Players to Avoid in Week 16: Fading Barnidge is Noble

Daily fantasy football isn’t all about who you are going to use. Sometimes it’s just as important to determine who you aren’t going to use. That way, if the salary happens to fit for your last spot, you’ll know which names to disregard in order to produce the greatest overall fantasy point output. Here are the guys to cross off your list heading into the 16th week of the NFL season.

Brock Osweiler, Broncos, $10,100 – Okay so the mindset of a daily fantasy player is to overreact at every outcome so naturally Brock Osweiler has finally broken out, right? Not so fast. Osweiler was fortunate to face a defense allowing a top 10 total of fantasy points to the quarterback (QB) position last week but the matchup gets substantially harder in week 16. He will face a Bengals team that has allowed the second fewest fantasy point total to QBs which is quite the contrast. Prior to week 15, Osweiler had thrown five touchdowns (TDs) in five starts so it’s not like he had set the world on fire. He also has now only eclipsed the 300 yard plateau once in six starts. I get it: he has a great collection of wide receivers, plays on a team known for offense, priced near the minimum and feels like he should have potential but there is not nearly enough upside in a difficult matchup. He’s still a developing player and, against an experienced defense, the defense is likely going to win out. I’d project him at about 200-220 yards with one TD. If that’s what you’re looking for, go ahead and pay the bargain price for him, otherwise look in a different direction at the position.

Lamar Miller, Dolphins, $12,100 – Another player with talent who feels like he’s just ready to bust out is Lamar Miller. This is not an exaggeration…every time the team gives him a large workload he produces. For some reason the coaching staff continues to forget he exists for extended periods. What the hell does this guy have to do? He’s averaging 4.9 yards per carry (YPC) on the season; only three running backs (RBs) own a higher YPC average this season. Three! Yet somehow Miller only touched the ball twice in the second half last week against a porous Chargers run defense. This week, he’ll square off against a Colts defense that has allowed the 10th most fantasy points to the position but he’s simply unusable. There’s no guarantee he’s going to touch the ball a double-digit amount of times on any given week because the coaching staff simply will not commit to him although he’s shown he has the talent to be a workhorse back in the league. It doesn’t make sense but unfortunately this is the reality we live in and we have to act accordingly. Fade Miller and sleep like a baby.

Charcandrick West, Chiefs, $10,600 – Coming off a big game, many will look to ride the momentum especially in a juicy matchup against the Browns. Don’t be one of those people. Spencer Ware technically returned last week but was delegated to “emergency back only” duties meaning he was only going to play if all the other backs left with injury. With an additional week to recover, Ware figures to actually factor into the backfield work in week 16 which is bad news for West. Ware had touched the ball at least eight times in each of the previous four games including two games in which he rushed for more than 90 yards. With Ware back, the workload distribution turns into a pure RB-by-committee situation as opposed to West as the bellcow like we saw in week 15. As a workhorse, West is an enticing option, but as maybe the smaller share of the workload in a committee, he isn’t worth rostering in DFS.

Allen Robinson, Jaguars, $14,100 – Noticing a trend against the Saints recently? Hear people touting a team’s number one wide receiver (WR) against them, said WR ends up highly owned and then inevitably flops. The reason: Delvin Breaux is emerging as one of the best cornerbacks in football. He is the team’s only respectable talent in the secondary so therefore opposing offenses target their weaknesses and simply avoid throwing towards Breaux. Mike Evans only registered three receptions (RECs) for 39 yards two weeks ago and Calvin Johnson was held to one REC for 19 yards this past week…after DeAndre Hopkins flopped a few weeks back. There now is more than enough data to suggest avoiding players against Breaux is the move because all other players in the offense typically succeed. New Orleans is allowing the most fantasy points to the WR position as well as the tight end (TE) position so Allen Hurns and Julius Thomas are the plays on the Jaguars this week whereas Robinson is the donk play…at least in cash games.

Gary Barnidge, Browns, $8,700 – Gary Barnidge has emerged as a premier TE this season but I’m worried about Johnny Manziel’s ability to sustain the production on a week-to-week basis. Last week I was on board because the Seahawks’ weakness to their defense this season has been to the TE position; they have allow the seventh most points to the position. The difficult level cranks up from “Rookie” to “All-Madden” this week as the Browns will head to Kansas City to face the Chiefs’ top ranked defense against opposing TEs. In 14 games, the Chiefs have allowed just 529 yards receiving and three TDs to opposing TEs (aka just 37 yards per game). For reference, the Eagles’ 603 yards allowed ranks second (or six yards more allowed per game). With an inaccurate QB at his disposal, Barnidge will be hard-pressed to put together another produce let alone monster week against a defense with such talented cover linebackers. Despite his success this season, Barnidge is a total fade for me in all formats due to his price and the plethora of better options at a similar cost (Ben Watson, Antonio Gates, Julius Thomas, Kyle Rudolph, etc.).

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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