Players to Avoid in Week 11: My (Least) Favorite Martin

Daily fantasy football isn’t all about who you are going to use. Sometimes it’s just as important to determine who you aren’t going to use. That way, if the salary happens to fit for your last spot, you’ll know which names to disregard in order to produce the greatest overall fantasy point output. Here are the guys to cross off your list heading into the 11th week of the NFL season.

Tom Brady, Patriots, $16,000 – “Value” is the name of the game in cash contests, so getting the most possible points on a per-dollar basis is important. The quarterback (QB) position is a tough one to pay up for in cash games because touchdowns (TDs) with QBs are worth so little (four points) compared to TDs with FLEX players (six points)… plus their yardage is worth less as well. If the goal is to score 150 points with your cash lineup, Tom Brady would need 24 fantasy points (1.5 fantasy points per every $1,000) at a $16,000 price tag. He easily can get to that number; there’s no question. However, he’s priced $1,900 more than the second-most expensive QB, Aaron Rodgers. Beyond the two of them, there hardly are any players over the $13,000 total. In other words, unless Brady is above and beyond the highest fantasy score of the week, he will limit your upside at other positions with which you can more easily differentiate yourself from the pack. The Bills only rank as middle-of-the-pack against opposing QBs and Brady has lost both Dion Lewis and Julian Edelman in the past few weeks. Without a full arsenal, alternatives such as Matthew Stafford, Derek Carr and even Tyrod Taylor make a lot more sense in cash. If you want a piece of the Patriots’ offenses, stick to either LeGarrette Blount or Danny Amendola.

Danny Woodhead, Chargers, $10,000 – Offensive game plans change from week to week and Danny Woodhead is only involved heavily in certain matchups. While Woodhead has eclipsed 20 fantasy points three times, he also has been held to less than 13 fantasy points on four separate occasions this season. This upcoming matchup has all the makings of a dud. The Chiefs have allowed 31 receptions (RECs) to the running back (RB) position, which ranks second worst behind only the Titans’ 28. Opposing teams have also only targeted their backs 46 times, which also ranks behind only Tennessee’s 40. In other words, receiving backs have not had any success against the Chiefs, so the Chargers would be smart to focus on pounding the ball with Melvin Gordon instead. Offensive coordinator John Pagano surely recognizes this and will therefore not involve Woodhead too heavily, knowing it is likely a losing battle.

Doug Martin, Buccaneers, $10,000 – Chip Kelly is mostly known for his offense, but Philadelphia’s defense is absolutely legit this season. They have allowed the ninth-fewest points per game (20.4), which is tied with the stout New York Jets defense. Philadelphia has allowed allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to opposing RBs included just one rushing TD and two REC TDs. Tampa Bay is currently lacking any depth in the receiving core, especially if tight end (TE) Austin Seferian-Jenkins is forced to sit again in week 11. I think the Eagles will force the Buccaneers to beat them through the air, since Doug Martin has pretty much carried the Tampa offense (his 706 rushing yards ranks fifth). Winston did not throw a TD last week, but he threw the ball 39 times. It could be more of the same this week, so Winston actually makes for an intriguing GPP option; I just would avoid Martin like the plague.

Alshon Jeffery, Bears, $12,700 – As a Bears fan, I hate having to write this tidbit, because Alshon Jeffery is a superstar talent. He truly has emerged as the Bears’ number-one wide receiver (WR) and on most weeks you can start him in any format. This week I simply would avoid him in cash as the Broncos defense is truly the best in the game. They allowed the least amount of fantasy points to both opposing QBs and WRs, which is not shocking considering they possess two of the best cornerbacks in football: Chris Harris Jr. and Aqib Talib. They also rush the passer with Von Miller and DeMarcus Ware (questionable to play), so Jay Cutler will be under duress for most of the afternoon. Jeffery possesses the talent to overcome any difficult matchup, but I would not bet on it in cash games. After fully fading him in cash, I could see inserting him into one or two tournament lineups. He’s going to be a contrarian option despite the elite talent, so I can see taking that chance on him.

Greg Olsen, Panthers, $11,600 – Carolina is the only team in football to have run more running plays than passing plays. Cam Newton only attempts 30.2 passes per game compared to the aforementioned Brady’s 41.1 attempts. TE Greg Olsen has been targeted 19 more times than any other player on the team (Ted Ginn Jr.). On the other hand, the Panthers square off against the Washington Redskins who have allowed just one TD to opposing TEs and the fifth-fewest fantasy points. Priced as the second-most expensive TE, rostering him is putting a lot of faith into a bad matchup with a low total of volume coming his way. I simply can’t do that and would rather save money and use either Eric Ebron or Julius Thomas.

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders

Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: RotoCurve and The Fantasy Fix. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He has agreed to be a writer and representative for the FantasyDraft brand and serves as an ambassador to the site. He has no more access to the site than the typical user. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

You may also like...

Leave a Reply