DFS for Beginners: The Season Recap

The wild and unpredictable season of fantasy football is closing in on the end, fantasy baseball is soaking itself in rumors and craziness as we look ahead to a season of snow before it begins, while daily fantasy hockey is steamrolling full speed ahead. With slightly more than a third of the season in the books, it is a good time to look at the 2015-2016 season and see where we are.

In daily fantasy sports, we prioritize the now while ignoring the future. However we still need to look back at the past at least a little bit. How a player or team has performed over the long haul does inform us about what we should expect now.

Lets start by looking at some of the high-priced players that have been disappointing and then look at the low-wage bargains that have made themselves relevant, if not important, in daily.

* P.K. Subban, D Montreal Canadiens

Stats: Goals 1 – Assists 20

He is just about one of the most expensive defensive players in daily and he has only lit the lamp once. His assist totals are third at the position so he hasn’t been a complete bust, but to pay the price tag I would like at least a glimmer of hope that he will put one in the net.

* Sidney Crosby ($15,400), C Pittsburgh Penguins

Stats: Goals 6 – Assists 13

Steven Stamkos started slow while Sidney Crosby has just been plain slow. He is one of the three costliest centers and a top ten priced utility player every night and on average has scored less than once a week. Wingers like Jamie Benn and Rick Nash, as well as defenseman like Subban and Erik Karlsson have more assists.

* Jakub Voracek ($11,700), W Philadelphia Flyers

Stats: Goals 1 – Assists 14

Voracek came in to 2015 ranked as a top 30 player and he hasn’t played well enough to deserve a roster spot. The Flyers as a whole have struggled, but an argument could be made that they are struggling because of Voracek. At $5,500 he would be a viable bargain buy but for whatever reason he is still a pricey forward and an untouchable one.

* Ryan Getzlaf ($12,800), C Anaheim Ducks

Stats: Goals 1 – Assists 17

Getzlaf has saved his value to some degree with 17 assists, but a player of his caliber (and his salary) with only one goal in 24 games is a disaster and untouchable in DFS.

Now, lets look at some of the players that were reasonably priced that have played like DFS first liners. The problem with these players is that because they have been as good as they have been for this long most of them are no longer bargains. That doesn’t mean you shouldn’t be starting them because they have earned their daily salaries, but most of them are no longer bargains.

* Boone Jenner, C/W New York Islanders

Stats: Goals 12 – Assists 5

Jenner came in to the season priced under $6,000 and has been a top 15 NHL scorer with almost a goal every other game. He is still an affordable starter and one of the cornerstones of my roster building strategies

* Mike Cammalleri ($11,400), C/W New Jersey Devils

Stats: Goals 11 – Assists 19

Cammalleri was ranked outside the top 175 when the season began and now he averages 10.07 FPPG and costs slightly more than 1,000 dollars per point per night. He has averaged a goal or assist per night, making him an enticing option even at his current cost.

* Artemi Panarin ($12,100), W Chicago Blackhawks

Stats: Goals 9 – Assists 19

Panarin has been better than fellow Blackhawk and league superstar Jonathan Toews and his nightly price is in the same neighborhood now.

* Artem Anisimov ($8,900), C Chicago Blackhawks

Stats: Goals 11 – Assists 7

Anisimov averages 7.20 FPPG and is still priced $3,600 less than teammate Jonathan Toews. He isn’t a bargain but at that price he allows you to do things with your roster that other overpriced stars prevent you from doing.

* Dylan Larkin ($11,100), C Detroit Red Wings

Stats: Goals 11 – Assists 11

The Red Wings have been disappointing (yes I am talking to you Henrik Zetterberg) but Larkin has gone from a pre season afterthought to an expensive an 8.05 FPPG DFS play.

Now, lets look at some of the hottest players of the last two weeks.

* Mike Hoffman, C/W Ottawa Senators

Stats: Games 7 – Goals 7 – Assists 1

* Justin Abdelkader ($10,200), W Detroit Red Wings

Stats: Games 7 – Goals 5 – Assists 1

* Kyle Palmieri ($9,500), W New Jersey Devils

Stats: Games 7 – Goals 5 – Assists 0

* Sam Reinhart, C Buffalo Sabres

Stats: Games 7 – Goals 4 – Assists 1

Lets look at some of the frozen high priced players over the last two weeks.

* Jonathan Toews ($12,500), C Chicago Blackhawks

Stats: Games 7 – Goals 0 – Assists 1

* Nathan Mackinnon, C/W Colorado Avalanche

Stats: Games 7 – Goals 0 – Assists 2

* Zach Parise ($15,500), W Minnesota Wild

Stats: Games 6 – Goals 1 – Assists 2

* Max Pacioretty, C Montreal Canadiens

Stats: Games 7 – Goals 1 – Assists 2

* Alex Petrangelo, D St. Louis Blues

Stats: Games 6 – Goals 0 – Assists 0

The next two lineup building strategies that I will be testing are starting the hottest players regardless of match ups and using a multiple of different starting lineups in the same contest. I discussed this strategy in last weeks article and I will be testing it out from now through the holidays. I have spoken at length about how successful it has been to target the worst goalies and pick the players I like going against them, well now I am going to ignore that and purely roster the players playing the best over the previous two weeks. There is something to be said for riding the hot hand and we’ll see how it works out. Hopefully a Merry Christmas for me.

Good luck DFS’ers.

Chris Mitchell

Chris Mitchell

Chris Mitchell has been playing Fantasy sports for over twenty years. He contributed to RotoWire.com in their early days before contributing as a writer and doing Fantasy sports Podcasts for Seamheads.com. Three seasons ago he brought his writing and his Fantasy sports Podcast to RotoExperts.com and the Fantasy Sports Television network and this past season he wrote a weekly Fantasy sports column for BaseballAmerica.com. He also writes about Minor League prospects for RotoExperts. Chris has no more access to the site than the typical user. Follow him at Twitter @CJMiitch73.

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