Safe Bets: Week 11

Safety is the name of the game in cash games, but FantasyDraft also pays out at least 25 percent of the field in every single contest, including tournaments, as well. This should motivate users to lean towards safe options in all formats on a site that puts #PlayersFirst. Without the top-heavy nature of tournaments, single entrants do not have to go with a “YOLO (you only live once)” mindset in tournaments, but can play for a solid cash instead. That makes life a whole lot easier.

Here are the “safe bets,” or players who can be inserted into lineups without fear of a dud, for week 11:

Derek Carr, Raiders, $12,000 – Welcome to 2015 where the Raiders’ offense is actually legit. I know it’s a scary concept but they are no longer the doormat of the NFL. David Carr is turning into an upper-echelon NFL quarterback (QB) and the fantasy points prove it. He has scored at least 22 fantasy points in four straight and at least 30-plus in two of them. The Lions have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing QBs, so it’s very likely he approaches that 30-point total once again. Vegas has the Raiders projected at the seventh-highest total (24.8 points) this week and they’re playing in a dome, which should only help. Considering Carr is averaging the eighth-most fantasy points per game of any QB, he once again looks like an incredibly safe bet, especially at a mid-tier price tag. He’s a little pricier than QBs I typically use in cash, but this week he’s worth it.

Charcandrick West, Chiefs, $8,800 – After succeeding in a difficult test against the Denver Broncos last week, Charcandrick West will now face the most favorable matchup for any fantasy running back (RB): the San Diego Chargers. West has carried the ball at least 20 times in three straight and he even added 92 receiving yards and a touchdown (TD) last week, so his upside is clearly huge and his price is laughable. Between West and the next value player listed, there is a fantastic amount of value this week which will allow users to pay up for the studs.

Danny Amendola, Patriots, $7,800 – Holy moly. Don’t get me wrong, I absolutely love my job but coming across values like these makes me extra giddy since they only emerge once in a blue moon. The Patriots’ new possession wide receiver (WR) is wayyyyy too cheap this week. Was that enough “y’s” for effect? The Bills have a pair of solid corners, but Danny Amendola will very often square off against nickel corner Nickell Robey, which is certainly a favorable matchup for him; one of the six most favorable of the week according to ProFootball Focus. He has a ton of slack to pick up due to the loss of Julian Edelman and I think he’ll soon be a $12,000-13,000 player due to all the volume heading his way. Take full advantage of this this week, because the only downside is Amendola’s game is the ability (or inability) to make it through a full game.

Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals, $13,700 – Consistency equals safety and it’s nearly impossible to find a more stable option than Larry Fitzgerald this season. In his first nine games, Fitzgerald has failed to register at least 14.70 fantasy points only once (week seven against Baltimore). Otherwise, he has hovered in the upper teens or lower 20’s besides two outbursts of 37.40 and 40.20 fantasy points. In order to achieve value at this price in cash, Fitzgerald needs 20.55 fantasy points to hit value. This is a bit of a difficult matchup against the Cincinnati secondary as they possess a top corner in Leon Hall. The Cardinals like to line up Fitzgerald in the slot though, which should mean less of one-on-one with Hall (unless the Bengals decided to use Hall to shadow Fitzgerald). The Bengals have more than just Fitzgerald to worry about in terms of WRs, so I doubt he fully shadows him, which will open up opportunities for Fitzgerald. While he may not reach that 20.55 plateau exactly, it’s hard to imagine he scores much less in a game where the Cardinals are projected to score the second-highest total of the week (26.5 points).

Eric Ebron, Lions, $7,000 – Remember: the Raiders continuously get lit up by tight ends (TEs). That trend still applies and would have applied to Kyle Rudolph last week as well, had he not dropped a wide open TD. Still, Rhett Ellison managed to find the end zone and the Raiders remained the second-worst TE defense behind only the porous Saints. Despite only playing in only seven games this season, Eric Ebron has caught three TDs on three red-zone targets. Last week he was targeted a whopping eight times, so he’s obviously still a large part of the offense. If they continue to focus on him this week, he should have no problem producing and makes a whole lot of sense at a price tag less than half that of Rob Gronkowski’s.

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

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