tom Clemens admitted he thought the shoulder was hampering Cobb’s ability to get open but, as the season goes on, the injury fades further and further into the past. The injury to Tyrann Mathieu creates opportunity for Cobb to draw extensive matchups against Justin Bethel and Jerraud Powers. Neither are quite “schlubs” but they’re much more favorable matchups for Cobb than the likely Pro-Bowler (Mathieu). Therefore he should continue his streak of double-digit production and the over/under of this game (45.5) suggests it could turn into a shootout. If so, Cobb will see his fair share of targets and easily approach the 100 yard mark.

Julius Thomas, Jaguars, $9,600 – First and foremost, New Orleans allows the most fantasy points to the tight end (TE) position. In recent weeks, Delvin Breaux has emerged as a shutdown corner as DeAndre Hopkins, Mike Evans and Calvin Johnson all failed to register double-digit fantasy point totals against him. Basically one of the WRs will be shut down every play by Breaux which should open up some additional looks for Julius Thomas. Allen Robinson only caught one pass (for a TD) against Vontae Davis a few weeks back and, I think this should be a better game for him, but both Allen Hurns and him will have issues getting open against Breaux. TEs have touched the ball 17 times in the red zone against the Saints which is the most of any team so teams certainly look to their big targets near the goal line in this matchup. It makes sense considering Breaux is really their only above average player in the secondary so targeting all other spots on the field are much safer (and more productive) plans. Therefore, Thomas has an excellent chance to cap off a productive day with a score. His price has skyrocketed due to recent productivity but it doesn’t matter because he’s a virtual lock for a productive day once again.

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

You may also like...

Leave a Reply